投资者对XRP ETF的乐观情绪急剧攀升

根据Polymarket的数据，绿光的几率位于83％。即使美国证券交易委员会不断推动决策，这个数字也是如此。

How Our News is Made

我们的新闻是如何制作的

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

严格的编辑政策，侧重于准确性，相关性和公正性

Ad discliamer

向披露

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

狮子和球员的足球价格有些柔和。每个arcu lorem，超级儿童或ullamcorper的足球仇恨。

Investor optimism for a spot XRP ETF has climbed sharply. Based on Polymarket’s data, the odds of a green light sit at 83%. That figure comes even as the US Securities and Exchange Commission keeps pushing decisions back. Some industry watchers say the regulator is simply using its full review window.

投资者对XRP ETF的乐观情绪急剧上升。根据Polymarket的数据，绿光的几率位于83％。即使美国证券交易委员会不断推动决策，这个数字也是如此。一些行业观察者说，监管机构只是使用其完整的审查窗口。

Bitcoin To $125K By End Of Q2? Bold Call From Bybit Executive

到2结束时，比特币至$ 125K？ Bybit Executive的大胆呼吁

Analyst Predictions And Timeline

分析师预测和时间表

According to Bloomberg’s James Seyffart, the SEC often takes the full 240 days to process 19b-4 filings. He pointed out that the agency asked for an extra 45 days on May 20 to rule on Bitwise’s Ether staking change, moving the deadline to May 22.

根据彭博社的詹姆斯·塞法特（James Seyffart）的说法，SEC经常需要整整240天的时间来处理19b-4的文件。他指出，该机构在5月20日要求额外的45天，以裁定Bitwise的Ether Stage Change的变化，将截止日期移至5月22日。

Based on his posts on X, almost all spot ETF bids now face final due dates in October. That makes any early summer approvals highly unlikely.

根据他在X上的帖子，几乎所有现场ETF竞标现在都面临十月的最终日期。这使得任何初级批准都极不可能。

Spot Versus Futures Products

现场与期货产品

On May 19, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange rolled out an XRP futures contract for the first time. A few days later, Volatility Shares listed the XRPI futures ETF on Nasdaq. Then Tectrium added a 2x Long Daily XRP ETF for those seeking more leverage.

5月19日，芝加哥商人交易所首次推出了XRP期货合约。几天后，波动率股票在纳斯达克列出了XRPI期货ETF。然后，tectrium为寻求更多杠杆的人增加了每日2倍长的XRP ETF。

These products allow traders to bet on XRP’s future price in a regulated setting. They are not the same as a spot ETF, but they signal growing interest among major investors.

这些产品允许交易者在受管制环境中下注XRP的未来价格。它们与现货ETF不同，但它们表明主要投资者对兴趣的日益增长。

Institutional Access Through ETFs

通过ETF的机构访问

In a recent podcast, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse discussed why ETFs are essential for broader institutional participation in crypto. He explained that ETFs permit large-scale investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies without needing to personally engage with exchanges or manage private wallets.

Ripple首席执行官Brad Garlinghouse在最近的播客中讨论了为什么ETF对于更广泛的机构参与加密至关重要。他解释说，ETF允许大规模投资者获得加密货币的暴露，而无需亲自与交流或管理私人钱包。

He noted that the Bitcoin ETF quickly hit $1 billion in assets, becoming one of the fastest-growing ETFs in history, and later reached a record-high $10 billion. This success story, he argued, sets the stage for similar products tied to XRP.

他指出，比特币ETF迅速达到了10亿美元的资产，成为历史上增长最快的ETF之一，后来达到了创纪录的100亿美元。他认为，这个成功的故事为与XRP相关的类似产品设定了舞台。

According to SEC filings and industry conversations, it’s common for the commission to use its full 4-6 month window to review 19b-4 filings for new exchange-traded products.

根据SEC申请和行业对话，委员会通常使用其整个4-6个月的窗口来审查新交易所交易产品的19b-4档案。

Investors should be aware that odds in prediction markets can fluctuate significantly. An 83% chance today could change if the SEC has more questions or requests another comment period.

投资者应该意识到，预测市场的赔率可能会大大波动。如果SEC有更多问题或要求其他评论期，今天有83％的机会可能会改变。

With several key ETF decisions still pending, investors will be following the calendar closely as we approach the October maturity of 19b-4 filings.

由于仍在进行几项关键的ETF决定，当我们接近19b-4档案的10月至期时，投资者将密切关注日历。

Excitement over an XRP spot ETF has reached new highs, with investor optimism pushing the odds of approval to 83%, according to Polymarket.

根据PolyMarket的数据，对XRP现场ETF的兴奋已经达到了新的高点，投资者的乐观情绪将认可的几率提高到了83％。

Despite this anticipation, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has repeatedly delayed its decision on the product, currently juggling requests for both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

尽管有这样的预期，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）还是一再推迟了对产品的决定，目前正在杂耍比特币和以太坊ETF的请求。

Some industry watchers say the regulator is simply using its full review window for the 19b-4 filings.

一些行业观看者说，监管机构只是为19b-4档案使用其完整的审查窗口。

According to Bloomberg's James Seyffart, the SEC often takes the 240-day window to process these filings, which are used for new exchange-traded products.

根据彭博社的詹姆斯·塞法特（James Seyffart）的说法，SEC经常采用240天的窗口来处理这些文件，这些文件用于新的交易所交易产品。

He explained that the agency asked for an extra 45 days on May 20 to rule on Bitwise’s Ether staking change, moving the deadline to May 22.

他解释说，该机构在5月20日要求额外的45天，以裁定Bitwise的Ether Staging Change，将截止日期移至5月22日。

Based on his posts on X, almost all spot ETF bids now face final due dates in October, making any early summer approvals highly unlikely.

根据他在X上的帖子，几乎所有现场ETF的出价现在都面临十月的最终日期，这使得任何初夏的认可都极不可能。

Earlier this month, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched an XRP futures contract for the first time. A few days later, Volatility Shares listed the XRPI futures ETF on Nasdaq, and then Tectrium added a 2x Long Daily XRP ETF for those seeking more leverage.

本月初，芝加哥商人交易所（CME）首次启动了XRP期货合约。几天后，波动率股票在纳斯达克列出了XRPI期货ETF，然后Tectrium为寻求更多杠杆的人增加了每日2倍长的XRP ETF。

These products allow traders to bet on XRP’s future price in a regulated setting. While they are not the same as a spot ETF, they signal growing interest among major investors in products linked to the token.

这些产品允许交易者在受管制环境中下注XRP的未来价格。尽管它们与现货ETF不同，但它们表明对与代币相关的产品的主要投资者对越来越兴趣。

In a recent podcast, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse discussed why ETFs are essential for broader institutional participation in crypto.

Ripple首席执行官Brad Garlinghouse在最近的播客中讨论了为什么ETF对于更广泛的机构参与加密至关重要。

He explained that ETFs permit large-scale investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies without needing to personally engage with exchanges or manage private wallets.

他解释说，ETF允许大规模投资者获得加密货币的暴露，而无需亲自与交流或管理私人钱包。

He noted that the Bitcoin ETF quickly hit $1 billion in assets, becoming one of the fastest-growing ETFs in history, and later reached a record-high $10 billion. This success story, he argued, sets the stage for similar products tied to XRP.

他指出，比特币ETF迅速达到了10亿美元的资产，成为历史上增长最快的ETF之一，后来达到了创纪录的100亿美元。他认为，这个成功的故事为与XRP相关的类似产品设定了舞台。

According to SEC filings and industry chatter, it’s common for the commission to use its full 4-6 month window to review 19b-4 filings.

根据SEC文件和行业chat不休，委员会通常使用其整个4-6个月的窗口来审查19b-4档案。

However, analysts warn that odds in prediction markets can shift wildly. An 83% chance today

但是，分析师警告说，预测市场的赔率可能会发生巨大变化。今天有83％的机会