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加密貨幣市場繼續以比特幣的合併超過100,000美元,XRP閃爍信號讓人聯想到它的看漲勢頭
The cryptocurrency market continues to show bullish strength as Bitcoin consolidates above $100,000 and XRP shows signals reminiscent of its previous 400% rally, while positive macro trends and network metrics are supporting further gains across major assets.
由於比特幣的合併超過100,000美元,加密貨幣市場繼續表現出看漲的力量,XRP顯示了讓人聯想到其前400%集會的信號,而積極的宏觀趨勢和網絡指標則支持跨主要資產的進一步收益。
Crypto Market Summary
加密市場摘要
As Bitcoin maintains its price action above $100,000 during favorable macroeconomic conditions, the crypto market is displaying renewed vigor. The latest US-China trade agreement, which includes a 90-day deferment on tariffs and a 115% reduction in both countries, has contributed to a "risk-on" appetite. Furthermore, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) decreasing to its 30-year average of 20 from a high of 60 earlier in 2025 provides more evidence for this shift.
由於比特幣在有利的宏觀經濟條件下將其價格行動保持在100,000美元以上,因此加密貨幣市場正在表現出更新的活力。最新的美國 - 中國貿易協定包括對關稅的90天延期和兩國降低115%的延期,已促成“風險啟用”的胃口。此外,CBOE波動率指數(VIX)從2025年前早些時候的60個高高減少到其20年的20年平均值,這為這一轉變提供了更多證據。
In terms of inflation data, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased to 2.3% year-over-year in April, reaching the lowest level since February 2025 and falling short of consensus predictions. This alleviation of inflationary pressure would increase the possibility of the Federal Reserve decreasing rates in 2025.
在通貨膨脹數據方面,美國消費者價格指數(CPI)在4月份同比同比下降2.3%,達到了2025年2月以來的最低水平,並且沒有達成共識的預測。減輕通貨膨脹壓力將增加2025年美聯儲降低利率的可能性。
Institutionally, Coinbase is set to join the S&P 500 on May 19, becoming the first cryptocurrency company to be included in the renowned index. Following the announcement, COIN shares increased by 8.8%, raising its market value to $52.8 billion. Additionally, VanEck is introducing the first tokenized real-world asset fund that provides exposure to US Treasury notes as it joins established financial companies like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton in the expanding RWA domain.
從機構上講,Coinbase將於5月19日加入標準普爾500指數,成為第一家被包括在著名指數中的加密貨幣公司。公告後,硬幣股增加了8.8%,將其市場價值提高到528億美元。此外,Vaneck正在推出第一個令牌現實世界中的資產基金,該基金可與美國財政部票據相處,因為它加入了Blackrock和Franklin Templeton等成立的金融公司,進入了不斷擴展的RWA域。
In terms of regulations, Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs vetoed two crucial cryptocurrency bills that would have permitted state agencies to accept crypto payments and established a Digital Assets Strategic Reserve Fund.
在法規方面,亞利桑那州州長凱蒂·霍布斯(Katie Hobbs)否決了兩項關鍵的加密貨幣法案,這些賬單將允許州機構接受加密貨幣付款並建立數字資產戰略儲備基金。
Bitcoin Price Consolidates Above $104,000
比特幣價格合併超過$ 104,000
Bitcoin’s BTC/USD consolidation above $100,000 coincides with positive signals on market mood. Reflecting trends like to those seen following the April 2024 halving, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped from 20 to 80, its highest score in 2025.
比特幣的BTC/USD合併超過$ 100,000,與市場情緒上的積極信號一致。反映了2024年4月在一半後看到的趨勢,比特幣公牛得分指數從20躍升至80,這是2025年的最高得分。
Institutional confidence is also returning rather powerfully, with over $5.7 billion flowing into Bitcoin ETFs in only three weeks. The US spot ETFs now have a record 1.26 million BTC in total assets under control.
機構信心也很有強大的恢復,僅在三個星期內,超過57億美元流入了比特幣ETF。現在,美國ETF擁有創紀錄的126萬BTC,總資產正在控制中。
However, some analysts advise caution. With Bitcoin’s open interest reaching nearly all-time highs of $68 billion, the market is clearly highly positioned. And with their Cryptoasset Sentiment Index at its highest level since November 2024, André Dragosch of Bitwise Asset Management warns that Bitcoin might be outpacing itself.
但是,一些分析師建議謹慎。隨著比特幣的開放興趣幾乎達到了680億美元的歷史高峰,市場顯然是高度位置的。憑藉他們的加密助理情感指數在2024年11月以來的最高級別,安德烈·德拉格斯(AndréDragosch)的Bitwise Asset Management警告說,比特幣可能會超過自己。
Since March, with changes in US policy guiding money into politically neutral assets, Bitcoin has shown a greater correlation with gold than equities. Should gold move into a corrective phase, Bitcoin might do the same. Moreover, seasonal trends suggest possible headwinds as June and September have always been the worst performing months for Bitcoin.
自3月以來,隨著美國政策的變化將資金引導到政治上立的資產中,比特幣與黃金的相關性比股票更大。如果黃金進入糾正階段,比特幣可能會做同樣的事情。此外,季節性趨勢表明,六月和九月一直是比特幣表現最差的幾個月。
XRP Price Surges 55% From Local Bottom
XRP價格從本地底部飆升了55%
XRP XRP/USD has rebounded by more than 55% since hitting a local bottom around $1.61 in April, currently trading around $2.58. Technical and on-chain studies suggest potential price rallies reminiscent of its 2024 bull run.
XRP XRP/USD自4月份以1.61美元的價格達到本地底部以來,反彈超過55%,目前交易約為2.58美元。技術和鏈上的研究表明,潛在的價格集會讓人聯想到其2024年的公牛運行。
Data on whale flow indicates a clear reversal of trend. From November 2024, before the correction from above $3.55 to below $2.00, XRP whale wallets were decreasing their holdings. This trend has reversed as of mid-May; the 90-day moving average of net flows is now positive.
鯨魚流的數據表明趨勢明顯逆轉。從2024年11月開始,在$ 3.55 $ 3.55的更正到$ 2.00以下之前,XRP鯨魚錢包正在減少其持有量。截至5月中旬,這種趨勢已經逆轉。淨流的90天移動平均值現在為正。
Such reversals have historically signaled major lows for XRP. Notably, as whale outflows slowed and eventually turned to net inflows, XRP’s rally from around $0.43 in July 2024 to $3.55 in January 2025—offering gains of roughly 400%—commenced.
這種逆轉歷史上表明了XRP的主要低點。值得注意的是,隨著鯨魚的流出減速並最終轉向淨流入,XRP的集會從2024年7月的0.43美元降至2025年1月的3.55美元,提供了約400%的收益。
Technical indicators also support this view; on the 3-day chart, XRP is breaking out from a multi-month descending wedge formation. While analysts highlight intermediate resistance around $2.80, the breakout predicts a price target of about $3.45, which is roughly 40% above the present levels.
技術指標還支持此觀點;在為期3天的圖表上,XRP從一個多個月的降楔形組中爆發。儘管分析師重點介紹了2.80美元左右的中間電阻,但突破性的目標目標約為3.45美元,比目前的水平高約40%。
Solana Price Shows Potential For More Gains After Recent Correction
索拉納(Solana)價格顯示出最近更正後獲得更多收益的潛力
The Solana SOL/USD token increased by 24.8% between May 6 and May 10 after Bitcoin broke out of $100,000. Currently trading at $184, on-chain data indicates that the price may rise further despite the recent correction.
在5月6日至5月10日之間,在比特幣損失了100,000美元之後,Solana Sol/USD代幣增加了24.8%。目前的交易價格為184美元,鏈上數據表明,儘管最近進行了更正,但價格可能會進一步上漲。
With its $10.9 billion total value locked (TVL) exceeding the entire Ethereum layer-2 ecosystem,
憑藉其109億美元的總價值鎖定(TVL)超過整個以太坊2層生態系統,
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