加密退伍军人警告比特币价格可能会崩溃至5万美元 - 这是背后的图表

现在，比特币目前的价格高于95500美元，但是根据分析师Crypto Patel的说法，重大更正可能会临近。

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has shared a stark warning, suggesting that a major correction could send Bitcoin tumbling back toward the $50,000 zone.

加密分析师Crypto Patel已发出严重的警告，表明重大更正可能会使比特币转向50,000美元的区域。

While Patel himself says he’s not a fan of this setup, he urges traders to stay alert, especially if Bitcoin fails to break above a crucial resistance level.

尽管帕特尔本人说他不喜欢这种设置，但他敦促交易者保持警惕，尤其是如果比特币未能超过关键阻力水平。

Bitcoin Is Holding Strong Above $95,500

比特币的强度超过$ 95,500

Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and even though it’s currently trading above key psychological support at $90,000, one analyst has spotted a troubling scenario that could take BTC on a steep decline toward $50,000.

比特币以波动率而闻名，尽管目前正在以90,000美元的价格交易高于主要的心理支持，但一位分析师发现了令人不安的情况，这可能会使BTC急剧下降到50,000美元。

In a detailed analysis shared on X, Crypto Patel, a popular analyst with over 75,000 followers, applied Elliott Wave Theory to Bitcoin’s chart, presenting a possibility that many might not want to consider but nonetheless could unfold in the coming months.

在X上分享的详细分析中，Crypto Patel是一位受欢迎的分析师，拥有超过75,000个关注者，将Elliott Wave理论应用于比特币的图表，这表明了许多人可能不想考虑的可能性，但是在接下来的几个月中可能会展开。

Image Credit: Crypto Patel on X

图片来源：x上的加密patel

As the chart shows, Bitcoin may have already completed its five-wave impulse move to the upside, a typical sign that a corrective phase could be next. According to Patel, we are now in the middle of an ABC correction. If this analysis holds, then Bitcoin is currently forming wave (B), which could climb as high as $98,000 before wave (C) kicks in – and that’s where the real danger lies.

如图所示，比特币可能已经完成了其五波冲动向上移动，这是一个典型的迹象表明纠正阶段可能是下一个。根据Patel的说法，我们现在处于ABC校正的中间。如果这种分析成立，那么比特币目前正在形成波浪（b），波浪（c）启动之前可能会攀升至98,000美元，这就是真正的危险所在。

Key Level: $105,000

密钥级别：$ 105,000

The analyst highlights the importance of the $105,000 level. He says that if Bitcoin breaks and closes a high timeframe candle above that zone, then the bearish scenario highlighted below would likely be invalidated. However, if it gets rejected or fails to hold above it, then the market could face a huge drop.

分析师强调了105,000美元的重要性。他说，如果比特币破裂并关闭了高于该区域的高时限蜡烛，那么下面突出显示的看跌场景可能会被无效。但是，如果它被拒绝或没有限制在上面，那么市场可能会面临巨大的下降。

His chart outlines a potential wave (C) that would take BTC all the way down to key Fibonacci retracement zones. First support comes in near $62,500, but a more realistic drop could take it to $51,700 or even $47,800 – where multiple technical indicators align. Beyond that, deeper retracements could bring Bitcoin to $44,000, $32,600, or in a worst-case scenario, as low as $27,000 or even $23,000.

他的图表概述了一个潜在的波浪（C），该波浪将使BTC一直降低到密钥斐波那契回回区域。首先支持的价格接近62,500美元，但更现实的下降可能会将其提高到51,700美元甚至$ 47,800，而多个技术指标则保持一致。除此之外，更深层次的回撤可能会使比特币提高到44,000美元，$ 32,600，或者在最坏的情况下，低至27,000美元甚至23,000美元。

All of these levels are drawn using Fibonacci tools and past wave structures. The chart also shows how the previous wave (4) bottomed in mid-2024, and the coming wave (C) might dive even lower. The structure follows Elliott Wave Theory closely, suggesting that unless Bitcoin reclaims higher ground quickly, it may be entering a broad correction that could last for months.

所有这些级别都是使用斐波那契工具和过去的波结构来绘制的。该图还显示了上一波（4）在2024年中期的底部底部底部底部，而即将到来的波（C）可能会降低。该结构紧密地遵循埃利奥特波（Elliott Wave）理论，表明除非比特币迅速恢复更高的地面，否则它可能会进入可能持续数月的广泛校正。

Patel adds a clear warning in his tweet: “Don’t follow blindly – but do keep this scenario in mind while planning your trades.” He emphasizes that this is his personal view and not financial advice, but given the clarity of the structure, it’s worth keeping an eye on.

帕特尔（Patel）在他的推文中添加了一个明确的警告：“不要盲目地关注 - 但在计划交易时会牢记这种情况。”他强调，这是他的个人观点，而不是财务建议，但是鉴于结构的清晰度，值得关注。

Right now, Bitcoin is trading near $96,000. The market feels bullish, but hidden within that momentum might be a setup for a sharp reversal. If Patel’s view plays out, this correction could be deeper than many expect.

目前，比特币的交易价格接近96,000美元。市场感到看涨，但隐藏在这种势头中可能是急剧逆转的设置。如果帕特尔的观点发挥了作用，那么这种更正可能比许多人预期的要深。

In short, the next move depends heavily on how Bitcoin behaves around $98,000 to $105,000. If it breaks above with conviction, the bullish trend could continue. But if it gets rejected, the bearish wave (C) might take over – and the road down could lead to $50,000 or even lower.

简而言之，下一步在很大程度上取决于比特币的行为约为98,000美元至105,000美元。如果它以信念为上面，看涨趋势可能会继续下去。但是，如果被拒绝，看跌波（C）可能会接管 - 沿线的道路可能会导致50,000美元甚至更低。

Read also: Bitcoin’s Worst Nightmare? Kaspa’s Crescendo Fork Sparks a New Crypto Arms Race

另请阅读：比特币最糟糕的噩梦？ Kaspa的Crescendo Fork火花一场新的加密武器竞赛

Follow us on X (Twitter), CoinMarketCap and Binance Square for more daily crypto updates.Read our recent crypto market updates, news, and technical analysis here.

在X（Twitter），CoinMarketCap和Binance Square上关注我们以获取更多日常加密更新。在此处阅读我们最近的加密市场更新，新闻和技术分析。

We recommend eToro

我们推荐Etoro