長期支持中的Dogecoin（Doge）價格反彈，必須打破0.20美元的抵抗力才能確認看漲趨勢

Dogecoin的價格在4月爆發，防止了長期對角線支撐水平的細分。

Key Takeaways

關鍵要點

Dogecoin’s price bounced in April, preventing a breakdown from a long-term diagonal support level.

Dogecoin的價格在4月爆發，防止了長期對角線支撐水平的細分。

However, while Dogecoin’s chart against Bitcoin (BTC) price looks bullish, the one against USD is still unclear.

但是，儘管Dogecoin對比特幣（BTC）價格的圖表看起來看漲，但對美元的價格仍然尚不清楚。

The DOGE price must exceed the $0.20 resistance to confirm its bullish trend reversal.

總督價格必須超過0.20美元的電阻，以確認其看漲趨勢逆轉。

Let’s analyze the price action and see if this breakout will happen.

讓我們分析價格動作，看看是否會發生此突破。

Dogecoin Price Bounces

Dogecoin價格彈跳

The long-term Dogecoin analysis shows that the price has increased alongside an ascending support trend line since the start of 2024.

長期的Dogecoin分析表明，自2024年初以來，價格隨著上升的支持趨勢線的上漲。

DOGE has bounced at the trend line several times, most recently in April (green icon), creating a bullish candlestick.

Doge多次在趨勢線上反彈，最近一次是4月（Green Icon），創造了看漲的燭台。

While the increase has been substantial, the Dogecoin price has yet to break out from its resistance trend line, which has existed since the start of the year.

儘管增長幅度很大，但Dogecoin的價格尚未從其抵抗力趨勢線中爆發出來，這是自今年年初以來一直存在的。

The DOGE price has to break out above this resistance to confirm that it has ended its correction.

總督價格必須超過這種抵抗力，以確認它已經結束了其更正。

Despite the bounce, technical indicators are not yet bullish.

儘管發生了反彈，但技術指標尚未看好。

While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are increasing, they are still in bearish territory.

儘管相對強度指數（RSI）和移動平均收斂/發散（MACD）正在增加，但它們仍在看跌領域。

The RSI is below 50 while the MACD is negative, both indicative of a bearish trend.

RSI低於50，而MACD為負，均表示看跌趨勢。

As a result, the weekly time frame does not confirm if the DOGE trend is bullish or bearish.

結果，每週的時間範圍無法確認門檻趨勢是看漲還是看跌。

What’s Next for DOGE?

下一步是什麼？

The wave count shows that DOGE has completed a five-wave downward movement (red) since the December cycle high.

波數表明，自12月週期高以來，Doge已經完成了五波向下運動（紅色）。

If the count is accurate, Dogecoin’s price has started an A-B-C corrective structure that will take it toward the next resistance at $0.27.

如果計數是準確的，那麼Dogecoin的價格已經開始了ABC糾正結構，該結構將以0.27美元的價格將其帶到下一個阻力。

However, before it reaches it, DOGE must clear the $0.20 horizontal resistance area, which could act as the local top for wave A.

但是，在達到它之前，Doge必須清除$ 0.20的水平電阻區域，這可以作為Wave A的本地頂部。

Nevertheless, technical indicators are decisively bullish. The RSI and MACD both generated bullish divergences (orange).

然而，技術指標是決定性看漲的。 RSI和MACD都產生了看漲的分歧（橙色）。

The divergences reinforced a bullish double-bottom pattern for Dogecoin.

分歧加強了對狗狗幣的看漲雙底模式。

So, Dogecoin’s price will likely breakout above $0.20 and reach the $0.27 resistance.

因此，Dogecoin的價格可能會超過0.20美元，並達到0.27美元的電阻。

The short-term outlook supports this since Dogecoin’s price trades inside an ascending parallel channel, often containing corrective structures.

由於Dogecoin的價格交易在上升的平行渠道內，通常包含矯正結構，因此短期前景支持這一點。

Dogecoin’s channel contains wave A in this structure, and its breakdown will confirm that wave B has started.

Dogecoin的通道包含該結構中的波動A，其崩潰將確認波浪B已開始。

Based on the price action, it is still unclear if the price of DOGE will create another short-term higher high or not.

基於價格行動，目前尚不清楚Doge的價格是否會產生另一個短期高的高高。

In any case, an eventual breakdown below the channel is likely.

無論如何，最終可能在頻道下方的故障。

Correction Before Rally

集會前進行糾正

The DOGE price has shown immense strength by bouncing in April, preventing a breakdown from long-term support.

總督價格通過4月份彈跳顯示了巨大的實力，從而阻止了長期支持的破裂。

However, the memecoin has not yet confirmed its bullish trend reversal since it has yet to breakout from its main resistance area.

然而，由於尚未從其主要抵抗區域突破，因此該紀念物尚未確認其看漲趨勢逆轉。

The wave count suggests a breakout will occur, but an initial drop is likely beforehand.

波數表明將發生突破，但可能會事先進行初始下降。