隨著全球市場等待美聯儲的利率決定，比特幣（BTC）價格徘徊在關鍵阻力水平附近

隨著全球市場等待今天晚些時候美國美聯儲的利率決策，比特幣的價格徘徊在關鍵阻力水平接近關鍵水平。

The price of Bitcoin is hovering near key resistance levels as global markets await the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to be announced later today and may influence the cryptocurrency's direction over the coming weeks.

隨著全球市場等待美國美聯儲的利率決策，比特幣的價格徘徊在關鍵阻力水平接近關鍵水平，預計將在今天晚些時候宣布，並可能在未來幾週內影響加密貨幣的方向。

At the same time, traders are growing increasingly anxious as economic uncertainty mounts and inflation remains a concern. All eyes will be on Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming statement, which may have a significant impact on Bitcoin's performance.

同時，隨著經濟不確定性的增加和通貨膨脹仍然是一個問題，交易者日益焦慮。所有人的目光都將在杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）即將發表的陳述上，這可能會對比特幣的表現產生重大影響。

Bitcoin rose to $96,921.96 on Wednesday, edging closer to the crucial $100,000 threshold. The rally is positioning traders for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement at 2 P.M. ET.

比特幣週三上漲至96,921.96美元，距離至關重要的100,000美元門檻更接近。該集會將聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）公告定位在美國東部時間下午2點。

While the market broadly anticipates the Fed to maintain interest rates at 4.33%, attention has shifted to the tone and detail of Chair Powell's press conference.

儘管市場廣泛地預計美聯儲將利率保持在4.33％，但注意力已轉移到鮑威爾新聞發布會主席的語調和細節上。

It is noteworthy that over the past several months, Bitcoin has shown a heightened reaction to macroeconomic data and central bank signals, particularly following the approval of spot Exchange-Traded Funds. This has increased institutional interest and subsequently tightened Bitcoin's link with traditional financial markets.

值得注意的是，在過去的幾個月中，比特幣表現出對宏觀經濟數據和中央銀行信號的反應增強，尤其是在批准現貨交易所交易資金之後。這增加了機構的興趣，隨後加強了比特幣與傳統金融市場的聯繫。

Consequently, monetary policy updates now carry more weight for Bitcoin than ever before.

因此，現在的貨幣政策更新比以往任何時候都具有比比特幣更大的重量。

The United States economy declined during the first quarter of 2025, displaying signs of weakness after a stronger finish to 2024. Real GDP fell by 0.3%, and consumer spending slowed sharply.

美國經濟在2025年的第一季度下降，在2024年的效果強勁後表現出弱點。真正的GDP下降了0.3％，消費者的支出急劇減慢。

At the same time, inflation has remained persistent. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation measure for the Federal Reserve, rose to 3.5%, well above the central bank's 2% target.

同時，通貨膨脹仍然持續。核心個人消費支出（PCE）價格指數是美聯儲的關鍵通貨膨脹措施，上升到3.5％，遠高於中央銀行2％的目標。

These numbers place the Fed in a difficult spot. While slowing growth usually prompts a rate cut, rising inflation and new trade tariffs make it harder for the bank to shift toward easier policy. Most economists believe the Fed will need to cut rates eventually, according to a CNBC Fed Survey. However, for now, Polymarket data suggests a 2% chance of a rate cut today.

這些數字將美聯儲置於困難的位置。儘管增長放緩通常會促使人們降低利率，但通貨膨脹和新的貿易關稅使銀行更難轉向更輕鬆的政策。根據CNBC美聯儲調查，大多數經濟學家認為，美聯儲最終需要降低利率。但是，目前，Polymarket數據表明今天有2％的機會降低利率。

Bitcoin faces key levels as traders watch for clues

當交易員注意線索時，比特幣面對關鍵水平

Bitcoin's next move may hinge entirely on Powell's tone. If the Fed acknowledges economic weakness and signals a willingness to ease policy later in the year, Bitcoin could break above the $98,000 resistance and retest all-time highs. Some analysts believe it may push beyond $100,000 if dovish guidance and ETF flows align.

比特幣的下一步行動可能完全取決於鮑威爾的語氣。如果美聯儲承認經濟弱點並表示願意在今年晚些時候放鬆政策的意願，那麼比特幣可能會超越98,000美元的抵抗力並重新測試。一些分析師認為，如果Dovish指導和ETF的流動保持一致，則可能會超過100,000美元。

However, a more hawkish stance focusing on inflation risks could lead to a drop. Support is currently seen at the $92,000 to $94,000 levels, with further downside possible if traders sell on disappointment. A neutral or vague statement could also cause price swings, especially given the thinner liquidity typical around Fed events.

但是，更加關注通貨膨脹風險的鷹派立場可能會導致下降。目前，支持的價格為92,000至94,000美元，如果交易者感到失望，則可能會進一步下行。中性或模糊的聲明也可能導致價格波動，特別是考慮到美聯儲事件周圍典型的流動性較薄。

In other developments, two long-dormant Bitcoin wallets from 2013 recently transferred 20,000 BTC, amounting to approximately $325 million, ahead of the Federal Reserve's impending interest rate decision. The wallets, which had been inactive for over a decade, suddenly came to life and executed the massive transfer on Tuesday.

在其他發展中，2013年的兩個長期休眠的比特幣錢包最近轉移了20,000 BTC，總計約3.25億美元，比美聯儲即將來臨的利率決策。這些錢包已經無活躍了十多年，突然栩栩如生，並在周二進行了大規模轉會。

For now, traders are remaining cautious. With Bitcoin at a critical juncture and the Fed's decision just hours away, the market is bracing for heightened volatility.

目前，交易者一直保持謹慎。由於比特幣處於關鍵時刻，而美聯儲的決定只有幾個小時的路程，因此市場正在為增強的波動提供。