卡巴（Kas）（kas）再次在一个主要的十字路口：预计波动性 - 价格下一步在哪里？

Kaspa（KAS）图表为公牛和熊都闪烁着一个严重的警告信号。经过漫长的侧向运动和突破失败的失败后，KAS返回了测试熟悉的水平。

Kaspa (KAS) is trading at a crucial crossroads, with the immediate trend remaining down despite attempts at a breakout. The price has returned to test the $0.10 resistance zone again, a level that has acted as both strong support and solid resistance in recent weeks.

卡巴（Kas）（KAS）正在关键的十字路口进行交易，尽管试图突破，但即时趋势仍在下降。价格恢复了，再次测试了0.10美元的电阻区，这一水平在最近几周内既是强大的支持又是坚实的阻力。

Kaspa Could See Big Moves As Key Resistance Reaches 'Critical Point'

Kaspa可以看到大动作，因为关键阻力达到“关键点”

What happens at this point could shape the next few months for Kaspa price. A successful push back above $0.10 could bring back bullish momentum and even send the price toward the $0.15 or $0.20 zone.

此时发生的事情可能会以Kaspa价格在接下来的几个月中塑造。成功的推迟超过0.10美元可能会带回看涨的势头，甚至将价格转移到0.15美元或0.20美元的区域。

But if it gets rejected again, the structure might confirm a deeper downside, possibly setting up a larger correction. The chart shows a clear divergence and the market is waiting for confirmation.

但是，如果再次被拒绝，则该结构可能会确认更深的缺点，可能会设置更大的更正。该图表显示出明显的分歧，市场正在等待确认。

Chart: TradingView

图表：TradingView

Why the $0.10 Level Is So Important

为什么$ 0.10的水平如此重要

According to Kaspa Daily, this is not just a simple resistance test. The chart pattern is showing signs of what could be a Wyckoff Distribution model. This model is a classic framework used to describe how large investors distribute their holdings after an extended uptrend. The structure includes phases where price goes flat, then fakes out the crowd with a rally before breaking down sharply.

根据Kaspa Daily的说法，这不仅是一个简单的阻力测试。图表模式显示了可能是Wyckoff分布模型的迹象。该模型是一个经典的框架，用于描述大型投资者在扩展上升趋势后如何分配其持股。该结构包括价格平坦的阶段，然后在剧烈分解之前通过集会欺骗人群。

In Kaspa’s case, the price went through a choppy range in 2024, hitting several highs and lows without making a true breakout. That range could represent Phase B of the distribution. The brief breakout above $0.14 that quickly failed might have been the UTAD, the upthrust after distribution, which usually tricks late buyers into entering before the market turns lower.

就卡巴（Kaspa）而言，价格在2024年的波动范围内，击中了几个高点和低点，而没有真正突破。该范围可以代表分布的B期。超过0.14美元的短暂突破可能很快失败了，这是UTAD，这是分发后的上市，这通常会在市场转变之前欺骗后期的买家进入。

The breakdown below $0.10 earlier in 2025 might have marked the beginning of Phase D, where selling pressure ramps up. If this is accurate, and we are now in Phase E, a decisive rejection at $0.10 would confirm that a larger downtrend has already started.

2025年前早些时候的细分低于0.10美元，可能标志着D期的开始，销售压力升高。如果这是准确的，并且我们现在处于E阶段，那么$ 0.10的决定性拒绝将确认已经开始了较大的下降趋势。

Kaspa Price at a Crossroads: A look through Wyckoff theory perspective. 🧵👇1/ The Wyckoff method is a time-tested framework used to understand how markets move through phases of accumulation, distribution, and trend. It focuses on the behavior of supply and demand and helps…https://t.co/z0I33m879v

卡巴·普莱斯（Kaspa Price）在十字路口：浏览Wyckoff理论的观点。 🧵👇1/ Wyckoff方法是一个经过时间测试的框架，用于了解市场如何通过积累，分销和趋势的阶段发展。它重点介绍供求的行为和帮助……https：//t.co/z0i33m879v

But there’s a flip side to the story. Wyckoff’s method also includes the possibility of re-accumulation, where the market pauses during an overall bullish trend. In that case, the same range structure can appear, but the outcome is very different.

但是这个故事有一个反面的一面。 Wyckoff的方法还包括重新蓄能的可能性，在总体看涨趋势中，市场停止了。在这种情况下，可以出现相同的范围结构，但是结果却大不相同。

Instead of distribution, the range would be a zone where long-term buyers quietly accumulate more tokens before another rally. In this scenario, the shakeout below $0.10 would be part of Phase C, designed to flush out weak hands. A successful reclaim of $0.10 followed by strong price action would suggest we’ve moved into Phase D of re-accumulation, where buyers begin stepping in aggressively.

该范围不是分配，而是一个长期买家在另一场集会之前悄悄积累更多令牌的区域。在这种情况下，Shakeout低于$ 0.10将是C期的一部分，旨在冲洗弱的手。成功的收回为0.10美元，然后进行强劲的价格行动，这表明我们已经进入了D阶段的重新蓄能，在这里买家开始积极地踏上。

Volume Adds Another Layer of Complexity

卷增加了另一层复杂性

The volume profile on the Kaspa chart adds more insight. During the breakdown below $0.10 earlier this year, there was a clear spike in volume. That move could either represent panic selling in a distribution phase or a forced shakeout in a re-accumulation phase.

KASPA图表上的音量配置文件增加了更多的见解。在今年早些时候的分解低于$ 0.10的情况下，数量明显高涨。这一举动可以代表分配阶段的恐慌销售，也可以代表重新蓄能阶段的强制震动。

Read Also: How High Can Kaspa (KAS) Go This Bull Run? Analyst Weighs In

另请阅读：Kaspa（Kas）这次公牛能有多高？分析师称重

Since then, volume has remained elevated but less aggressive. If KAS reclaims the $0.10 zone with high volume, that would be a strong sign that buyers are stepping back in. But if it stalls with rising sell volume, it could be the final confirmation of further downside.

从那时起，体积一直升高，但侵略性较低。如果Kas以大量的数量收回了0.10美元的区域，那将是买家正在重新介入的强烈信号。但是，如果它停滞不前，卖出销量上升，则可能是最终的进一步证实。

So now, it all comes down to this moment. Kaspa price is sitting on the edge. Bulls need to reclaim $0.10 convincingly, or the bearish thesis becomes much harder to deny. Either way, volatility is likely to spike soon. The only question is whether the move will be up or down.

所以现在，这一切都归结为这一刻。卡巴·普莱斯（Kaspa Price）坐在边缘。公牛需要令人信服地收回0.10美元，或者看跌论文变得更加难以否认。无论哪种方式，波动率都可能很快飙升。唯一的问题是，这一举动是上升还是向下。

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