比特幣 (BTC) 交易員稱「Uptober」焦點是錯誤的，查看 10 月至 5 月的統計數據

雖然 10 月歷來是比特幣 (BTC) 表現最強勁的月份之一，但一位交易員認為，過度重視整個月份是錯誤的。

Bitcoin ( BTC ) had a lackluster start to October, which is typically one of the strongest months for the flagship digital asset. However , one crypto trader argues that traders should take a step back and look at a broader time frame.

比特幣（BTC）在十月開局平淡，這通常是旗艦數位資產最強勁的月份之一。然而，一位加密貨幣交易員認為，交易員應該退後一步，並專注於更廣泛的時間框架。

“I do believe focusing too much on one month versus periods or larger blocks of time is a mistake,” Oliver Velez wrote in an Oct. 2 X post.

Oliver Velez 在 10 月 2 日的一篇帖子中寫道：“我確實認為過多關註一個月而不是一段時間或更長的時間是一個錯誤。”

Velez highlighted that while October is often dubbed “Uptober” for its strong historical returns, it is “typically the second half or later part of October that has huge bullish tendencies, not so much the first half.”

Velez 強調，雖然 10 月因其強勁的歷史回報而經常被稱為“Uptober”，但“通常是在 10 月的下半月或下旬，有巨大的看漲趨勢，而不是上半月。”

Echoing a similar sentiment, Cane Island Alternative Advisors founder Timothy Peterson stated in an Oct. 2 X post that:

Cane Island Alternative Advisors 創辦人 Timothy Peterson 在 10 月 2 日的貼文中也表達了類似的觀點：

“It’s funny how everyone gets excited for ‘Uptober’ when in fact, October is usually pretty bearish (avg return -0.6%) and it’s typically later in the year (Q4) that we see strength in the market.”

「有趣的是，每個人都對'Uptober'感到興奮，而事實上，十月通常相當看跌（平均回報率-0.6%），而且通常在今年晚些時候（第四季度）我們會看到市場走強。

Peterson added that this October has seen the “worst start for Bitcoin in at least ten years.” However, Velez’s observation suggests that the slow start could be setting the stage for a more bullish second half of the month.

彼得森補充說，今年十月是「比特幣至少十年來最糟糕的開局」。然而，貝萊斯的觀察表明，緩慢的開局可能會為本月下半月更加看漲奠定基礎。

“This September into the first part of October weakness is what sets up the bullish aftermath. Think as if the market is squatting during this time before it leaps into the air to remain there for the next few months,” Velez claimed.

「今年 9 月到 10 月初的疲軟是看漲後果的根源。想像一下市場在這段時間蹲著，然後跳到空中並在接下來的幾個月裡保持在那裡，」貝萊斯聲稱。

Bitcoin and Ether ( ETH ) have both seen price declines since Oct. 1, with BTC down 5.6% and ETH down 11.4% over the past seven days.

自 10 月 1 日以來，比特幣和以太幣 (ETH) 的價格均出現下跌，其中 BTC 在過去 7 天下跌了 5.6%，ETH 下跌了 11.4%。

After a strong third quarter, which saw BTC rally from around $40,000 at the beginning of July to highs above $63,000 in late September, both major cryptocurrencies have seen a slight pullback from recent highs.

在經歷了強勁的第三季後，比特幣從 7 月初的 40,000 美元左右上漲到 9 月底的 63,000 美元以上的高位，這兩種主要加密貨幣都從近期高點小幅回調。

However, both assets are still up significantly year-to-date, with BTC and ETH up over 200% and 600%, respectively.

然而，這兩種資產今年迄今仍大幅上漲，BTC 和 ETH 分別上漲超過 200% 和 600%。