卡巴（Kas）（kas）再次在一個主要的十字路口：預計波動性 - 價格下一步在哪裡？

Kaspa（KAS）圖表為公牛和熊都閃爍著一個嚴重的警告信號。經過漫長的側向運動和突破失敗的失敗後，KAS返回了測試熟悉的水平。

Kaspa (KAS) is trading at a crucial crossroads, with the immediate trend remaining down despite attempts at a breakout. The price has returned to test the $0.10 resistance zone again, a level that has acted as both strong support and solid resistance in recent weeks.

卡巴（Kas）（KAS）正在關鍵的十字路口進行交易，儘管試圖突破，但即時趨勢仍在下降。價格恢復了，再次測試了0.10美元的電阻區，這一水平在最近幾週內既是強大的支持又是堅實的阻力。

Kaspa Could See Big Moves As Key Resistance Reaches 'Critical Point'

Kaspa可以看到大動作，因為關鍵阻力達到“關鍵點”

What happens at this point could shape the next few months for Kaspa price. A successful push back above $0.10 could bring back bullish momentum and even send the price toward the $0.15 or $0.20 zone.

此時發生的事情可能會以Kaspa價格在接下來的幾個月中塑造。成功的推遲超過0.10美元可能會帶回看漲的勢頭，甚至將價格轉移到0.15美元或0.20美元的區域。

But if it gets rejected again, the structure might confirm a deeper downside, possibly setting up a larger correction. The chart shows a clear divergence and the market is waiting for confirmation.

但是，如果再次被拒絕，則該結構可能會確認更深的缺點，可能會設置更大的更正。該圖表顯示出明顯的分歧，市場正在等待確認。

Chart: TradingView

圖表：TradingView

Why the $0.10 Level Is So Important

為什麼$ 0.10的水平如此重要

According to Kaspa Daily, this is not just a simple resistance test. The chart pattern is showing signs of what could be a Wyckoff Distribution model. This model is a classic framework used to describe how large investors distribute their holdings after an extended uptrend. The structure includes phases where price goes flat, then fakes out the crowd with a rally before breaking down sharply.

根據Kaspa Daily的說法，這不僅是一個簡單的阻力測試。圖表模式顯示了可能是Wyckoff分佈模型的跡象。該模型是一個經典的框架，用於描述大型投資者在擴展上升趨勢後如何分配其持股。該結構包括價格平坦的階段，然後在劇烈分解之前通過集會欺騙人群。

In Kaspa’s case, the price went through a choppy range in 2024, hitting several highs and lows without making a true breakout. That range could represent Phase B of the distribution. The brief breakout above $0.14 that quickly failed might have been the UTAD, the upthrust after distribution, which usually tricks late buyers into entering before the market turns lower.

就卡巴（Kaspa）而言，價格在2024年的波動範圍內，擊中了幾個高點和低點，而沒有真正突破。該範圍可以代表分佈的B期。超過0.14美元的短暫突破可能很快失敗了，這是UTAD，這是分發後的上市，這通常會在市場轉變之前欺騙後期的買家進入。

The breakdown below $0.10 earlier in 2025 might have marked the beginning of Phase D, where selling pressure ramps up. If this is accurate, and we are now in Phase E, a decisive rejection at $0.10 would confirm that a larger downtrend has already started.

2025年前早些時候的細分低於0.10美元，可能標誌著D期的開始，銷售壓力升高。如果這是準確的，並且我們現在處於E階段，那麼$ 0.10的決定性拒絕將確認已經開始了較大的下降趨勢。

Kaspa Price at a Crossroads: A look through Wyckoff theory perspective. 🧵👇1/ The Wyckoff method is a time-tested framework used to understand how markets move through phases of accumulation, distribution, and trend. It focuses on the behavior of supply and demand and helps…https://t.co/z0I33m879v

卡巴·普萊斯（Kaspa Price）在十字路口：瀏覽Wyckoff理論的觀點。 🧵👇1/ Wyckoff方法是一個經過時間測試的框架，用於了解市場如何通過積累，分銷和趨勢的階段發展。它重點介紹供求的行為和幫助……https：//t.co/z0i33m879v

But there’s a flip side to the story. Wyckoff’s method also includes the possibility of re-accumulation, where the market pauses during an overall bullish trend. In that case, the same range structure can appear, but the outcome is very different.

但是這個故事有一個反面的一面。 Wyckoff的方法還包括重新蓄能的可能性，在總體看漲趨勢中，市場停止了。在這種情況下，可以出現相同的範圍結構，但是結果卻大不相同。

Instead of distribution, the range would be a zone where long-term buyers quietly accumulate more tokens before another rally. In this scenario, the shakeout below $0.10 would be part of Phase C, designed to flush out weak hands. A successful reclaim of $0.10 followed by strong price action would suggest we’ve moved into Phase D of re-accumulation, where buyers begin stepping in aggressively.

該範圍不是分配，而是一個長期買家在另一場集會之前悄悄積累更多令牌的區域。在這種情況下，Shakeout低於$ 0.10將是C期的一部分，旨在沖洗弱的手。成功的收回為0.10美元，然後進行強勁的價格行動，這表明我們已經進入了D階段的重新蓄能，在這裡買家開始積極地踏上。

Volume Adds Another Layer of Complexity

卷增加了另一層複雜性

The volume profile on the Kaspa chart adds more insight. During the breakdown below $0.10 earlier this year, there was a clear spike in volume. That move could either represent panic selling in a distribution phase or a forced shakeout in a re-accumulation phase.

KASPA圖表上的音量配置文件增加了更多的見解。在今年早些時候的分解低於$ 0.10的情況下，數量明顯高漲。這一舉動可以代表分配階段的恐慌銷售，也可以代表重新蓄能階段的強制震動。

Read Also: How High Can Kaspa (KAS) Go This Bull Run? Analyst Weighs In

另請閱讀：Kaspa（Kas）這次公牛能有多高？分析師稱重

Since then, volume has remained elevated but less aggressive. If KAS reclaims the $0.10 zone with high volume, that would be a strong sign that buyers are stepping back in. But if it stalls with rising sell volume, it could be the final confirmation of further downside.

從那時起，體積一直升高，但侵略性較低。如果Kas以大量的數量收回了0.10美元的區域，那將是買家正在重新介入的強烈信號。但是，如果它停滯不前，賣出銷量上升，則可能是最終的進一步證實。

So now, it all comes down to this moment. Kaspa price is sitting on the edge. Bulls need to reclaim $0.10 convincingly, or the bearish thesis becomes much harder to deny. Either way, volatility is likely to spike soon. The only question is whether the move will be up or down.

所以現在，這一切都歸結為這一刻。卡巴·普萊斯（Kaspa Price）坐在邊緣。公牛需要令人信服地收回0.10美元，或者看跌論文變得更加難以否認。無論哪種方式，波動率都可能很快飆升。唯一的問題是，這一舉動是上升還是向下。

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