在技​​術專家Tony Severino對比特幣目前的價格行動的啟示之後，Strategy的BTC持有量可能會處於危險之中。

專家指出，旗艦加密貨幣的200天MA低於公司BTC持有的平均成本，這意味著它們在某個時候仍然可以造成未實現的損失。

Technical expert Tony Severino has revealed that Strategy's BTC holdings could be at risk following the revelation that the 200-day MA is below the average cost of the company's BTC holdings.

技術專家托尼·塞維里諾（Tony Severino）透露，在200天的MA低於公司BTC持有的平均成本之後，戰略的BTC持有量可能處於危險之中。

Every Bitcoin bear market touched the 200-week Moving Average, according to the expert. He further stated that the 200-week MA is currently at $47,000.

專家說，每個比特幣熊市都觸及了200週的移動平均水平。他進一步指出，200週的MA目前為47,000美元。

"This is about a 30% discount to the average cost basis of about $69k on Strategy's 258k BTC, and it's only $5k below the most recent lows set in April," Severino added.

Severino補充說：“這比策略的258K BTC的平均成本基礎約為6.9萬美元的平均成本折扣，僅比4月份設定的最新低點僅比$ 5,000美元。”

According to him, if BTC were to make a lower low or move into a bear market, then the company would likely soon be underwater on its Bitcoin holdings.

據他介紹，如果BTC要降低低點或進入熊市，那麼該公司很快就會在其比特幣持有的水下。

Strategy's Stock At Risk With Bitcoin's 200-Day MA Below $50,000

比特幣的200天MA低於50,000美元的策略股票處於危險之中

Following its latest purchase of 13,390 Bitcoins, Strategy now holds 568,840 BTC, which it bought for $39 billion at an average price of $69,287, well above the 200-week MA at $47,000.

在最新購買了13,390個比特幣之後，Strategy現在擁有568,840 BTC，其以390億美元的價格以69,287美元的價格購買，遠高於200週的MA，為47,000美元。

The company's stock price has dropped by 76% since March 2022, while its Bitcoin holdings have declined by 60% from their peak in January 2023.

自2022年3月以來，該公司的股價下跌了76％，而其比特幣持有量從2023年1月的頂峰下降了60％。

Earlier, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju revealed that the only way Strategy's Bitcoin plan could lead to bankruptcy was if the BTC price dropped to as low as $16,000.

早些時候，CryptoQuant首席執行官Ki Young Ju透露，策略的比特幣計劃唯一導致破產的方法是BTC價格下跌至16,000美元。

According to Ju, this price decline was almost impossible, which is why he is confident that Saylor's company won't have to liquidate its holdings anytime soon.

根據JU的說法，這種價格下跌幾乎是不可能的，這就是為什麼他相信Saylor的公司不必很快就會清算其持股。

However, experts like renowned economist Peter Schiff have remained critical of Strategy's non-stop Bitcoin purchase. In his latest criticism, Schiff noted that the company's next buy would likely put its cost average above the $70,000 mark.

但是，像著名的經濟學家彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff）這樣的專家仍然批評戰略不間斷的比特幣購買。 Schiff在最新的批評中指出，該公司的下一個買入可能會使其平均成本平均高於70,000美元。

"Isn't good considering how much they have borrowed to buy BTC. Paper losses could become real losses," the economist added.

這位經濟學家補充說：“考慮到他們藉了多少購買BTC，紙質損失可能會成為真正的損失，這不是很好。”

BTC Still Has More Legs To The Upside

BTC仍然有更多的腿

Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has indicated that Bitcoin has more legs to the upside in this market cycle, which is a positive for Strategy's BTC holdings.

加密分析師Titan的Crypto表示，比特幣在這個市場週期中具有更大的腿部，這對策略的BTC持有量是積極的。

In an X post, the analyst noted that despite BTC being near its all-time high (ATH), the monthly LMACD hasn't crossed bearish yet. He added that the crossover has marked the top in every past cycle.

分析師在X帖子中指出，儘管BTC接近其歷史最高（ATH），但每月的LMACD尚未跨越看跌。他補充說，交叉在過去的每個週期中都標誌著頂部。

As such, Bitcoin's 200-Week MA could also rise as the BTC price approaches a top in this market cycle.

因此，隨著BTC價格在這個市場週期的最高水平，比特幣的200週MA也可能會上升。

Crypto analyst CrediBULL recently predicted that the flagship crypto could still rally to as high as $150,000 or even $200,000 in this bull run. Standard Chartered has also stated that $200,000 by year-end is achievable.

加密分析師Credibull最近預測，旗艦加密貨幣仍可能高達15萬美元甚至200,000美元。標準包機還指出，按年底劃分的20萬美元是可以實現的。

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $102,000, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根據CoinMarketCap的數據，在撰寫本文時，在過去24小時內，比特幣價格的交易價格約為102,000美元。