加密退伍軍人警告比特幣價格可能會崩潰至5萬美元 - 這是背後的圖表

現在，比特幣目前的價格高於95500美元，但是根據分析師Crypto Patel的說法，重大更正可能會臨近。

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has shared a stark warning, suggesting that a major correction could send Bitcoin tumbling back toward the $50,000 zone.

加密分析師Crypto Patel已發出嚴重的警告，表明重大更正可能會使比特幣轉向50,000美元的區域。

While Patel himself says he’s not a fan of this setup, he urges traders to stay alert, especially if Bitcoin fails to break above a crucial resistance level.

儘管帕特爾本人說他不喜歡這種設置，但他敦促交易者保持警惕，尤其是如果比特幣未能超過關鍵阻力水平。

Bitcoin Is Holding Strong Above $95,500

比特幣的強度超過$ 95,500

Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and even though it’s currently trading above key psychological support at $90,000, one analyst has spotted a troubling scenario that could take BTC on a steep decline toward $50,000.

比特幣以波動率而聞名，儘管目前正在以90,000美元的價格交易高於主要的心理支持，但一位分析師發現了令人不安的情況，這可能會使BTC急劇下降到50,000美元。

In a detailed analysis shared on X, Crypto Patel, a popular analyst with over 75,000 followers, applied Elliott Wave Theory to Bitcoin’s chart, presenting a possibility that many might not want to consider but nonetheless could unfold in the coming months.

在X上分享的詳細分析中，Crypto Patel是一位受歡迎的分析師，擁有超過75,000個關注者，將Elliott Wave理論應用於比特幣的圖表，這表明了許多人可能不想考慮的可能性，但是在接下來的幾個月中可能會展開。

Image Credit: Crypto Patel on X

圖片來源：x上的加密patel

As the chart shows, Bitcoin may have already completed its five-wave impulse move to the upside, a typical sign that a corrective phase could be next. According to Patel, we are now in the middle of an ABC correction. If this analysis holds, then Bitcoin is currently forming wave (B), which could climb as high as $98,000 before wave (C) kicks in – and that’s where the real danger lies.

如圖所示，比特幣可能已經完成了其五波衝動向上移動，這是一個典型的跡象表明糾正階段可能是下一個。根據Patel的說法，我們現在處於ABC校正的中間。如果這種分析成立，那麼比特幣目前正在形成波浪（b），波浪（c）啟動之前可能會攀升至98,000美元，這就是真正的危險所在。

Key Level: $105,000

密鑰級別：$ 105,000

The analyst highlights the importance of the $105,000 level. He says that if Bitcoin breaks and closes a high timeframe candle above that zone, then the bearish scenario highlighted below would likely be invalidated. However, if it gets rejected or fails to hold above it, then the market could face a huge drop.

分析師強調了105,000美元的重要性。他說，如果比特幣破裂並關閉了高於該區域的高時限蠟燭，那麼下面突出顯示的看跌場景可能會被無效。但是，如果它被拒絕或沒有限制在上面，那麼市場可能會面臨巨大的下降。

His chart outlines a potential wave (C) that would take BTC all the way down to key Fibonacci retracement zones. First support comes in near $62,500, but a more realistic drop could take it to $51,700 or even $47,800 – where multiple technical indicators align. Beyond that, deeper retracements could bring Bitcoin to $44,000, $32,600, or in a worst-case scenario, as low as $27,000 or even $23,000.

他的圖表概述了一個潛在的波浪（C），該波浪將使BTC一直降低到密鑰斐波那契回回區域。首先支持的價格接近62,500美元，但更現實的下降可能會將其提高到51,700美元甚至$ 47,800，而多個技術指標則保持一致。除此之外，更深層次的回撤可能會使比特幣提高到44,000美元，$ 32,600，或者在最壞的情況下，低至27,000美元甚至23,000美元。

All of these levels are drawn using Fibonacci tools and past wave structures. The chart also shows how the previous wave (4) bottomed in mid-2024, and the coming wave (C) might dive even lower. The structure follows Elliott Wave Theory closely, suggesting that unless Bitcoin reclaims higher ground quickly, it may be entering a broad correction that could last for months.

所有這些級別都是使用斐波那契工具和過去的波結構來繪製的。該圖還顯示了上一波（4）在2024年中期的底部底部底部底部，而即將到來的波（C）可能會降低。該結構緊密地遵循埃利奧特波（Elliott Wave）理論，表明除非比特幣迅速恢復更高的地面，否則它可能會進入可能持續數月的廣泛校正。

Patel adds a clear warning in his tweet: “Don’t follow blindly – but do keep this scenario in mind while planning your trades.” He emphasizes that this is his personal view and not financial advice, but given the clarity of the structure, it’s worth keeping an eye on.

帕特爾（Patel）在他的推文中添加了一個明確的警告：“不要盲目地關注 - 但在計劃交易時會牢記這種情況。”他強調，這是他的個人觀點，而不是財務建議，但是鑑於結構的清晰度，值得關注。

Right now, Bitcoin is trading near $96,000. The market feels bullish, but hidden within that momentum might be a setup for a sharp reversal. If Patel’s view plays out, this correction could be deeper than many expect.

目前，比特幣的交易價格接近96,000美元。市場感到看漲，但隱藏在這種勢頭中可能是急劇逆轉的設置。如果帕特爾的觀點發揮了作用，那麼這種更正可能比許多人預期的要深。

In short, the next move depends heavily on how Bitcoin behaves around $98,000 to $105,000. If it breaks above with conviction, the bullish trend could continue. But if it gets rejected, the bearish wave (C) might take over – and the road down could lead to $50,000 or even lower.

簡而言之，下一步在很大程度上取決於比特幣的行為約為98,000美元至105,000美元。如果它以信念為上面，看漲趨勢可能會繼續下去。但是，如果被拒絕，看跌波（C）可能會接管 - 沿線的道路可能會導致50,000美元甚至更低。

Read also: Bitcoin’s Worst Nightmare? Kaspa’s Crescendo Fork Sparks a New Crypto Arms Race

另請閱讀：比特幣最糟糕的噩夢？ Kaspa的Crescendo Fork火花一場新的加密武器競賽

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