专家预测，比特币（BTC）价格何时会达到新的历史

Crypto Expert Egrag Crypto在BTC Price可能会在X上达到其下一个历史最高高点时提供了新的选择。

Crypto expert EGRAG CRYPTO has shared on X an interesting take on when BTC price might hit its next all-time high.

加密专家Egrag Crypto在X上分享了一个有趣的情况，即BTC Price可能会达到下一个历史最高水平。

The model, originally developed by Benjamin Cowen and shared by EGRAG CRYPTO, looks at how Bitcoin’s past cycles have lined up with the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Based on that pattern, the next big top could arrive around September 2025 or March 2026.

该模型最初由本杰明·科恩（Benjamin Cowen）开发，并由Egrag Crypto共享，研究了比特币过去的周期如何与200周的简单移动平均线（SMA）排队。基于该模式，下一个大顶可能会在2025年9月左右或2026年3月左右到达。

EGRAG CRYPTO posted the chart with the caption:

Egrag Crypto以标题发布了图表：

"This model has done a decent job in the past at picking out cycle peaks. In previous bull runs, Bitcoin price highs seemed to follow a rhythm, usually hitting their top when the price moved a certain distance away from the 200-week SMA."

“过去，该模型在挑选周期峰值方面做得不错。在先前的公牛运行中，比特币价格高点似乎遵循节奏，通常在价格与200周SMA的一定距离时达到最高水平。”

According to the framework developed by Cowen and highlighted by EGRAG CRYPTO, we’re now in Cycle D, and the pieces may already be falling into place for the next major move.

根据Cowen开发的框架并由Egrag Crypto突出显示，我们现在处于周期，并且这些碎片可能已经成为下一步的重大举动。

BTC Log Chart Structure Shows Long-Term Market Rhythm

BTC日志图结构显示了长期市场节奏

The BTC logarithmic chart, spanning from 2010 through 2026, showcases four cycles labeled A through D. The 200-week SMA is highlighted in red, while two curved white lines frame the Bitcoin price parabolic growth channel.

BTC对数图表跨越2010年至2026年，展示了四个标记为A至D的周期。200周的SMA以红色突出显示，而两条弯曲的白线则构成了比特币价格抛物线增长通道。

Each cycle saw BTC’s top occur after it distanced itself from the 200W SMA and approached the channel’s upper resistance. Cycles A and B both peaked in alignment with the projected trajectory. Cycle C was delayed by 42 days but remained within the same structural zone.

每个循环都看到BTC的顶部发生在其与200W SMA距离并接近通道的上部电阻之后。循环A和B均与预测轨迹的对齐方式达到峰值。循环C延迟42天，但保留在同一结构区域内。

According to the model, Cycle D follows a similar path. Based on the intersection of the projected SMA and the parabolic channel, the next top may appear between Q3 2025 and Q1 2026.

根据模型，周期D遵循类似的路径。根据投影SMA和抛物线通道的交集，下一个顶部可能会出现在Q3 2025和Q1 2026之间。

Furthermore, the BTC price chart shows the 200-week SMA as the primary support across all market cycles. Historically, Bitcoin has not remained below this level for long.

此外，BTC的价格图显示了200周的SMA作为所有市场周期的主要支持。从历史上看，比特币长期以来一直保持低于此水平。

The upper curved trendline has consistently marked resistance at each cycle peak. Currently, Bitcoin’s price moves within the channel, trading below the midpoint, suggesting room for upward growth if historical trends repeat.

上弯曲趋势线在每个周期峰上始终标记了电阻。目前，比特币的价格在渠道内部转移，交易低于中点，这表明如果历史趋势重复出现，则为向上增长的余地。

The model also shows that resistance tightens as the cycle progresses. If the pattern holds, BTC may move toward the upper boundary in 2025, placing potential price targets in the $180,000 to $220,000 range.

该模型还表明，随着循环的进行，电阻会收紧。如果该模式成立，BTC可能会在2025年向上边界移动，将潜在的目标目标置于180,000美元至220,000美元的范围内。

Read Also: Altcoin Bottom Is In? Key Chart Signals a Major Rotation from Bitcoin

另请阅读：Altcoin底部在？钥匙图标志着比特币的重大轮换

Cycle Timing Suggests New Peak May Be 12–21 Months Away

周期时序表明，新的峰值可能是12-21个月

The timing component of this model is crucial to the prediction. According to EGRAG CRYPTO, projecting the 200-week SMA leads to two dates with strong structural alignment: September 2025 and March 2026. These projections are based on cycle geometry and historical market rhythm.

该模型的时序部分对于预测至关重要。根据Egrag Crypto的说法，预测为期200周的SMA导致​​两个具有强大结构一致性的日期：2025年9月和2026年3月。这些预测基于周期几何形状和历史市场节奏。

While this analysis does not guarantee outcomes, the consistency across multiple cycles adds significance to the timeline. Traders and macro-focused investors can use this structure to align broader strategies with the expected cycle movements.

尽管该分析不能保证结果，但多个周期之间的一致性为时间表增添了意义。贸易商和以宏观为中心的投资者可以使用这种结构来使更广泛的策略与预期的周期运动保持一致。

Ultimately, the final outcome will depend on how Bitcoin price responds to long-term support and resistance over the next several quarters.

最终，最终结果将取决于比特币价格在接下来的几个季度中如何应对长期支持和抵抗。