比特幣集會有風險嗎？鯨魚情緒指示信號警告

加密分析公司Alphractal在比特幣市場中強調了新的信號，這表明主要參與者可能正在改變其策略。

Crypto analytics firm Alphractal has spotted fresh signals in the Bitcoin market, suggesting that major players may be shifting their strategies.

加密分析公司Alphractal在比特幣市場上發現了新的信號，這表明主要參與者可能正在改變其策略。

As Bitcoin approached $95,000, large-scale investors, commonly referred to as whales, began pivoting away from long positions and started favoring shorts.

隨著比特幣接近95,000美元，通常稱為鯨魚的大規模投資者開始偏離長位置並開始偏愛短褲。

This shift is being tracked through Alphractal’s “Whale Position Sentiment” tool, which evaluates trades over $1 million across key exchanges alongside open interest data to gauge institutional sentiment.

這一轉變正在通過字母的“鯨魚位置情緒”工具進行跟踪，該工具評估了在關鍵交易所以及開放興趣數據以及衡量機構情緒的一筆交易中的交易。

A drop in the indicator while prices climb typically signals that whales are hedging or betting against further gains, while a rise tends to align with bullish momentum.

指標下降時，價格上漲通常表明鯨魚正在對沖或投注進一步的收益，而上升往往與看漲的勢頭保持一致。

This metric has shown a striking 93% historical correlation with Bitcoin’s price movements, making it one of the more reliable behavioral signals in the space.

該指標與比特幣的價格變動顯示了93％的歷史相關性，使其成為該領域中最可靠的行為信號之一。

Alphractal says if this trend continues, it could spell trouble for Bitcoin.

字母說，如果這種趨勢繼續下去，它可能會給比特幣帶來麻煩。

“We observe that the ‘Whale Position Sentiment' dropped sharply again. If this downward trend persists, it could put pressure on BTC for a pullback. Conversely, stabilization in this metric could reinforce the ongoing rally.”

“我們觀察到'鯨魚位置情緒'再次下降了。如果這種向下的趨勢持續存在，它可能會給BTC造成回調的壓力。相反，該指標的穩定可以加強正在進行的集會。”

Looking ahead, the company’s long-term Power Law projection suggests Bitcoin is unlikely to fall below $45,000 by 2026, regardless of short-term volatility.

展望未來，該公司的長期電力法投影表明，到2026年，無論短期波動率如何，比特幣都不太可能低於45,000美元。