比特幣現金（BCH）價格拒絕失速看漲趨勢逆轉

比特幣現金於4月反彈，創造了一個大的看漲燭台，並防止了低於300美元的水平支撐區域的故障。

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) bounced in April, forming a large bullish candlestick and preventing a breakdown below the $300 horizontal support area. While this bounce increased optimism for a trend reversal, the price has struggled to reclaim a long-term ascending support trend line. After three consecutive rejections, will BCH finally break out this week? Let’s find out.

比特幣現金（BCH）在4月反彈，形成了一個大型的看漲燭台，並防止了低於300美元的水平支撐區域的故障。儘管這種反彈對趨勢逆轉的樂觀情緒提高，但價格卻努力收回長期上升的支持趨勢線。經過三次拒絕，BCH會在本週終於爆發嗎？讓我們找出答案。

BCH Technical Analysis: Price Might Reject From Key Levels

BCH技術分析：價格可能會拒絕關鍵水平

The technical analysis shows that the price has been falling since its cycle high of $719.43 in April 2024. The price formed a slightly lower high in December and accelerated its downward movement afterward.

技術分析表明，自2024年4月的周期高點以來，價格一直在下跌。該價格在12月的價格略低，此後加速了其下降。

As the price broke down from a long-term ascending support trend line in February, it signaled that the upward movement had ended.

隨著2月份的長期升級支持趨勢線的價格下跌，它表明向上運動已經結束。

While Bitcoin Cash was resilient by reclaiming the $300 horizontal support area, BCH has consistently failed to reclaim the trend line (red icons).

雖然比特幣現金通過收回300美元的水平支撐區而具有彈性，但BCH一直未能收回趨勢線（紅色圖標）。

For instance, the price is now approaching the diagonal support, and a close above it would be crucial to confirm that BCH has started a bullish trend reversal.

例如，價格現在正在接近對角線支持，而在上面的近距離支持對於確認BCH已經開始看漲趨勢逆轉至關重要。

The technical indicators are also at critical levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached 50 from below, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is close to making a bullish cross (red icons).

技術指標也處於關鍵水平。相對強度指數（RSI）從下方達到50，而移動平均值收斂/差異（MACD）接近使Bullish Cross（紅色圖標）。

So, a BCH price rejection will likely cause similar rejections in these indicators, while reclaiming support would be a bullish catalyst. Let’s look at a lower time frame and determine which is more critical.

因此，在這些指標中，BCH的價格拒絕可能會造成類似的拒絕，而收回支持將是看漲的催化劑。讓我們看一下較低的時間範圍，並確定哪個更關鍵。

What’s Next in BCH Price Analysis?

BCH價格分析的下一步是什麼？

The daily time frame wave count shows BCH has completed a five-wave decline (red), shaped as a leading diagonal. BCH broke out from its descending wedge after the RSI and MACD created bullish divergences (orange), legitimizing the breakout.

每日時間框架波數顯示，BCH已完成了五波的下降（紅色），形狀為領先的對角線。在RSI和MACD創造了看漲的分歧（橙色）之後，BCH從其下降的楔子中爆發出來，使突破合法化。

However, the breakout has become an ascending wedge, likely wave A in an A-B-C corrective structure. If the count is accurate, wave A will end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement resistance level near $400. Afterward, BCH could begin a corrective wave B before another upward movement.

但是，突破已成為上升的楔形，可能在ABC矯正結構中揮發A。如果計數是準確的，則Wave A將以0.382的斐波那契反回反回開電阻水平結束，接近$ 400。之後，BCH可以在另一個向上移動之前開始糾正波B。

Therefore, the daily time frame suggests BCH will reach a local top soon, and the price will not reclaim the long-term diagonal support trend line.

因此，每日時間範圍表明，BCH將很快到達本地頂級，而且價格將不會收回長期的對角線支撐趨勢線。

Local Top Close

本地頂部關閉

The Bitcoin Cash price has failed to reclaim an ascending support trend line for the past three weeks. Despite a short-term breakout, the wave count suggests a local top is close.

在過去三周中，比特幣現金價格未能收回上升的支持趨勢線。儘管短期突破，但波浪數表明本地頂部接近。

As a result, the most likely BCH price prediction is a rejection near $400, followed by a downward movement.

結果，最有可能的BCH價格預測是拒絕接近400美元，然後是下降。