專家預測，比特幣（BTC）價格何時會達到新的歷史

Crypto Expert Egrag Crypto在BTC Price可能會在X上達到其下一個歷史最高高點時提供了新的選擇。

Crypto expert EGRAG CRYPTO has shared on X an interesting take on when BTC price might hit its next all-time high.

加密專家Egrag Crypto在X上分享了一個有趣的情況，即BTC Price可能會達到下一個歷史最高水平。

The model, originally developed by Benjamin Cowen and shared by EGRAG CRYPTO, looks at how Bitcoin’s past cycles have lined up with the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Based on that pattern, the next big top could arrive around September 2025 or March 2026.

該模型最初由本傑明·科恩（Benjamin Cowen）開發，並由Egrag Crypto共享，研究了比特幣過去的周期如何與200週的簡單移動平均線（SMA）排隊。基於該模式，下一個大頂可能會在2025年9月左右或2026年3月左右到達。

EGRAG CRYPTO posted the chart with the caption:

Egrag Crypto以標題發布了圖表：

"This model has done a decent job in the past at picking out cycle peaks. In previous bull runs, Bitcoin price highs seemed to follow a rhythm, usually hitting their top when the price moved a certain distance away from the 200-week SMA."

“過去，該模型在挑選週期峰值方面做得不錯。在先前的公牛運行中，比特幣價格高點似乎遵循節奏，通常在價格與200週SMA的一定距離時達到最高水平。”

According to the framework developed by Cowen and highlighted by EGRAG CRYPTO, we’re now in Cycle D, and the pieces may already be falling into place for the next major move.

根據Cowen開發的框架並由Egrag Crypto突出顯示，我們現在處於週期，並且這些碎片可能已經成為下一步的重大舉動。

BTC Log Chart Structure Shows Long-Term Market Rhythm

BTC日誌圖結構顯示了長期市場節奏

The BTC logarithmic chart, spanning from 2010 through 2026, showcases four cycles labeled A through D. The 200-week SMA is highlighted in red, while two curved white lines frame the Bitcoin price parabolic growth channel.

BTC對數圖表跨越2010年至2026年，展示了四個標記為A至D的周期。 200週的SMA以紅色突出顯示，而兩條彎曲的白線則構成了比特幣價格拋物線增長通道。

Each cycle saw BTC’s top occur after it distanced itself from the 200W SMA and approached the channel’s upper resistance. Cycles A and B both peaked in alignment with the projected trajectory. Cycle C was delayed by 42 days but remained within the same structural zone.

每個循環都看到BTC的頂部發生在其與200W SMA距離並接近通道的上部電阻之後。循環A和B均與預測軌蹟的對齊方式達到峰值。循環C延遲42天，但保留在同一結構區域內。

According to the model, Cycle D follows a similar path. Based on the intersection of the projected SMA and the parabolic channel, the next top may appear between Q3 2025 and Q1 2026.

根據模型，週期D遵循類似的路徑。根據投影SMA和拋物線通道的交集，下一個頂部可能會出現在Q3 2025和Q1 2026之間。

Furthermore, the BTC price chart shows the 200-week SMA as the primary support across all market cycles. Historically, Bitcoin has not remained below this level for long.

此外，BTC的價格圖顯示了200週的SMA作為所有市場週期的主要支持。從歷史上看，比特幣長期以來一直保持低於此水平。

The upper curved trendline has consistently marked resistance at each cycle peak. Currently, Bitcoin’s price moves within the channel, trading below the midpoint, suggesting room for upward growth if historical trends repeat.

上彎曲趨勢線在每個週期峰上始終標記了電阻。目前，比特幣的價格在渠道內部轉移，交易低於中點，這表明如果歷史趨勢重複出現，則為向上增長的餘地。

The model also shows that resistance tightens as the cycle progresses. If the pattern holds, BTC may move toward the upper boundary in 2025, placing potential price targets in the $180,000 to $220,000 range.

該模型還表明，隨著循環的進行，電阻會收緊。如果該模式成立，BTC可能會在2025年向上邊界移動，將潛在的目標目標置於180,000美元至220,000美元的範圍內。

Read Also: Altcoin Bottom Is In? Key Chart Signals a Major Rotation from Bitcoin

另請閱讀：Altcoin底部在？鑰匙圖標誌著比特幣的重大輪換

Cycle Timing Suggests New Peak May Be 12–21 Months Away

週期時序表明，新的峰值可能是12-21個月

The timing component of this model is crucial to the prediction. According to EGRAG CRYPTO, projecting the 200-week SMA leads to two dates with strong structural alignment: September 2025 and March 2026. These projections are based on cycle geometry and historical market rhythm.

該模型的時序部分對於預測至關重要。根據Egrag Crypto的說法，預測為期200週的SMA導致​​兩個具有強大結構一致性的日期：2025年9月和2026年3月。這些預測基於週期幾何形狀和歷史市場節奏。

While this analysis does not guarantee outcomes, the consistency across multiple cycles adds significance to the timeline. Traders and macro-focused investors can use this structure to align broader strategies with the expected cycle movements.

儘管該分析不能保證結果，但多個週期之間的一致性為時間表增添了意義。貿易商和以宏觀為中心的投資者可以使用這種結構來使更廣泛的策略與預期的周期運動保持一致。

Ultimately, the final outcome will depend on how Bitcoin price responds to long-term support and resistance over the next several quarters.

最終，最終結果將取決於比特幣價格在接下來的幾個季度中如何應對長期支持和抵抗。