投資者對XRP ETF的樂觀情緒急劇攀升

根據Polymarket的數據，綠光的機率位於83％。即使美國證券交易委員會不斷推動決策，這個數字也是如此。

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嚴格的編輯政策，側重於準確性，相關性和公正性

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獅子和球員的足球價格有些柔和。每個arcu lorem，超級兒童或ullamcorper的足球仇恨。

Investor optimism for a spot XRP ETF has climbed sharply. Based on Polymarket’s data, the odds of a green light sit at 83%. That figure comes even as the US Securities and Exchange Commission keeps pushing decisions back. Some industry watchers say the regulator is simply using its full review window.

投資者對XRP ETF的樂觀情緒急劇上升。根據Polymarket的數據，綠光的機率位於83％。即使美國證券交易委員會不斷推動決策，這個數字也是如此。一些行業觀察者說，監管機構只是使用其完整的審查窗口。

Bitcoin To $125K By End Of Q2? Bold Call From Bybit Executive

到2結束時，比特幣至$ 125K？ Bybit Executive的大膽呼籲

Analyst Predictions And Timeline

分析師預測和時間表

According to Bloomberg’s James Seyffart, the SEC often takes the full 240 days to process 19b-4 filings. He pointed out that the agency asked for an extra 45 days on May 20 to rule on Bitwise’s Ether staking change, moving the deadline to May 22.

根據彭博社的詹姆斯·塞法特（James Seyffart）的說法，SEC經常需要整整240天的時間來處理19b-4的文件。他指出，該機構在5月20日要求額外的45天，以裁定Bitwise的Ether Stage Change的變化，將截止日期移至5月22日。

Based on his posts on X, almost all spot ETF bids now face final due dates in October. That makes any early summer approvals highly unlikely.

根據他在X上的帖子，幾乎所有現場ETF競標現在都面臨十月的最終日期。這使得任何初級批准都極不可能。

Spot Versus Futures Products

現場與期貨產品

On May 19, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange rolled out an XRP futures contract for the first time. A few days later, Volatility Shares listed the XRPI futures ETF on Nasdaq. Then Tectrium added a 2x Long Daily XRP ETF for those seeking more leverage.

5月19日，芝加哥商人交易所首次推出了XRP期貨合約。幾天后，波動率股票在納斯達克列出了XRPI期貨ETF。然後，tectrium為尋求更多槓桿的人增加了每日2倍長的XRP ETF。

These products allow traders to bet on XRP’s future price in a regulated setting. They are not the same as a spot ETF, but they signal growing interest among major investors.

這些產品允許交易者在受管制環境中下注XRP的未來價格。它們與現貨ETF不同，但它們表明主要投資者對興趣的日益增長。

Institutional Access Through ETFs

通過ETF的機構訪問

In a recent podcast, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse discussed why ETFs are essential for broader institutional participation in crypto. He explained that ETFs permit large-scale investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies without needing to personally engage with exchanges or manage private wallets.

Ripple首席執行官Brad Garlinghouse在最近的播客中討論了為什麼ETF對於更廣泛的機構參與加密至關重要。他解釋說，ETF允許大規模投資者獲得加密貨幣的暴露，而無需親自與交流或管理私人錢包。

He noted that the Bitcoin ETF quickly hit $1 billion in assets, becoming one of the fastest-growing ETFs in history, and later reached a record-high $10 billion. This success story, he argued, sets the stage for similar products tied to XRP.

他指出，比特幣ETF迅速達到了10億美元的資產，成為歷史上增長最快的ETF之一，後來達到了創紀錄的100億美元。他認為，這個成功的故事為與XRP相關的類似產品設定了舞台。

According to SEC filings and industry conversations, it’s common for the commission to use its full 4-6 month window to review 19b-4 filings for new exchange-traded products.

根據SEC申請和行業對話，委員會通常使用其整個4-6個月的窗口來審查新交易所交易產品的19b-4檔案。

Investors should be aware that odds in prediction markets can fluctuate significantly. An 83% chance today could change if the SEC has more questions or requests another comment period.

投資者應該意識到，預測市場的賠率可能會大大波動。如果SEC有更多問題或要求其他評論期，今天有83％的機會可能會改變。

With several key ETF decisions still pending, investors will be following the calendar closely as we approach the October maturity of 19b-4 filings.

由於仍在進行幾項關鍵的ETF決定，當我們接近19b-4檔案的10月至期時，投資者將密切關注日曆。

Excitement over an XRP spot ETF has reached new highs, with investor optimism pushing the odds of approval to 83%, according to Polymarket.

根據PolyMarket的數據，對XRP現場ETF的興奮已經達到了新的高點，投資者的樂觀情緒將認可的機率提高到了83％。

Despite this anticipation, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has repeatedly delayed its decision on the product, currently juggling requests for both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

儘管有這樣的預期，美國證券交易委員會（SEC）還是一再推遲了對產品的決定，目前正在雜耍比特幣和以太坊ETF的請求。

Some industry watchers say the regulator is simply using its full review window for the 19b-4 filings.

一些行業觀看者說，監管機構只是為19b-4檔案使用其完整的審查窗口。

According to Bloomberg's James Seyffart, the SEC often takes the 240-day window to process these filings, which are used for new exchange-traded products.

根據彭博社的詹姆斯·塞法特（James Seyffart）的說法，SEC經常採用240天的窗口來處理這些文件，這些文件用於新的交易所交易產品。

He explained that the agency asked for an extra 45 days on May 20 to rule on Bitwise’s Ether staking change, moving the deadline to May 22.

他解釋說，該機構在5月20日要求額外的45天，以裁定Bitwise的Ether Staging Change，將截止日期移至5月22日。

Based on his posts on X, almost all spot ETF bids now face final due dates in October, making any early summer approvals highly unlikely.

根據他在X上的帖子，幾乎所有現場ETF的出價現在都面臨十月的最終日期，這使得任何初夏的認可都極不可能。

Earlier this month, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched an XRP futures contract for the first time. A few days later, Volatility Shares listed the XRPI futures ETF on Nasdaq, and then Tectrium added a 2x Long Daily XRP ETF for those seeking more leverage.

本月初，芝加哥商人交易所（CME）首次啟動了XRP期貨合約。幾天后，波動率股票在納斯達克列出了XRPI期貨ETF，然後Tectrium為尋求更多槓桿的人增加了每日2倍長的XRP ETF。

These products allow traders to bet on XRP’s future price in a regulated setting. While they are not the same as a spot ETF, they signal growing interest among major investors in products linked to the token.

這些產品允許交易者在受管制環境中下注XRP的未來價格。儘管它們與現貨ETF不同，但它們表明對與代幣相關的產品的主要投資者對越來越興趣。

In a recent podcast, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse discussed why ETFs are essential for broader institutional participation in crypto.

Ripple首席執行官Brad Garlinghouse在最近的播客中討論了為什麼ETF對於更廣泛的機構參與加密至關重要。

He explained that ETFs permit large-scale investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies without needing to personally engage with exchanges or manage private wallets.

他解釋說，ETF允許大規模投資者獲得加密貨幣的暴露，而無需親自與交流或管理私人錢包。

He noted that the Bitcoin ETF quickly hit $1 billion in assets, becoming one of the fastest-growing ETFs in history, and later reached a record-high $10 billion. This success story, he argued, sets the stage for similar products tied to XRP.

他指出，比特幣ETF迅速達到了10億美元的資產，成為歷史上增長最快的ETF之一，後來達到了創紀錄的100億美元。他認為，這個成功的故事為與XRP相關的類似產品設定了舞台。

According to SEC filings and industry chatter, it’s common for the commission to use its full 4-6 month window to review 19b-4 filings.

根據SEC文件和行業chat不休，委員會通常使用其整個4-6個月的窗口來審查19b-4檔案。

However, analysts warn that odds in prediction markets can shift wildly. An 83% chance today

但是，分析師警告說，預測市場的賠率可能會發生巨大變化。今天有83％的機會