原定于明天发布的PCE通货膨胀指数报告引起了加密投资者和交易者的所有关注。

作为美联储用来指导货币政策决策的关键指标，个人消费支出数据从历史上影响了加密货币市场

The PCE inflation index report, scheduled for release tomorrow, has all the attention from crypto investors and traders. As a key metric used by the Federal Reserve to guide monetary policy decisions, Personal Consumption Expenditures data has historically influenced the crypto market.

原定于明天发布的PCE通货膨胀指数报告引起了加密投资者和交易者的所有关注。作为指导货币政策决策的美联储使用的关键指标，个人消费支出数据历史上影响了加密货币市场。

The upcoming March figures will be closely watched for signals about potential interest rate adjustments that could affect liquidity and investment flows across financial markets.

即将到来的三月数字将密切关注有关可能影响金融市场流动性和投资流动的潜在利率调整的信号。

Projected PCE inflation for March

预计三月的PCE通货膨胀

Market expectations for tomorrow’s PCE inflation report point to a potential cooling of inflationary pressures. According to data from MarketWatch, the core PCE inflation rate for March is projected to reach 2.6%. This would mark a decrease from February’s 2.8% reading. The February figure had previously shown an uptick from January’s 2.7% rate.

明天对PCE通货膨胀报告的市场期望表明，通货膨胀压力的潜在冷却。根据MarketWatch的数据，3月的核心PCE通货膨胀率预计将达到2.6％。这将标志着2月份的2.8％的阅读量下降。 2月的数字先前显示了一月2.7％的利率。

The headline PCE inflation, which includes food and energy prices, is expected to show an even more substantial decline. Year-over-year PCE inflation is forecast to come in at 2.2% for March, down from 2.5% in February.

包括食品和能源价格在内的标题PCE通货膨胀预计将显示出更大的下降。预计3月份的PCE通货膨胀率将为2.2％，低于2月的2.5％。

These forecasts indicate inflation to be gradually inching its way toward the Federal Reserve’s preferred rate of 2%, but still higher. This deceleration in increases in prices follows months of mixed inflation reports, which have made it difficult for the Fed to act on interest rates.

这些预测表明，通货膨胀将逐渐朝着美联储的首选率2％迈进，但仍然更高。价格上涨的减速是在数月的混合通货膨胀报告之后，这使美联储很难按照利率采取行动。

The PCE inflation index is significant in that it is the Federal Reserve’s primary measure to gauge inflation. It provides a better overall view of price activity in the economy than the more widely recognized Consumer Price Index (CPI). The core PCE removes the volatile food and energy prices to provide a better view of the underlying inflation trend.

PCE通货膨胀指数非常重要，因为它是美联储的主要措施衡量通货膨胀。与更广泛认可的消费者价格指数（CPI）相比，它为经济中的价格活动提供了更好的总体看法。核心PCE消除了挥发性食品和能源价格，以更好地了解潜在的通货膨胀趋势。

How would that affect the crypto market?

这将如何影响加密市场？

If the PCE inflation reading is 2.6% for core PCE and 2.2% for headline PCE, the crypto market and Bitcoin price could respond positively. Lower inflation readings would increase the chances that the Federal Reserve would opt for a more accommodative monetary policy. That would translate into interest rate reductions later in the year.

如果核心PCE的PCE通货膨胀率为2.6％，标题PCE为2.2％，则加密货币市场和比特币价格可能会呈积极响应。较低的通货膨胀式阅读将增加美联储选择更适合货币政策的机会。这将转化为今年晚些时候的利率降低。

Lower interest rates benefit risk assets like cryptocurrencies in several ways. First, they reduce the attractiveness of return-generating investments like bonds and savings accounts. This could lead people to go into more risky, possibly higher-reward assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Second, a more policy-friendly monetary policy puts more money into the financial system. Also, some of that money may find its way into crypto markets.

较低的利率在几种方面受益于风险资产，例如加密货币。首先，它们降低了返回投资（例如债券和储蓄帐户）的吸引力。这可能会导致人们进入更风险的，可能是比特币和其他加密货币（例如比特币和其他加密货币）。其次，对政策友好的货币政策将更多的钱投入了金融体系。而且，其中一些钱可能会进入加密货币市场。

If the market aligns with this trend, then Robert Kiyosaki’s $200k price prediction could prove to be true. When PCE numbers are lower than expected (lower than 2.6% for core PCE), they can catalyze an even more positive response in cryptocurrency markets. They would be supporting the argument of earlier and greater interest rate cuts by the Fed.

如果市场与这一趋势保持一致，那么罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）的$ 200万$价格预测可能是正确的。当PCE数量低于预期（核心PCE的2.6％）时，它们可以催化加密货币市场的更正面反应。他们将支持美联储提前和更高的利率降低的论点。

Analyst Will Meade shared the same opinion and tweeted that a cooler-than-expected PCE inflation can cause a jump in stock prices. This could also prove to be positive for crypto prices.

分析师将米德（Meade）分享同样的意见，并在推特上说，比预期的PCE通货膨胀可能会导致股票价格上涨。这也可能被证明对加密价格是阳性的。

This post was originally published on April 29, 2025, at 3:36 am UTC.

该帖子最初于2025年4月29日上午3:36发表。

The post PCE inflation to decide on the direction of liquidity and crypto market this week appeared first on CCXV.

PCE通货膨胀以决定本周流动性和加密市场的方向，首先是CCXV。