Expert Predicts When Bitcoin (BTC) Price Could Hit a New All-Time High

Crypto expert EGRAG CRYPTO is offering a fresh take on when BTC price might hit its next all-time high on X. He shared that the model originally developed by Benjamin Cowen

Crypto expert EGRAG CRYPTO has shared on X an interesting take on when BTC price might hit its next all-time high.

The model, originally developed by Benjamin Cowen and shared by EGRAG CRYPTO, looks at how Bitcoin’s past cycles have lined up with the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Based on that pattern, the next big top could arrive around September 2025 or March 2026.

EGRAG CRYPTO posted the chart with the caption:

"This model has done a decent job in the past at picking out cycle peaks. In previous bull runs, Bitcoin price highs seemed to follow a rhythm, usually hitting their top when the price moved a certain distance away from the 200-week SMA."

According to the framework developed by Cowen and highlighted by EGRAG CRYPTO, we’re now in Cycle D, and the pieces may already be falling into place for the next major move.

BTC Log Chart Structure Shows Long-Term Market Rhythm

The BTC logarithmic chart, spanning from 2010 through 2026, showcases four cycles labeled A through D. The 200-week SMA is highlighted in red, while two curved white lines frame the Bitcoin price parabolic growth channel.

Each cycle saw BTC’s top occur after it distanced itself from the 200W SMA and approached the channel’s upper resistance. Cycles A and B both peaked in alignment with the projected trajectory. Cycle C was delayed by 42 days but remained within the same structural zone.

According to the model, Cycle D follows a similar path. Based on the intersection of the projected SMA and the parabolic channel, the next top may appear between Q3 2025 and Q1 2026.

Furthermore, the BTC price chart shows the 200-week SMA as the primary support across all market cycles. Historically, Bitcoin has not remained below this level for long.

The upper curved trendline has consistently marked resistance at each cycle peak. Currently, Bitcoin’s price moves within the channel, trading below the midpoint, suggesting room for upward growth if historical trends repeat.

The model also shows that resistance tightens as the cycle progresses. If the pattern holds, BTC may move toward the upper boundary in 2025, placing potential price targets in the $180,000 to $220,000 range.

Read Also: Altcoin Bottom Is In? Key Chart Signals a Major Rotation from Bitcoin

Cycle Timing Suggests New Peak May Be 12–21 Months Away

The timing component of this model is crucial to the prediction. According to EGRAG CRYPTO, projecting the 200-week SMA leads to two dates with strong structural alignment: September 2025 and March 2026. These projections are based on cycle geometry and historical market rhythm.

While this analysis does not guarantee outcomes, the consistency across multiple cycles adds significance to the timeline. Traders and macro-focused investors can use this structure to align broader strategies with the expected cycle movements.

Ultimately, the final outcome will depend on how Bitcoin price responds to long-term support and resistance over the next several quarters.