福布斯：比特幣價格陷入困境，比特幣礦工投降，減半未能實現預期反彈

過去一個月，比特幣一直在苦苦掙扎，因為比特幣價格在「關鍵轉折點」的邊緣搖搖欲墜。

Bitcoin has almost doubled in value since the start of 2024, yet lost momentum in recent months amid fears over the Federal Reserve’s plans for monetary policy. Now, as the Fed is warned of a U.S. dollar crisis that could spiral into “total collapse,” bitcoin trader Arthur Hayes has admitted his previous bitcoin price prediction was wrong.

自 2024 年初以來，比特幣的價值幾乎翻了一番，但近幾個月來，由於對聯準會貨幣政策計畫的擔憂，比特幣失去了動力。現在，隨著聯準會收到美元危機可能演變成「全面崩潰」的警告，比特幣交易員阿瑟·海耶斯承認他之前的比特幣價格預測是錯誤的。

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立即註冊免費的 CryptoCodex——為交易者、投資者和加密貨幣好奇者提供的每日五分鐘時事通訊，讓您了解最新動態，讓您領先於比特幣和加密貨幣市場牛市

Billionaire Daughters Pegula, Navarro Are Into The U.S. Open Semifinals: ‘No, I Don’t Have A Butler’

億萬富翁女兒佩古拉和納瓦羅進入美國公開賽半決賽：“不，我沒有管家”

Today’s NYT Mini Crossword Clues And Answers For Thursday, September 5

今日《紐約時報》迷你填字遊戲線索與答案（9 月 5 日星期四）

Billionaire Daughters Pegula, Navarro Advance To U.S. Open Semifinals

億萬富翁女兒佩古拉和納瓦羅晉級美國公開賽半決賽

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has said he’s closely watching jobs data—putting the bitcoin … [+] price, crypto and stock market on high alert.

聯準會主席鮑威爾表示，他正在密切關注就業數據——對比特幣價格、加密貨幣和股市保持高度警覺。

“A market correction may start to get traction if payrolls are weak on Friday,” Scott Rubner, managing director for global markets and tactical specialist at Goldman Sachs, wrote in a note to clients, seen by Bloomberg.

彭博社看到，高盛全球市場董事總經理兼戰術專家斯科特·魯布納(Scott Rubner)在給客戶的報告中寫道：「如果週五就業數據疲軟，市場調整可能會開始受到關注。

Friday’s payroll report, which Fed chair Jerome Powell last month said will help inform September’s interest rate decision, is expected to show hiring and wage growth picked up in August.

聯準會主席鮑威爾上個月表示，週五的非農就業報告將有助於為 9 月份的利率決定提供信息，預計該報告將顯示 8 月份的就業和工資增長有所回升。

The Fed is now widely expected to begin a rate-cutting cycle at its two-day monetary policy meeting that begins on September 17. Yesterday, labor market data and comments from a Federal Reserve official bolstered the case for an interest rate cut, it was reported by Reuters.

目前普遍預計聯準會將在 9 月 17 日開始的為期兩天的貨幣政策會議上開始降息週期。

Bitcoin, crypto and stock market traders are braced for hints that the Fed will need to adjust its plans for an interest rate cut this month as well as signs the strong U.S. economic performance so far this year is stalling.

比特幣、加密貨幣和股票市場交易者正準備迎接聯準會將需要調整本月降息計畫的暗示，以及今年迄今強勁的美國經濟表現停滯不前的跡象。

Rubner pointed to September being a historically bearish time for stocks, with the bitcoin price also often struggling through the month, though the “November election becomes a clearing event for risk assets,” Rubner wrote, potentially setting the bitcoin price up for a post-U.S. election rally regardless of whether former U.S. president Donald Trump or vice president Kamala Harris take the White House.

魯布納指出，9 月對股市來說是歷史性的看跌時期，比特幣價格在整個月也經常陷入困境，儘管“11 月的選舉成為風險資產的清算事件”，魯布納寫道，這可能會導致比特幣價格在未來一段時間內上漲。

Meanwhile, the lackluster bitcoin price performance over the summer has forced BitMex cofounder crypto trader Arthur Hayes to reverse his short-term bitcoin price prediction.

與此同時，今年夏天比特幣價格表現不佳，迫使 BitMex 聯合創始人加密貨幣交易員 Arthur Hayes 改變了他的短期比特幣價格預測。

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The bitcoin price has dipped from its all-time high of over $70,000 per bitcoin set earlier this … [+] year.

比特幣價格已從今年稍早創下的每比特幣 70,000 美元以上的歷史高點回落…[+]。

“I have changed my mind, but it doesn’t affect my positioning at all,” Hayes, who started a family office called Maelstrom after leaving the BitMex crypto derivatives pioneer, wrote in a blog post.

「我改變了主意，但這根本不影響我的定位，」海耶斯在部落格文章中寫道。

Hayes had predicted a new bitcoin price bull run would begin in September as the Federal Reserve, U.S. Treasury and China all turn on their liquidity taps.

海耶斯曾預測，隨著聯準會、美國財政部和中國都開啟流動性水龍頭，新的比特幣價格牛市將於 9 月開始。

“I expect intervention to begin in late September,” Hayes wrote. “Between now and then, bitcoin, at best, will chop around these levels and, at worst, slowly leak lower towards $50,000.”

「我預計幹預將於九月下旬開始，」海耶斯寫道。 “從現在到那時，比特幣充其量會在這些水平附近波動，最壞的情況是慢慢跌向 50,000 美元。”

Hayes’ new bitcoin price prediction reflects a bearish warning from analysts with Bitfinex this week who said they could see the bitcoin price fall as low as $40,000 in the short term.

Hayes 的新比特幣價格預測反映了 Bitfinex 分析師本週的悲觀警告，他們表示，短期內比特幣價格可能跌至 40,000 美元。