在技​​术专家Tony Severino对比特币目前的价格行动的启示之后，Strategy的BTC持有量可能会处于危险之中。

专家指出，旗舰加密货币的200天MA低于公司BTC持有的平均成本，这意味着它们在某个时候仍然可以造成未实现的损失。

Technical expert Tony Severino has revealed that Strategy's BTC holdings could be at risk following the revelation that the 200-day MA is below the average cost of the company's BTC holdings.

技术专家托尼·塞维里诺（Tony Severino）透露，在200天的MA低于公司BTC持有的平均成本之后，战略的BTC持有量可能处于危险之中。

Every Bitcoin bear market touched the 200-week Moving Average, according to the expert. He further stated that the 200-week MA is currently at $47,000.

专家说，每个比特币熊市都触及了200周的移动平均水平。他进一步指出，200周的MA目前为47,000美元。

"This is about a 30% discount to the average cost basis of about $69k on Strategy's 258k BTC, and it's only $5k below the most recent lows set in April," Severino added.

Severino补充说：“这比策略的258K BTC的平均成本基础约为6.9万美元的平均成本折扣，仅比4月份设定的最新低点仅比$ 5,000美元。”

According to him, if BTC were to make a lower low or move into a bear market, then the company would likely soon be underwater on its Bitcoin holdings.

据他介绍，如果BTC要降低低点或进入熊市，那么该公司很快就会在其比特币持有的水下。

Strategy's Stock At Risk With Bitcoin's 200-Day MA Below $50,000

比特币的200天MA低于50,000美元的策略股票处于危险之中

Following its latest purchase of 13,390 Bitcoins, Strategy now holds 568,840 BTC, which it bought for $39 billion at an average price of $69,287, well above the 200-week MA at $47,000.

在最新购买了13,390个比特币之后，Strategy现在拥有568,840 BTC，其以390亿美元的价格以69,287美元的价格购买，远高于200周的MA，为47,000美元。

The company's stock price has dropped by 76% since March 2022, while its Bitcoin holdings have declined by 60% from their peak in January 2023.

自2022年3月以来，该公司的股价下跌了76％，而其比特币持有量从2023年1月的顶峰下降了60％。

Earlier, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju revealed that the only way Strategy's Bitcoin plan could lead to bankruptcy was if the BTC price dropped to as low as $16,000.

早些时候，CryptoQuant首席执行官Ki Young Ju透露，策略的比特币计划唯一导致破产的方法是BTC价格下跌至16,000美元。

According to Ju, this price decline was almost impossible, which is why he is confident that Saylor's company won't have to liquidate its holdings anytime soon.

根据JU的说法，这种价格下跌几乎是不可能的，这就是为什么他相信Saylor的公司不必很快就会清算其持股。

However, experts like renowned economist Peter Schiff have remained critical of Strategy's non-stop Bitcoin purchase. In his latest criticism, Schiff noted that the company's next buy would likely put its cost average above the $70,000 mark.

但是，像著名的经济学家彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff）这样的专家仍然批评战略不间断的比特币购买。 Schiff在最新的批评中指出，该公司的下一个买入可能会使其平均成本平均高于70,000美元。

"Isn't good considering how much they have borrowed to buy BTC. Paper losses could become real losses," the economist added.

这位经济学家补充说：“考虑到他们借了多少购买BTC，纸质损失可能会成为真正的损失，这不是很好。”

BTC Still Has More Legs To The Upside

BTC仍然有更多的腿

Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has indicated that Bitcoin has more legs to the upside in this market cycle, which is a positive for Strategy's BTC holdings.

加密分析师Titan的Crypto表示，比特币在这个市场周期中具有更大的腿部，这对策略的BTC持有量是积极的。

In an X post, the analyst noted that despite BTC being near its all-time high (ATH), the monthly LMACD hasn't crossed bearish yet. He added that the crossover has marked the top in every past cycle.

分析师在X帖子中指出，尽管BTC接近其历史最高（ATH），但每月的LMACD尚未跨越看跌。他补充说，交叉在过去的每个周期中都标志着顶部。

As such, Bitcoin's 200-Week MA could also rise as the BTC price approaches a top in this market cycle.

因此，随着BTC价格在这个市场周期的最高水平，比特币的200周MA也可能会上升。

Crypto analyst CrediBULL recently predicted that the flagship crypto could still rally to as high as $150,000 or even $200,000 in this bull run. Standard Chartered has also stated that $200,000 by year-end is achievable.

加密分析师Credibull最近预测，旗舰加密货币仍可能高达15万美元甚至200,000美元。标准包机还指出，按年底划分的20万美元是可以实现的。

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $102,000, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根据CoinMarketCap的数据，在撰写本文时，在过去24小时内，比特币价格的交易价格约为102,000美元。