长期支持中的Dogecoin（Doge）价格反弹，必须打破0.20美元的抵抗力才能确认看涨趋势

Dogecoin的价格在4月爆发，防止了长期对角线支撑水平的细分。

Key Takeaways

关键要点

Dogecoin’s price bounced in April, preventing a breakdown from a long-term diagonal support level.

Dogecoin的价格在4月爆发，防止了长期对角线支撑水平的细分。

However, while Dogecoin’s chart against Bitcoin (BTC) price looks bullish, the one against USD is still unclear.

但是，尽管Dogecoin对比特币（BTC）价格的图表看起来看涨，但对美元的价格仍然尚不清楚。

The DOGE price must exceed the $0.20 resistance to confirm its bullish trend reversal.

总督价格必须超过0.20美元的电阻，以确认其看涨趋势逆转。

Let’s analyze the price action and see if this breakout will happen.

让我们分析价格动作，看看是否会发生此突破。

Dogecoin Price Bounces

Dogecoin价格弹跳

The long-term Dogecoin analysis shows that the price has increased alongside an ascending support trend line since the start of 2024.

长期的Dogecoin分析表明，自2024年初以来，价格随着上升的支持趋势线的上涨。

DOGE has bounced at the trend line several times, most recently in April (green icon), creating a bullish candlestick.

Doge多次在趋势线上反弹，最近一次是4月（Green Icon），创造了看涨的烛台。

While the increase has been substantial, the Dogecoin price has yet to break out from its resistance trend line, which has existed since the start of the year.

尽管增长幅度很大，但Dogecoin的价格尚未从其抵抗力趋势线中爆发出来，这是自今年年初以来一直存在的。

The DOGE price has to break out above this resistance to confirm that it has ended its correction.

总督价格必须超过这种抵抗力，以确认它已经结束了其更正。

Despite the bounce, technical indicators are not yet bullish.

尽管发生了反弹，但技术指标尚未看好。

While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are increasing, they are still in bearish territory.

尽管相对强度指数（RSI）和移动平均收敛/发散（MACD）正在增加，但它们仍在看跌领域。

The RSI is below 50 while the MACD is negative, both indicative of a bearish trend.

RSI低于50，而MACD为负，均表示看跌趋势。

As a result, the weekly time frame does not confirm if the DOGE trend is bullish or bearish.

结果，每周的时间范围无法确认门槛趋势是看涨还是看跌。

What’s Next for DOGE?

下一步是什么？

The wave count shows that DOGE has completed a five-wave downward movement (red) since the December cycle high.

波数表明，自12月周期高以来，Doge已经完成了五波向下运动（红色）。

If the count is accurate, Dogecoin’s price has started an A-B-C corrective structure that will take it toward the next resistance at $0.27.

如果计数是准确的，那么Dogecoin的价格已经开始了ABC纠正结构，该结构将以0.27美元的价格将其带到下一个阻力。

However, before it reaches it, DOGE must clear the $0.20 horizontal resistance area, which could act as the local top for wave A.

但是，在达到它之前，Doge必须清除$ 0.20的水平电阻区域，这可以作为Wave A的本地顶部。

Nevertheless, technical indicators are decisively bullish. The RSI and MACD both generated bullish divergences (orange).

然而，技术指标是决定性看涨的。 RSI和MACD都产生了看涨的分歧（橙色）。

The divergences reinforced a bullish double-bottom pattern for Dogecoin.

分歧加强了对狗狗币的看涨双底模式。

So, Dogecoin’s price will likely breakout above $0.20 and reach the $0.27 resistance.

因此，Dogecoin的价格可能会超过0.20美元，并达到0.27美元的电阻。

The short-term outlook supports this since Dogecoin’s price trades inside an ascending parallel channel, often containing corrective structures.

由于Dogecoin的价格交易在上升的平行渠道内，通常包含矫正结构，因此短期前景支持这一点。

Dogecoin’s channel contains wave A in this structure, and its breakdown will confirm that wave B has started.

Dogecoin的通道包含该结构中的波动A，其崩溃将确认波浪B已开始。

Based on the price action, it is still unclear if the price of DOGE will create another short-term higher high or not.

基于价格行动，目前尚不清楚Doge的价格是否会产生另一个短期高的高高。

In any case, an eventual breakdown below the channel is likely.

无论如何，最终可能在频道下方的故障。

Correction Before Rally

集会前进行纠正

The DOGE price has shown immense strength by bouncing in April, preventing a breakdown from long-term support.

总督价格通过4月份弹跳显示了巨大的实力，从而阻止了长期支持的破裂。

However, the memecoin has not yet confirmed its bullish trend reversal since it has yet to breakout from its main resistance area.

然而，由于尚未从其主要抵抗区域突破，因此该纪念物尚未确认其看涨趋势逆转。

The wave count suggests a breakout will occur, but an initial drop is likely beforehand.

波数表明将发生突破，但可能会事先进行初始下降。