比特币 (BTC) 交易员称“Uptober”焦点是错误的，查看 10 月至 5 月的统计数据

虽然 10 月历来是比特币 (BTC) 表现最强劲的月份之一，但一位交易员认为，过分重视整个月份是错误的。

Bitcoin ( BTC ) had a lackluster start to October, which is typically one of the strongest months for the flagship digital asset. However , one crypto trader argues that traders should take a step back and look at a broader time frame.

比特币（BTC）十月份开局平淡，这通常是旗舰数字资产最强劲的月份之一。然而，一位加密货币交易员认为，交易员应该退后一步，着眼于更广泛的时间框架。

“I do believe focusing too much on one month versus periods or larger blocks of time is a mistake,” Oliver Velez wrote in an Oct. 2 X post.

Oliver Velez 在 10 月 2 日的一篇帖子中写道：“我确实认为过多关注一个月而不是一段时间或更长的时间是一个错误。”

Velez highlighted that while October is often dubbed “Uptober” for its strong historical returns, it is “typically the second half or later part of October that has huge bullish tendencies, not so much the first half.”

Velez 强调，虽然 10 月因其强劲的历史回报而经常被称为“Uptober”，但“通常是在 10 月的下半月或下旬，有巨大的看涨趋势，而不是上半月。”

Echoing a similar sentiment, Cane Island Alternative Advisors founder Timothy Peterson stated in an Oct. 2 X post that:

Cane Island Alternative Advisors 创始人 Timothy Peterson 在 10 月 2 日的帖子中也表达了类似的观点：

“It’s funny how everyone gets excited for ‘Uptober’ when in fact, October is usually pretty bearish (avg return -0.6%) and it’s typically later in the year (Q4) that we see strength in the market.”

“有趣的是，每个人都对‘Uptober’感到兴奋，而事实上，十月通常相当看跌（平均回报率-0.6%），而且通常在今年晚些时候（第四季度）我们会看到市场走强。”

Peterson added that this October has seen the “worst start for Bitcoin in at least ten years.” However, Velez’s observation suggests that the slow start could be setting the stage for a more bullish second half of the month.

彼得森补充说，今年十月是“比特币至少十年来最糟糕的开局”。然而，贝莱斯的观察表明，缓慢的开局可能会为本月下半月更加看涨奠定基础。

“This September into the first part of October weakness is what sets up the bullish aftermath. Think as if the market is squatting during this time before it leaps into the air to remain there for the next few months,” Velez claimed.

“今年 9 月到 10 月上旬的疲软是看涨后果的根源。想象一下市场在这段时间蹲着，然后跳到空中并在接下来的几个月里保持在那里，”贝莱斯声称。

Bitcoin and Ether ( ETH ) have both seen price declines since Oct. 1, with BTC down 5.6% and ETH down 11.4% over the past seven days.

自 10 月 1 日以来，比特币和以太坊 (ETH) 的价格均出现下跌，其中 BTC 在过去 7 天下跌了 5.6%，ETH 下跌了 11.4%。

After a strong third quarter, which saw BTC rally from around $40,000 at the beginning of July to highs above $63,000 in late September, both major cryptocurrencies have seen a slight pullback from recent highs.

在经历了强劲的第三季度后，比特币从 7 月初的 40,000 美元左右上涨到 9 月底的 63,000 美元以上的高位，这两种主要加密货币都从近期高点小幅回调。

However, both assets are still up significantly year-to-date, with BTC and ETH up over 200% and 600%, respectively.

然而，这两种资产今年迄今仍大幅上涨，BTC 和 ETH 分别上涨超过 200% 和 600%。