比特币现金（BCH）价格拒绝失速看涨趋势逆转

比特币现金于4月反弹，创造了一个大的看涨烛台，并防止了低于300美元的水平支撑区域的故障。

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) bounced in April, forming a large bullish candlestick and preventing a breakdown below the $300 horizontal support area. While this bounce increased optimism for a trend reversal, the price has struggled to reclaim a long-term ascending support trend line. After three consecutive rejections, will BCH finally break out this week? Let’s find out.

比特币现金（BCH）在4月反弹，形成了一个大型的看涨烛台，并防止了低于300美元的水平支撑区域的故障。尽管这种反弹对趋势逆转的乐观情绪提高，但价格却努力收回长期上升的支持趋势线。经过三次拒绝，BCH会在本周终于爆发吗？让我们找出答案。

BCH Technical Analysis: Price Might Reject From Key Levels

BCH技术分析：价格可能会拒绝关键水平

The technical analysis shows that the price has been falling since its cycle high of $719.43 in April 2024. The price formed a slightly lower high in December and accelerated its downward movement afterward.

技术分析表明，自2024年4月的周期高点以来，价格一直在下跌。该价格在12月的价格略低，此后加速了其下降。

As the price broke down from a long-term ascending support trend line in February, it signaled that the upward movement had ended.

随着2月份的长期升级支持趋势线的价格下跌，它表明向上运动已经结束。

While Bitcoin Cash was resilient by reclaiming the $300 horizontal support area, BCH has consistently failed to reclaim the trend line (red icons).

虽然比特币现金通过收回300美元的水平支撑区而具有弹性，但BCH一直未能收回趋势线（红色图标）。

For instance, the price is now approaching the diagonal support, and a close above it would be crucial to confirm that BCH has started a bullish trend reversal.

例如，价格现在正在接近对角线支持，而在上面的近距离支持对于确认BCH已经开始看涨趋势逆转至关重要。

The technical indicators are also at critical levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached 50 from below, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is close to making a bullish cross (red icons).

技术指标也处于关键水平。相对强度指数（RSI）从下方达到50，而移动平均值收敛/差异（MACD）接近使Bullish Cross（红色图标）。

So, a BCH price rejection will likely cause similar rejections in these indicators, while reclaiming support would be a bullish catalyst. Let’s look at a lower time frame and determine which is more critical.

因此，在这些指标中，BCH的价格拒绝可能会造成类似的拒绝，而收回支持将是看涨的催化剂。让我们看一下较低的时间范围，并确定哪个更关键。

What’s Next in BCH Price Analysis?

BCH价格分析的下一步是什么？

The daily time frame wave count shows BCH has completed a five-wave decline (red), shaped as a leading diagonal. BCH broke out from its descending wedge after the RSI and MACD created bullish divergences (orange), legitimizing the breakout.

每日时间框架波数显示，BCH已完成了五波的下降（红色），形状为领先的对角线。在RSI和MACD创造了看涨的分歧（橙色）之后，BCH从其下降的楔子中爆发出来，使突破合法化。

However, the breakout has become an ascending wedge, likely wave A in an A-B-C corrective structure. If the count is accurate, wave A will end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement resistance level near $400. Afterward, BCH could begin a corrective wave B before another upward movement.

但是，突破已成为上升的楔形，可能在ABC矫正结构中挥发A。如果计数是准确的，则Wave A将以0.382的斐波那契反回反回开电阻水平结束，接近$ 400。之后，BCH可以在另一个向上移动之前开始纠正波B。

Therefore, the daily time frame suggests BCH will reach a local top soon, and the price will not reclaim the long-term diagonal support trend line.

因此，每日时间范围表明，BCH将很快到达本地顶级，而且价格将不会收回长期的对角线支撑趋势线。

Local Top Close

本地顶部关闭

The Bitcoin Cash price has failed to reclaim an ascending support trend line for the past three weeks. Despite a short-term breakout, the wave count suggests a local top is close.

在过去三周中，比特币现金价格未能收回上升的支持趋势线。尽管短期突破，但波浪数表明本地顶部接近。

As a result, the most likely BCH price prediction is a rejection near $400, followed by a downward movement.

结果，最有可能的BCH价格预测是拒绝接近400美元，然后是下降。