彭博情报预测到2025

彭博情报交易所交易基金（ETF）分析师Eric Balchunas和James Seyffart已发布2025年美国现场加密货币ETF ETF批准的最新赔率

The U.S. could see several new exchange-traded funds (ETFs) investing in cryptocurrencies launched by 2025, according to Bloomberg Law.

根据彭博·法律（Bloomberg Law）的说法，美国可能会看到一些新的交易所交易基金（ETF）投资于2025年发起的加密货币。

The first installment of Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart’s updated 2025 U.S. spot crypto ETF league table assigns a 90% chance to solana (SOL), an emerging blockchain network, to get the green light from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

彭博智能ETF分析师Eric Balchunas和James Seyffart的最新动态的第一部分是新兴区块链网络Solana（SOL）的90％机会，以获取美国证券和交易委员会（SEC）的绿灯。

The analysts assign a 90% chance to both litecoin (LTC) and digital asset index baskets. XRP follows closely with an 85% probability.

分析师为Litecoin（LTC）和数字资产指数篮子分配了90％的机会。 XRP紧随其后，概率为85％。

Dogecoin (DOGE), polkadot (DOT), cardano (ADA), hedera (HBAR), and avalanche (AVAX) round out the forecast with odds ranging from 75% to 80%.

Dogecoin（Doge），Polkadot（Dot），Cardano（Ada），Hedera（Hbar）和Avalanche（Avax）（Avax）汇集了预测，赔率为75％至80％。

The data, published in a chart by Bloomberg Intelligence analysts, shows that all 19b-4 filings for the listed assets have been acknowledged by the SEC, with decision deadlines spanning from July to December 2025.

彭博情报分析师在图表中发布的数据显示，SEC已确认所有列出资产的19b-4档案，其决定截止日期为2025年7月至1225年12月。

On Tuesday, the SEC delayed the Franklin Templeton XRP ETF and the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF decisions.

周二，SEC推迟了富兰克林·邓普顿（Franklin Templeton）XRP ETF和位于Dogecoin ETF的决定。

The SEC is expected to classify these assets as commodities and most have regulated futures—a factor seen as favorable for approval.

预计SEC将将这些资产归类为商品，并且大多数人对期货进行了监管，这是有利于批准的因素。

Meanwhile, prediction market Polymarket is highlighting a similar trend of increasing confidence among bettors. As of April 30, the SOL ETF wager shows an 89% likelihood of approval by year-end, up 15%, with a total volume of $142,806 traded. This aligns closely with Bloomberg’s forecast.

同时，预测市场多头市场强调了投注者增强信心的类似趋势。截至4月30日，SOL ETF赌注显示了89％的批准可能性，年底增长了15％，总交易总额为142,806美元。这与彭博的预测密切相符。

Litecoin and XRP also saw increased optimism on Polymarket, both now trading at a 79% chance. The XRP Polymarket contract—tracking Ripple ETF approval—has seen $65,640 in volume, while the Litecoin market has processed $42,181. These levels suggest moderate but growing engagement from speculators.

Litecoin和XRP也使人们对Polymarket的乐观态度增加，现在均以79％的机会交易。 XRP Polymarket合同（跟踪Ripple ETF批准）的数量为65,640美元，而Litecoin Market已处理42,181美元。这些水平表明，投机者的参与度中等但不断增长。

Cardano lags the others, with its Polymarket odds at 69%, albeit up 59% in recent days. The volume on this bet is the highest among the listed assets, totaling $366,581, indicating heightened trader interest despite Bloomberg’s more conservative 75% estimate.

卡尔达诺（Cardano）落后于其他人，其多个赔率为69％，尽管最近几天增长了59％。该赌注的数量是上市资产中最高的，总计366,581美元，表明尽管彭博（Bloomberg）的估计更加保守，但交易者的利息提高了。

As SEC deadlines near, investors and analysts are watching closely to see whether these assets will follow in the footsteps of bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH), whose spot ETF markets are already established.

随着SEC截止日期的临近，投资者和分析师正在密切关注，以查看这些资产是否会遵循比特币（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）的脚步，这些资产已经建立了ETF市场。