日元兑美元上周飙升至 12 周高位后下跌

由于股市复苏削弱了需求，日元兑美元汇率飙升至 12 周以来的最高水平一周后，周一小幅走低

The yen slipped on Monday from a 12-week high against the dollar, while sterling held near a 2-1/2-week low versus the euro ahead of key central bank decisions in both countries later this week.

周一，日元兑美元汇率从 12 周高点下滑，而英镑兑欧元汇率则在本周晚些时候两国央行做出关键决定之前维持在 2-1/2 周低点附近。

A sharp rebound in global equity markets last week sapped some demand for the safe-haven yen, while a sell-off in U.S. Treasuries also limited further gains in the Japanese currency.

上周全球股市的大幅反弹削弱了对日元避险货币的部分需求，而美国国债的抛售也限制了日元的进一步涨幅。

A flush out of long-held short yen positions also appeared to have run its course by the end of last week.

到上周末，长期持有的日元空头头寸的清仓似乎也已结束。

The dollar gained 0.29% to 154.24 yen early in the Asian day, after dipping as low as 151.945 on Thursday for the first time since May 3.

亚洲交易日早盘，美元兑日元汇率上涨0.29%至154.24日元，周四自5月3日以来首次跌至151.945。

Last week, the dollar sank 2.36% against the yen for its worst weekly performance since late April.

上周，美元兑日元下跌2.36%，创4月底以来最差单周表现。

On Monday, Japan’s Nikkei stock average jumped more than 2%.

周一，日本日经指数上涨超过 2%。

Speculation has grown that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will raise interest rates on Wednesday at the same time as significantly reducing its monthly bond purchases.

人们越来越多地猜测日本央行(BOJ)将在周三加息，同时大幅减少每月债券购买量。

The central bank had promised to outline its quantitative tightening (QT) plans at this meeting during its previous gathering last month.

在上个月的上次会议上，央行曾承诺在这次会议上概述其量化紧缩（QT）计划。

“If the BOJ holds off on hiking rates, it will need to announce a more aggressive QT programme than expected to avoid a ‘sell-the-rumour, buy-the-fact’ … reaction in USD/JPY,” said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.

“如果日本央行推迟加息，它将需要宣布比预期更激进的量化宽松计划，以避免美元/日元出现‘卖出谣言、买入事实’……的反应，”Tony Sycamore 表示。 IG 的市场分析师。

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave rates unchanged this week, but cut them by a quarter point at the following meeting in September.

与此同时，市场普遍预计美联储本周将维持利率不变，但在 9 月份的下次会议上将利率下调 25 个基点。

Demand for the yen could easily reignite should stocks turn lower as well, with the U.S. earnings calendar this week populated by heavyweights including Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Meta (NASDAQ:META) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT).

如果股市也走低，对日元的需求很容易重新点燃，本周美国财报日历上充斥着亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）、苹果（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）、Meta（纳斯达克股票代码：META）和微软（纳斯达克股票代码：NASDAQ：微软金融时报）。

The euro gained 0.25% to 167.37 yen, and was flat at $1.0859.

欧元兑日元上涨0.25%至167.37，持平于1.0859美元。

It eased 0.07% to 84.32 British pence, not straying far from the high of 84.48 pence from Friday, the strongest since July 10.

英镑兑美元下跌0.07%，至84.32便士，距离周五高点84.48便士不远，这是自7月10日以来的最高水平。

Sterling added 0.12% to $1.2882.

英镑上涨0.12%至1.2882美元。

Markets see the odds of a first rate cut on Thursday as a coin toss.

市场认为周四首次降息的可能性就像抛硬币一样。

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar gained 0.31% to $0.6568, recovering from Friday’s low of $0.65105, a level not seen since the start of May.

其他方面，澳元兑美元上涨 0.31%，至 0.6568 美元，从周五的低点 0.65105 美元反弹，这是自 5 月初以来的最低水平。

Leading cryptocurrency bitcoin advanced 2% to $68,793, receiving some support from positive comments from Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who told a bitcoin conference on Saturday that the U.S. must dominate the sector or China would.

领先的加密货币比特币上涨 2%，至 68,793 美元，受到共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普的积极评论的一些支持，特朗普在周六的比特币会议上表示，美国必须主导该行业，否则中国就会主导该行业。