原定於明天發布的PCE通貨膨脹指數報告引起了加密投資者和交易者的所有關注。

作為美聯儲用來指導貨幣政策決策的關鍵指標，個人消費支出數據從歷史上影響了加密貨幣市場

The PCE inflation index report, scheduled for release tomorrow, has all the attention from crypto investors and traders. As a key metric used by the Federal Reserve to guide monetary policy decisions, Personal Consumption Expenditures data has historically influenced the crypto market.

原定於明天發布的PCE通貨膨脹指數報告引起了加密投資者和交易者的所有關注。作為指導貨幣政策決策的美聯儲使用的關鍵指標，個人消費支出數據歷史上影響了加密貨幣市場。

The upcoming March figures will be closely watched for signals about potential interest rate adjustments that could affect liquidity and investment flows across financial markets.

即將到來的三月數字將密切關注有關可能影響金融市場流動性和投資流動的潛在利率調整的信號。

Projected PCE inflation for March

預計三月的PCE通貨膨脹

Market expectations for tomorrow’s PCE inflation report point to a potential cooling of inflationary pressures. According to data from MarketWatch, the core PCE inflation rate for March is projected to reach 2.6%. This would mark a decrease from February’s 2.8% reading. The February figure had previously shown an uptick from January’s 2.7% rate.

明天對PCE通貨膨脹報告的市場期望表明，通貨膨脹壓力的潛在冷卻。根據MarketWatch的數據，3月的核心PCE通貨膨脹率預計將達到2.6％。這將標誌著2月份的2.8％的閱讀量下降。 2月的數字先前顯示了一月2.7％的利率。

The headline PCE inflation, which includes food and energy prices, is expected to show an even more substantial decline. Year-over-year PCE inflation is forecast to come in at 2.2% for March, down from 2.5% in February.

包括食品和能源價格在內的標題PCE通貨膨脹預計將顯示出更大的下降。預計3月份的PCE通貨膨脹率將為2.2％，低於2月的2.5％。

These forecasts indicate inflation to be gradually inching its way toward the Federal Reserve’s preferred rate of 2%, but still higher. This deceleration in increases in prices follows months of mixed inflation reports, which have made it difficult for the Fed to act on interest rates.

這些預測表明，通貨膨脹將逐漸朝著美聯儲的首選率2％邁進，但仍然更高。價格上漲的減速是在數月的混合通貨膨脹報告之後，這使美聯儲很難按照利率採取行動。

The PCE inflation index is significant in that it is the Federal Reserve’s primary measure to gauge inflation. It provides a better overall view of price activity in the economy than the more widely recognized Consumer Price Index (CPI). The core PCE removes the volatile food and energy prices to provide a better view of the underlying inflation trend.

PCE通貨膨脹指數非常重要，因為它是美聯儲的主要措施衡量通貨膨脹。與更廣泛認可的消費者價格指數（CPI）相比，它為經濟中的價格活動提供了更好的總體看法。核心PCE消除了揮發性食品和能源價格，以更好地了解潛在的通貨膨脹趨勢。

How would that affect the crypto market?

這將如何影響加密市場？

If the PCE inflation reading is 2.6% for core PCE and 2.2% for headline PCE, the crypto market and Bitcoin price could respond positively. Lower inflation readings would increase the chances that the Federal Reserve would opt for a more accommodative monetary policy. That would translate into interest rate reductions later in the year.

如果核心PCE的PCE通貨膨脹率為2.6％，標題PCE為2.2％，則加密貨幣市場和比特幣價格可能會呈積極響應。較低的通貨膨脹式閱讀將增加美聯儲選擇更適合貨幣政策的機會。這將轉化為今年晚些時候的利率降低。

Lower interest rates benefit risk assets like cryptocurrencies in several ways. First, they reduce the attractiveness of return-generating investments like bonds and savings accounts. This could lead people to go into more risky, possibly higher-reward assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Second, a more policy-friendly monetary policy puts more money into the financial system. Also, some of that money may find its way into crypto markets.

較低的利率在幾種方面受益於風險資產，例如加密貨幣。首先，它們降低了返回投資（例如債券和儲蓄帳戶）的吸引力。這可能會導致人們進入更風險的，可能是比特幣和其他加密貨幣（例如比特幣和其他加密貨幣）。其次，對政策友好的貨幣政策將更多的錢投入了金融體系。而且，其中一些錢可能會進入加密貨幣市場。

If the market aligns with this trend, then Robert Kiyosaki’s $200k price prediction could prove to be true. When PCE numbers are lower than expected (lower than 2.6% for core PCE), they can catalyze an even more positive response in cryptocurrency markets. They would be supporting the argument of earlier and greater interest rate cuts by the Fed.

如果市場與這一趨勢保持一致，那麼羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）的$ 200萬$價格預測可能是正確的。當PCE數量低於預期（核心PCE的2.6％）時，它們可以催化加密貨幣市場的更正面反應。他們將支持美聯儲提前和更高的利率降低的論點。

Analyst Will Meade shared the same opinion and tweeted that a cooler-than-expected PCE inflation can cause a jump in stock prices. This could also prove to be positive for crypto prices.

分析師將米德（Meade）分享同樣的意見，並在推特上說，比預期的PCE通貨膨脹可能會導致股票價格上漲。這也可能被證明對加密價格是陽性的。

This post was originally published on April 29, 2025, at 3:36 am UTC.

該帖子最初於2025年4月29日上午3:36發表。

The post PCE inflation to decide on the direction of liquidity and crypto market this week appeared first on CCXV.

PCE通貨膨脹以決定本周流動性和加密市場的方向，首先是CCXV。