Dogecoin（Doge）價格預測：模因可能即將離開合併範圍

Dogecoin在三年的大部分時間裡消化了2021年的吹式頂部，但受歡迎的模因可能即將離開合併範圍

A fresh look at the Dogecoin chart on the weekly timeframe suggests that the meme-coin may be preparing to break out of its multi-year consolidation range. The analysis, shared by Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto) on X, highlights several technical factors that could favor a steeper ascent in the near term.

在每週的時間範圍內仔細查看Dogecoin圖表表明，模因可能正在準備擺脫其多年整合範圍。 Maelius（@MaeliusCrypto）在X上共享的分析突出了幾個技術因素，這些因素可能在短期內有利於更陡峭的上升。

Dogecoin Could Be Poised For Breakout After 3 Years Of Consolidation

三年合併後，Dogecoin可能會被準備好突破

The analysis focuses on the DOGE/USDT pair on Binance, currently trading at $0.1828. The chart shows two long-term moving averages: the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA-50) in blue at $0.203 and the rising 200-week EMA (EMA-200) in red at $0.138.

該分析側重於Doge/USDT對Binance，目前以0.1828美元的價格交易。該圖顯示了兩個長期移動平均值：藍色的50週指數移動平均值（EMA-50）為0.203，RED的200週EMA（EMA-200）上升為0.138美元。

The price action broke below the EMA-50 earlier this year but, crucially, never lost the EMA-200, which is now sitting inside a broad demand zone shaded in slate colour that runs roughly from $0.11 to $0.20. A second layer of support comes from an ascending red trend-line that links the October 2023, August 2024 and April 2025 swing-lows.

價格動作在今年早些時候的EMA-50以下打破，但至關重要的是，從未丟失EMA-200，現在坐落在板岩顏色的廣泛需求區域內，大約從0.11美元到0.20美元。第二層的支持來自上升的紅色趨勢線，該趨勢線鏈接了2023年10月，2024年8月和2025年4月的搖擺低點。

The most recent pullback, labelled 2 on the chart, bounced almost precisely where that diagonal meets the EMA-200 and the lower edge of demand—an area of triple confluence that technicians often see as a textbook springboard for the next advance.

最新的回調標記為圖表上的2個，幾乎準確地反彈了該對角線與EMA-200符合EMA-200和需求的下邊緣，這是技術人員經常將其視為下一個前進的三重匯合處。

Maelius’ primary thesis rests on a nested 1-2, 1-2 Elliott Wave count. The first “1-2” sequence began with a thrust to ~0.2288 in March 2024, retraced to 0.0805 in August the same year, and then ignited a larger impulsive leg that topped near 0.4843 in December last year (labelled the second “1”). The corrective follow-through to 0.1298 in April completed the second “2”.

Maelius的主要論文依靠1-2，1-2埃利奧特波數。第一個“ 1-2”序列始於2024年3月的〜0.2288，同年8月回落至0.0805，然後點燃了一條更大的衝動腿，去年12月在12月的0.4843接近0.4843（標記了第二個“ 1”）。 4月的糾正措施至0.1298完成了第二個“ 2”。

In Elliott terminology, two consecutive 1-2 structures “wind the spring” for wave 3 of (3)—historically the longest and steepest portion of an impulse. Maelius places the coming third wave, its subsequent fourth-wave consolidation, and a final fifth wave in the blank area above current price.

在Elliott術語中，連續兩種1-2個結構“風彈簧”（3）波第3波 - 歷史上是衝動的最長和最陡峭的部分。 Maelius將即將到來的第三波浪潮，隨後的第四波鞏固以及在當前價格高於空白區域的最後第五波。

He predicts DOGE to reach roughly $1 as part of the third wave, followed by a fourth wave correctional pullback below $0.70. The fifth wave is expected to reach its climax somewhere between $1.30 and $1.70.

他預測，作為第三波浪潮的一部分，Doge將達到大約1美元，然後將第四波矯正回調低於$ 0.70。預計第五波將達到1.30美元至1.70美元之間的高潮。

Below the price action sits the WaveTrend Oscillator (WTO), a momentum indicator closely related to the TSI that measures the distance between an asset’s price and its own smoothed values. The WTO prints two lines and a histogram; a bullish cycle begins when the faster line crosses above the slower one from oversold territory (-60/-53 in the standard settings).

在價格動作下方是Wavetrend振盪器（WTO），這是一種與TSI密切相關的動量指標，可測量資產價格與其自身平滑值之間的距離。 WTO打印兩條線和一條直方圖；當較快的線從超售區域（標准設置中的-60/-53）上方越過較慢的線上時，看漲的周期就開始了。

That cross has just fired on the 1-week timeframe for the first time since the August 2024 low. The histogram has shifted from deep red to neutral grey, echoing similar transitions that preceded Dogecoin’s previous vertical advances.

自2024年8月低點以來，那個十字架剛剛在1週的時間範圍內開火。直方圖已從深紅色轉變為中性灰色，與Dogecoin先前垂直進步之前的類似過渡相呼應。

Put together, the chart describes a market that is holding a multi-year demand block, trading above its 200-week EMA, testing—though not yet reclaiming—its 50-week EMA, and exhibiting a fresh bullish momentum cross. From a pure-chart standpoint, those ingredients satisfy many of the conditions technicians look for when hunting the start of a primary trend leg.

結合在一起，該圖表描述了一個持有多年需求障礙的市場，其交易高於其200週的EMA，測試（儘管尚未收回），雖然尚未回收，但它的50週EMA以及展示了新的Bullish Momentum Cross。從純粹的角度來看，這些成分滿足了技術人員在尋找主要趨勢腿的開始時所尋求的許多條件。

Maelius concludes: “DOGE looks incredible here, despite the fact it went lower as I initially expected (was expecting EMA50 to hold).Respecting major demand area, EMA20

Maelius得出結論：“ Doge在這裡看起來令人難以置信，儘管事實正如我最初預期的那樣較低（預計EMA50會持有）。尊敬的主要需求區域，EMA20