彭博情報預測到2025

彭博情報交易所交易基金（ETF）分析師Eric Balchunas和James Seyffart已發布2025年美國現場加密貨幣ETF ETF批准的最新賠率

The U.S. could see several new exchange-traded funds (ETFs) investing in cryptocurrencies launched by 2025, according to Bloomberg Law.

根據彭博·法律（Bloomberg Law）的說法，美國可能會看到一些新的交易所交易基金（ETF）投資於2025年發起的加密貨幣。

The first installment of Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart’s updated 2025 U.S. spot crypto ETF league table assigns a 90% chance to solana (SOL), an emerging blockchain network, to get the green light from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

彭博智能ETF分析師Eric Balchunas和James Seyffart的最新動態的第一部分是新興區塊鍊網絡Solana（SOL）的90％機會，以獲取美國證券和交易委員會（SEC）的綠燈。

The analysts assign a 90% chance to both litecoin (LTC) and digital asset index baskets. XRP follows closely with an 85% probability.

分析師為Litecoin（LTC）和數字資產指數籃子分配了90％的機會。 XRP緊隨其後，概率為85％。

Dogecoin (DOGE), polkadot (DOT), cardano (ADA), hedera (HBAR), and avalanche (AVAX) round out the forecast with odds ranging from 75% to 80%.

Dogecoin（Doge），Polkadot（Dot），Cardano（Ada），Hedera（Hbar）和Avalanche（Avax）（Avax）匯集了預測，賠率為75％至80％。

The data, published in a chart by Bloomberg Intelligence analysts, shows that all 19b-4 filings for the listed assets have been acknowledged by the SEC, with decision deadlines spanning from July to December 2025.

彭博情報分析師在圖表中發布的數據顯示，SEC已確認所有列出資產的19b-4檔案，其決定截止日期為2025年7月至1225年12月。

On Tuesday, the SEC delayed the Franklin Templeton XRP ETF and the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF decisions.

週二，SEC推遲了富蘭克林·鄧普頓（Franklin Templeton）XRP ETF和位於Dogecoin ETF的決定。

The SEC is expected to classify these assets as commodities and most have regulated futures—a factor seen as favorable for approval.

預計SEC將將這些資產歸類為商品，並且大多數人對期貨進行了監管，這是有利於批准的因素。

Meanwhile, prediction market Polymarket is highlighting a similar trend of increasing confidence among bettors. As of April 30, the SOL ETF wager shows an 89% likelihood of approval by year-end, up 15%, with a total volume of $142,806 traded. This aligns closely with Bloomberg’s forecast.

同時，預測市場多頭市場強調了投注者增強信心的類似趨勢。截至4月30日，SOL ETF賭注顯示了89％的批准可能性，年底增長了15％，總交易總額為142,806美元。這與彭博的預測密切相符。

Litecoin and XRP also saw increased optimism on Polymarket, both now trading at a 79% chance. The XRP Polymarket contract—tracking Ripple ETF approval—has seen $65,640 in volume, while the Litecoin market has processed $42,181. These levels suggest moderate but growing engagement from speculators.

Litecoin和XRP也使人們對Polymarket的樂觀態度增加，現在均以79％的機會交易。 XRP Polymarket合同（跟踪Ripple ETF批准）的數量為65,640美元，而Litecoin Market已處理42,181美元。這些水平表明，投機者的參與度中等但不斷增長。

Cardano lags the others, with its Polymarket odds at 69%, albeit up 59% in recent days. The volume on this bet is the highest among the listed assets, totaling $366,581, indicating heightened trader interest despite Bloomberg’s more conservative 75% estimate.

卡爾達諾（Cardano）落後於其他人，其多個賠率為69％，儘管最近幾天增長了59％。該賭注的數量是上市資產中最高的，總計366,581美元，表明儘管彭博（Bloomberg）的估計更加保守，但交易者的利息提高了。

As SEC deadlines near, investors and analysts are watching closely to see whether these assets will follow in the footsteps of bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH), whose spot ETF markets are already established.

隨著SEC截止日期的臨近，投資者和分析師正在密切關注，以查看這些資產是否會遵循比特幣（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）的腳步，這些資產已經建立了ETF市場。