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在過去的30天中,比特幣(Crypto:BTC)現在增長了15%以上。這是一個重大的反彈
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is now up more than 15% over the past 30 days.
在過去的30天中,比特幣(加密:BTC)現在增長了15%以上。
That's a significant rebound, especially given the ongoing economic uncertainty about tariffs and Bitcoin's slide earlier in the year. At one point, it looked like Bitcoin might dip below the $70,000 mark. Now it is close to regaining the $100,000 price level. And that might just be the start.
這是一個重大的反彈,尤其是考慮到今年早些時候關稅和比特幣幻燈片的經濟不確定性。有一次,看起來比特幣可能會降至70,000美元以下。現在,它已經接近重新獲得100,000美元的價格水平。那可能只是開始。
Here's a closer look at four bullish price predictions for Bitcoin.
這是對比特幣的四個看漲價格預測的仔細研究。
Where to Invest $1,000 Right Now
現在在哪裡投資1,000美元
Our Picks: Top 10 Stocks to Buy in April 2024
我們的選擇:2024年4月要購買的十大股票
Bitcoin at $200,000
比特幣為20萬美元
At the start of the year, euphoria in the crypto market had many investors predicting that Bitcoin might double in price by the end of 2025. For example, in January, investment firm Bernstein released a $200,000 price forecast for Bitcoin. And to its credit, it has doubled down on that price point, even as Bitcoin tumbled in price during February and March.
在今年年初,加密貨幣市場的Euphoria有許多投資者預測,比特幣的價格可能會在2025年底之前兩倍。值得稱讚的是,即使比特幣在2月和3月的價格上漲,它也使該價格點翻了一番。
There are several key components of this $200,000 price forecast. The key factor is institutional investment, as measured by the amount of money flowing into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Already, more than $100 billion has poured into these ETFs, and the thinking now is that the pace of inflows might actually accelerate.
這個200,000美元的價格預測有幾個關鍵組成部分。關鍵因素是機構投資,這是通過流入現貨比特幣交易所交易資金(ETF)的款項來衡量的。這些ETF已經湧入了超過1000億美元,現在的想法是流入的步伐實際上可能會加速。
At the same time, Bernstein described a sort of new golden era for crypto, driven by President Donald Trump's pro-crypto and pro-Bitcoin policies. A number of big steps have already been taken -- such as the creation of the new Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. And more steps are still forthcoming, such as a comprehensive new regulatory framework for the crypto market.
同時,伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)描述了由唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)總統的親克賴特托(Crypto)和親比特幣政策驅動的一種新黃金時代。已經採取了許多重要步驟 - 例如創建新的戰略比特幣儲備。還有更多的步驟,例如加密市場的全面新監管框架。
Bitcoin at $700,000
比特幣的價格為700,000美元
At the World Economic Forum in January, BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) CEO Larry Fink made headlines by suggesting that Bitcoin could eventually hit a price target of $700,000. Given that BlackRock is the company behind the biggest and most successful spot Bitcoin ETF -- the iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT) -- it's worth listening to what he has to say.
在一月份的世界經濟論壇上,貝萊德(NYSE:BLK)首席執行官拉里·芬克(Larry Fink)首席執行官拉里·芬克(Larry Fink)提出比特幣最終可能達到70萬美元的目標目標,成為頭條新聞。鑑於貝萊德是最大,最成功的比特幣ETF的背後的公司-Ishares Bitcoin Trust(NASDAQ:IBIT) - 值得聽他說的話。
As Fink sees it, the key to Bitcoin skyrocketing to $700,000 is a higher asset allocation from large institutional investors to crypto. He used the example of sovereign wealth funds, which could be thinking about boosting their portfolio allocations to Bitcoin. If big investors decide to ratchet up their allocations to 5%, that's when the price of Bitcoin could really take off.
正如Fink所看到的那樣,比特幣飆升至70萬美元的關鍵是大型機構投資者到加密貨幣的較高資產分配。他以主權財富基金為例,這可能正在考慮提高其投資組合對比特幣的分配。如果大型投資者決定將其分配提高到5%,那是比特幣的價格真正起飛的時候。
Bitcoin at $2.4 million
比特幣為240萬美元
Now we're getting into really rarified air, with price predictions above $1 million. Arguably the most famous $1 million price prediction came from Cathie Wood of Ark Invest. Since that prediction, she has continued to ratchet up that price target, from $1 million to $1.48 million, and then from $1.48 million to $2.4 million.
現在,我們進入了真正稀有的空氣,價格預測超過100萬美元。可以說,最著名的100萬美元價格預測來自方舟投資的Cathie Wood。自從這一預測以來,她繼續將該價格目標提高,從100萬美元到148萬美元,然後從148萬美元增加到240萬美元。
Image source: Getty Images.
圖像來源:蓋蒂圖像。
That's a staggering price target, but the math behind it actually checks out. Every year, Ark Invest publishes its "Big Ideas" report, and in every report, there is a detailed breakdown of how the company arrives at its Bitcoin valuation. The valuation model focuses on six specific areas where Bitcoin is starting to gain traction.
這是一個驚人的價格目標,但是它背後的數學實際上是簽出的。每年,ARK Invest都會發布其“大創意”報告,在每份報告中,都有有關公司如何到達比特幣估值的詳細細分。估值模型的重點是比特幣開始獲得牽引力的六個特定領域。
Just like the two other price forecasts above, this one from Ark Invest also focuses on institutional adoption of Bitcoin. In a bear case scenario, these investors will only allocate 1% of their money to Bitcoin. In a base case scenario, they will allocate 2.5%. And in a bull case scenario -- the scenario where Bitcoin skyrockets to $2.4 million -- that allocation rises all the way to 6.5%. The logic here is simple: The more investors allocate to Bitcoin, the higher Bitcoin is going to go.
就像上面的其他兩個價格預測一樣,ARK Invest的這一價格也重點介紹了比特幣的機構採用。在熊案的情況下,這些投資者只會將1%的錢分配給比特幣。在基本情況下,它們將分配2.5%。在公牛案例的情況下,比特幣滑雪者達到240萬美元的情況 - 分配一直上升至6.5%。這裡的邏輯很簡單:投資者越多地分配給比特幣,比特幣越高。
Bitcoin at $10 million
比特幣的1000萬美元
You thought $1 million was a ridiculously high price target? Well, what about $10 million? According to Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, Bitcoin is on pace to hit the $10 million mark. In fact, last November, he suggested that Bitcoin might actually hit $13 million by 2045.
您認為100萬美元的價格目標很高嗎?好吧,1000萬美元呢?據以前是MicroStrategy的戰略創始人兼執行董事長邁克爾·賽勒(Michael Saylor)表示,比特幣正在努力達到1000萬美元。實際上,去年11月,他建議比特幣在2045年之前實際上達到了1300萬美元。
At a price tag of $10 million, Bitcoin would have a total market cap of approximately $200 trillion. As a comparison, the total market cap of gold right now is approximately $20 trillion. So we're likely talking about Bitcoin becoming the most valuable asset in the world, and it won't even be close.
比特幣的價格為1000萬美元,總市值約為200萬億美元。相比之下,現在黃金的總市值約為20萬億美元。因此,我們很可能談論比特幣成為世界上最有價值的資產,甚至不會靠近。
It's up to you to decide how likely this scenario is, but you have to give Saylor credit for backing up his predictions with real-world buying of
決定這種情況的可能性是由您決定的,但是您必須讚揚Saylor因實際購買而支持他的預測
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