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特朗普一直呼籲鮑威爾降低利率,這對加密貨幣市場來說是積極的。但是,鮑威爾一直拒絕聽。
Traders on Polymarket are betting against Donald Trump removing Jerome Powell this year despite reports that the US president has been discussing the move for months.
儘管有報導稱美國總統已經討論了幾個月的舉動,但Polymarket上的交易者今年押注唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)撤職。
According to the latest data from the prediction platform, there is only a 19% chance of Donald Trump firing Jerome Powell by December 2024. This probability has decreased by 4% in the last 24 hours.
根據預測平台的最新數據,到2024年12月,唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)開除杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)的機會只有19%。在過去的24小時內,這種概率下降了4%。
However, a recent report by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) claims that Trump has been discussing the possibility of firing Powell for months, including in meetings with his potential replacement, Kevin Warsh, earlier this year.
但是,《華爾街日報》(WSJ)最近的一份報告稱,特朗普一直在討論幾個月來解僱鮑威爾的可能性,包括在今年早些時候與他的潛在替代者凱文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)會議上。
As previously reported by CoinGape, Donald Trump slammed Jerome Powell again on Wednesday, stating that the Fed Chair is “always too late and wrong.”
正如Coingape先前報導的那樣,唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)週三再次抨擊杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell),並指出美聯儲主席“總是太晚和錯”。
The US president added that Powell’s termination “cannot come fast enough,” as the European Union (EU) is about to cut interest rates for the seventh time. However, Powell and the Fed are still holding tight on slashing monetary policies despite the pressing need, according to Trump.
美國總統補充說,鮑威爾的終止“不能足夠快”,因為歐盟(歐盟)將第七次降低利率。但是,據特朗普說,儘管有緊迫的需求,但鮑威爾和美聯儲仍在削減貨幣政策。
After meeting with Italy’s Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, Trump made some comments about Powell again, sparking discussions on whether the US president would remove him soon.
在與意大利總理喬治·梅洛尼(Giorgia Meloni)會面後,特朗普再次對鮑威爾(Powell)發表了一些評論,引發了有關美國總統是否會盡快將他罷免的討論。
During a joint press conference with Meloni, Trump stated that he is not happy with Powell and that the Fed Chair would leave if he asked him to.
在與梅洛尼(Meloni)的聯合新聞發布會上,特朗普表示,他對鮑威爾(Powell)不滿意,如果他要他去,美聯儲主席將離開。
The US president, who has openly criticized Powell on multiple occasions, expressed his displeasure once again, adding that he does not believe Powell is doing his job.
美國總統多次公開批評鮑威爾,再次表示不滿,並補充說,他不相信鮑威爾正在做自己的工作。
Moreover, the White House confirmed that Trump is studying whether he has the power to remove Powell. However, Powell himself has previously asserted that the US president has no legal authority to terminate him.
此外,白宮證實,特朗普正在研究他是否有權去除鮑威爾。但是,鮑威爾本人此前曾斷言,美國總統沒有法律權力來終止他。
What Does This Mean For Crypto?
這對加密意味著什麼?
This development could have implications for the crypto market, as Bitcoin price and other altcoins have shown a greater sensitivity to monetary policies compared to other macroeconomic fundamentals.
與其他宏觀經濟基本面相比,比特幣價格和其他山寨幣對貨幣政策的敏感性更高,因此這種發展可能對加密市場產生影響。
Therefore, Donald Trump firing Jerome Powell or the Fed Chair resigning could be viewed as a positive factor for the market. This is because Powell has indicated that he has no immediate intention to lower rates.
因此,唐納德·特朗普解僱杰羅姆·鮑威爾或美聯儲辭職的辭職可能被視為市場的積極因素。這是因為鮑威爾表明他沒有立即降低利率的意圖。
In his recent speech at the Economic Club of New York on Monday, Powell highlighted that the Federal Reserve would likely keep interest rates in their present range for now. He also noted the administration’s focus on tariffs to mitigate inflation, contrasting it with the European Central Bank’s (ECB) seventh rate cut this year.
鮑威爾(Powell)在最近在紐約經濟俱樂部的演講中強調,美聯儲目前可能會將利率保持在目前的範圍內。他還指出,政府對減輕通貨膨脹的關注關注,與今年歐洲中央銀行(ECB)的第七次降低對比。
Furthermore, traders will be following any updates on Kevin Warsh, who appears to be more crypto-friendly. However, Warsh once spoke in favor of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and expressed an opinion against private stablecoins. This stance contradicts Trump’s policies, as the US president has already signed an executive order prohibiting the creation of a CBDC.
此外,交易者將遵循有關凱文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)的任何更新,他們似乎對加密貨幣更友好。但是,Warsh曾經對中央銀行數字貨幣(CBDC)發表講話,並對私人穩定幣發表意見。這一立場與特朗普的政策相矛盾,因為美國總統已經簽署了一項禁止創建CBDC的行政命令。
Instead, Trump seems more supportive of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Back in June, Trump stated that he is not a fan of Bitcoin and prefers the US dollar.
取而代之的是,特朗普似乎更支持像比特幣這樣的加密貨幣。早在6月,特朗普表示,他不喜歡比特幣,並且更喜歡美元。
At present, all attention will be directed towards the Fed’s next move and whether they will cut interest rates. Despite Powell’s stance, Bank of America predicts four Fed rate cuts this year, with the first anticipated at the May FOMC meeting.
目前,所有註意力都將針對美聯儲的下一步行動以及他們是否會降低利率。儘管鮑威爾(Powell)的立場,美國銀行(Bank of America)預計今年將降低四項美聯儲率,並在5月FOMC會議上進行了首次預期。
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