初学者的最终聚合物指南：从设置钱包到放置第一个赌注

有没有希望您可以兑现您对未来的直觉？就像，谁将赢得下届选举，比特币是否会达到一定的价格

Ever wish you could cash in on your instincts about the future? Like, who’s going to win the next election, whether Bitcoin will hit a certain price, or if your favorite team will take the championship?

有没有希望您可以兑现您对未来的直觉？就像，谁将赢得下一次选举，比特币是否会达到一定的价格，还是您最喜欢的球队会赢得冠军？

That’s exactly what Polymarket lets you do. It’s a decentralized prediction platform built on crypto, where you can bet on real-world events by buying shares in potential outcomes. If you're right, you profit. If not, you lose your stake. It’s part betting, part trading, and all powered by the blockchain. And no, you don’t need to be a crypto expert to get started.

这正是Polmarket允许您做的。这是一个基于Crypto建立的分散预测平台，您可以通过在潜在结果中购买股票来押注现实世界中的事件。如果您是正确的，那么您就会获利。如果没有，您会失去股份。这是投注，部分交易的一部分，全部由区块链提供动力。不，您无需成为加密专家即可开始。

In this beginner’s guide, I’ll walk you through every step—from setting up your wallet to placing your first bet. No confusing jargon, no guessing. Just a straightforward, no-stress way to dip your toes into prediction markets, and maybe even come out ahead.

在本初学者的指南中，我将介绍每个步骤 - 从设置钱包到放置第一个赌注。没有混淆的行话，没有猜测。只是一种直接，无压力的方式，可以将脚趾浸入预测市场，甚至可能取得成功。

Key highlights:

关键亮点：

What is Polymarket and why should you care?

什么是聚物市场，为什么要关心？

Imagine a place where you can bet on almost anything—from how many Tweets Elon Musk will have in the next week to whether Ethereum will hit $5,000 by the end of the year. That’s Polymarket in a nutshell.

想象一下，您几乎可以押注任何东西的地方 - 从埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）下周会有多少条推文到以太坊在今年年底之前达到5,000美元。简而言之，这是多聚市场。

Polymarket is what’s known as a crypto-powered prediction market. Instead of placing a bet with a bookie or a sportsbook, you’re buying shares in outcomes on real-world events. The price of those shares reflects what people think the odds are. And if you’re right, you get paid when the outcome is resolved.

Polmoarket是被加密驱动的预测市场。您没有在赌注或体育书上放赌注，而是在现实世界中的成果中购买股票。这些股票的价格反映了人们认为的赔率。而且，如果您是对的，那么在解决结果时就会获得报酬。

But here’s the catch: Polymarket isn’t run by “the house.”

但这是捕获：Polymarket不是由“房子”经营的。

There’s no middleman setting odds or taking a cut. It’s entirely peer-to-peer, and everything is powered by the blockchain (specifically, the fast and low-cost Polygon network). That means:

没有中间人设定赔率或削减。它完全是点对点，一切都由区块链（特别是快速和低成本的多边形网络）提供动力。这意味着：

You’re not locked into your bet either. You can buy in or sell out anytime, just like trading a stock.

您也没有锁定您的赌注。您可以随时购买或卖光，就像交易股票一样。

It’s fast, transparent, and (you guessed it) decentralized.

它是快速，透明的，并且（您猜对了）分散。

How to bet on Polymarket

如何押注Polmoarket

Let's break down the crucial steps for betting on Polymarket to get you started.

让我们分解押注Polymarket的关键步骤，以使您入门。

Step 1: Set up your crypto wallet

步骤1：设置您的加密钱包

Before you can start placing bets on Polymarket, you need a crypto wallet. Think of it as your personal key to the world of decentralized apps.

在开始在Polymarket上下注之前，您需要一个加密钱包。将其视为分散应用程序世界的个人钥匙。

A wallet stores your digital assets (like USDC) and connects you to platforms like Polymarket. Here are a few great options for beginners:

钱包存储您的数字资产（例如USDC），并将您连接到PolyMarket之类的平台。对于初学者来说，这里有一些不错的选择：

Your wallet must support the Polygon network (not just Ethereum). Polygon is what Polymarket runs on. It’s faster and way cheaper than Ethereum for transactions.

您的钱包必须支持多边形网络（不仅仅是以太坊）。 Polygon是Polymarket的运行。交易的速度比以太坊更快，更便宜。

Most wallets will either prompt you to add the Polygon network or let Polymarket do it for you when you connect. Just make sure you’re on the Polygon (Matic) network before placing any bets.

大多数钱包都会提示您添加多边形网络，或者在连接时让Polymarket为您做。只需在放置任何赌注之前，请确保您在多边形（matic）网络上。

And one last thing: secure your wallet like your life depends on it. Write down your secret recovery phrase (usually 12 or 24 words), keep it offline, and never share it. Set up Face ID or a PIN if your wallet allows it.

最后一件事：像生活一样固定钱包取决于它。写下您的秘密恢复短语（通常为12或24个单词），使其离线，永远不要共享。如果您的钱包允许，请设置脸部ID或销钉。

Step 2: Load up on USDC (your betting currency)

步骤2：加载USDC（您的投注货币）

Polymarket doesn’t use Bitcoin or Ethereum for betting. It uses USDC, a stablecoin that’s always meant to equal $1. Why? Because it takes the wild crypto price swings out of the equation. You bet in dollars, not rollercoasters.

Polymarket不使用比特币或以太坊进行投注。它使用USDC，这是一种始终等于$ 1的稳定币。为什么？因为它使野生加密价格从等式中摆脱了。您以美元押注，而不是过山车。

Here’s how to get USDC on Polygon into your wallet:

这是将多边形上的USDC纳入您的钱包的方法：

You’ll need a tiny bit of MATIC in your wallet, too. This pays for network fees (called gas), but don’t worry, it’s cheap. Even $1 worth of MATIC can cover dozens of transactions. Some exchanges let you withdraw MATIC directly, or you can ask a friend to send you a few cents worth to get started.

您的钱包中也需要一点点的垫片。这支付了网络费用（称为汽油），但不用担心，这很便宜。即使是价值1美元的Matic也可以涵盖数十项交易。一些交流可让您直接撤回Matic，或者您可以要求朋友向您发送一些值得开始的美分。

Step 3: Connect your wallet to Polymarket (and choose how you log in)

步骤3：将钱包连接到多聚市场（并选择登录方式）

You’ve got your wallet set up. You’ve got your USDC ready. Now it’s time to plug into Polymarket.

您已经设置了钱包。您已经准备好了USDC。现在是时候插入多聚市场了。

Head over to polymarket.com and click "Sign Up" in the top-right corner of the page. You'll get two options:

前往PolyMarket.com，然后在页面的顶角单击“注册”。您将获得两个选择：

Once connected, Polymarket might ask you to:

连接后，Polymarket可能会要求您：

You’ll also be asked to sign a message in your wallet to confirm you’re the wallet owner. Don’t worry, this doesn’t cost anything. It just proves you’re legit and logs you in. After that, you’re in. Welcome to the marketplace.

还会要求您在钱包中签署一条消息，以确认您是钱包所有者。不用担心，这没有任何费用。它只是证明您是合法的并将您登录。之后，您进入了。欢迎来到市场。

Step 4: Deposit funds into Polymarket (Like Trading Chips at a Casino)

步骤4：将资金存入多个市场（例如赌场的交易筹码）

Even though your wallet is connected, Polymarket uses an internal balance system to make trading instant. Think of it like a poker game: you

即使您的钱包已连接，Polymarket也使用内部平衡系统即时进行交易。认为它是扑克游戏：您