一项大型账单可能会增加2.4万亿美元的债务

特朗普总统的一项大型法案可能会给美国的债务增加2.4万亿美元，加速迫在眉睫的债务危机和飙升通货膨胀。

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated that the "One Big Beautiful Bill" could add over $2.4 trillion to the US debt over a decade.

非党派国会预算办公室（CBO）估计，“一项大型账单”可以在十年内增加2.4万亿美元的债务。

The bill, which passed the House on May 22 and is now pending in the Senate, would cut federal revenue by $3.67 trillion and spending by $1.25 trillion, according to the CBO.

该法案于5月22日通过了众议院，目前正在参议院审理，该法案将使联邦收入减少36.7万亿美元，并支出减少了1.25万亿美元。

The nonpartisan forecaster also estimated that when taking interest payments into account, the bill’s cost could rise to $3 trillion over a decade or to $5 trillion if temporary tax cuts were made permanent. Some of the bill’s supporters argue that tax cuts would stimulate the economy and “pay for themselves.”

无党派的预报员还估计，在考虑利息付款时，该法案的成本可能会在十年内增加到3万亿美元，或者如果将临时减税进行了永久性，则可能会增加到5万亿美元。该法案的一些支持者认为，减税将刺激经济并“为自己付费”。

However, the experience of the 2017 tax cuts showed that, even including positive economic effects, they had increased the federal deficit by almost $1.9 trillion over a decade, according to the CBO.

但是，2017年减税的经验表明，即使包括积极的经济影响，他们十年来他们的联邦赤字也增加了近1.9万亿美元。

The spiral of budget deficits and debt has already sucked in the US economy, and there is no credible plan to reverse it. But it seems that no one cares.

预算赤字和债务的螺旋式趋势已经吸引了美国的经济，并且没有可靠的计划来扭转这种情况。但是似乎没有人在乎。

The US cannot "grow its way out" of debt

美国不能“增加”债务

The US will not magically “grow its way out” of this problem. As Sina, the co-founder of 21st Capital, noted on X,

美国不会神奇地“发展”这个问题。作为第21首都的联合创始人西娜（Sina），在X上指出

This is a bleak scenario, considering that Q1 2025 registered -0.3% real GDP growth, and the US Federal Reserve is estimating Q2 2025 growth at 3.8%.

考虑到第一季度2025年第1季度的实际GDP增长为-0.3％，美国美联储估计第二季度2025增长率为3.8％，这是一个惨淡的情况。

The experience of the 2017 tax cuts showed that, even including positive economic effects, they had increased the federal deficit by almost $1.9 trillion over a decade, according to the CBO.

根据CBO的数据，2017年减税的经验表明，即使包括积极的经济影响，他们十年来他们的赤字也增加了近1.9万亿美元。

The spiral of budget deficits and debt has already sucked in the US economy, and there is no credible plan to reverse it. But it seems that no one cares.

预算赤字和债务的螺旋式趋势已经吸引了美国的经济，并且没有可靠的计划来扭转这种情况。但是似乎没有人在乎。

The US will not magically “grow its way out” of this problem. As Sina, the co-founder of 21st Capital, noted on X,

美国不会神奇地“发展”这个问题。作为第21首都的联合创始人西娜（Sina），在X上指出

This is a bleak scenario, considering that Q1 2025 registered -0.3% real GDP growth, and the US Federal Reserve is estimating Q2 2025 growth at 3.8%, such a scenario remains unrealistic.

考虑到第一季度2025年第1季度的实际GDP增长为-0.3％，美国美联储估计第22025季度增长率为3.8％，这种情况仍然是不现实的。

The nonpartisan forecaster also estimated that when taking interest payments into account, the bill’s cost could rise to $3 trillion over a decade or to $5 trillion if temporary tax cuts were made permanent. Some of the bill’s supporters argue that tax cuts would stimulate the economy and “pay for themselves.”

无党派的预报员还估计，在考虑利息付款时，该法案的成本可能会在十年内增加到3万亿美元，或者如果将临时减税进行了永久性，则可能会增加到5万亿美元。该法案的一些支持者认为，减税将刺激经济并“为自己付费”。

The experience of the 2017 tax cuts showed that, even including positive economic effects, they had increased the federal deficit by almost $1.9 trillion over a decade, according to the CBO.

根据CBO的数据，2017年减税的经验表明，即使包括积极的经济影响，他们十年来他们的赤字也增加了近1.9万亿美元。

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated that the "One Big Beautiful Bill" could add over $2.4 trillion to the US debt over a decade.

非党派国会预算办公室（CBO）估计，“一项大型账单”可以在十年内增加2.4万亿美元的债务。

The bill, which passed the House on May 22 and is now pending in the Senate, would cut federal revenue by $3.67 trillion and spending by $1.25 trillion, according to the CBO.

该法案于5月22日通过了众议院，目前正在参议院审理，该法案将使联邦收入减少36.7万亿美元，并支出减少了1.25万亿美元。

The nonpartisan forecaster also estimated that when taking interest payments into account, the bill’s cost could rise to $3 trillion over a decade or to $5 trillion if temporary tax cuts were made permanent. Some of the bill’s supporters argue that tax cuts would stimulate the economy and “pay for themselves.”

无党派的预报员还估计，在考虑利息付款时，该法案的成本可能会在十年内增加到3万亿美元，或者如果将临时减税进行了永久性，则可能会增加到5万亿美元。该法案的一些支持者认为，减税将刺激经济并“为自己付费”。

The experience of the 2017 tax cuts showed that, even including positive economic effects, they had increased the federal deficit by almost $1.9 trillion over a decade, according to the CBO.

根据CBO的数据，2017年减税的经验表明，即使包括积极的经济影响，他们十年来他们的赤字也增加了近1.9万亿美元。

The spiral of budget deficits and debt has already sucked in the US economy, and there is no credible plan to reverse it. But it seems that no one cares.

预算赤字和债务的螺旋式趋势已经吸引了美国的经济，并且没有可靠的计划来扭转这种情况。但是似乎没有人在乎。

The US will not magically “grow its way out” of this problem. As Sina, the co-founder of 21st Capital, noted on X,

美国不会神奇地“发展”这个问题。作为第21首都的联合创始人西娜（Sina），在X上指出

This is a bleak scenario, considering that Q1 2025 registered -0.3% real GDP growth, and the US Federal Reserve is estimating Q2 2025 growth at 3.8%, such a scenario remains unrealistic.

考虑到第一季度2025年第1季度的实际GDP增长为-0.3％，美国美联储估计第22025季度增长率为3.8％，这种情况仍然是不现实的。

The nonpartisan forecaster also estimated that when taking interest payments into account, the bill’s cost could rise to $3 trillion over a decade or to $5 trillion if temporary tax cuts were made permanent. Some of the bill’s supporters argue that tax cuts would stimulate the economy and “pay for themselves.”

无党派的预报员还估计，在考虑利息付款时，该法案的成本可能会在十年内增加到3万亿美元，或者如果将临时减税进行了永久性，则可能会增加到5万亿美元。该法案的一些支持者认为，减税将刺激经济并“为自己付费”。

The experience of the 2017 tax cuts showed that, even including positive economic effects, they had increased the federal deficit by almost $1.9 trillion over a decade, according to the CBO.

根据CBO的数据，2017年减税的经验表明，即使包括积极的经济影响，他们十年来他们的赤字也增加了近1.9万亿美元。

The spiral of budget deficits and

预算赤字的螺旋形和