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儘管宏觀古魯·林恩·奧爾登(Lyn Alden)預計比特幣將在2025年結束時高於目前的85,000美元,但如果沒有特朗普的貿易戰爭,她將會進一步發展。
Macro-Guru Lyn Alden expects Bitcoin to end year 2025 higher than the current rate of $ 85,000. However, she would, according to her own words, be a lot further without Trump’s trade war. “For all the import duties para, I had a much higher courage,” said Lyn Alden in conversation with Natalie Brunell for Coin Stories.
宏觀古魯·林恩·奧爾登(Lyn Alden)預計比特幣將於2025年結束高於目前的85,000美元。但是,根據她自己的話,如果沒有特朗普的貿易戰爭,她會進一步。林恩·奧爾登(Lyn Alden)在與娜塔莉·布魯內爾(Natalie Brunell)的交談中談到硬幣故事時說:“儘管如此,我還是有更高的勇氣。”
This brand new interview with @LynAldenContact can be described as nothing short of a masterclass on the U.S. dollar’s global reserve currency status: the tradeoffs, trade deficits, and USD hegemony’s impact on the working class.
對@lynaldencontact的這一全新採訪可以描述為對美元全球儲備貨幣狀況的大師班:權衡,貿易赤字和美元霸權對工人階級的影響。
Is Trump closing the window on USTs as primary…pic.twitter.com/fXjCqkUUNq
特朗普是將USTS上的窗戶關閉為主要... pic.twitter.com/fxjcqkuunq
— Natalie Brunell ⚡️ (@Natbrunell) April 17, 2025
- 娜塔莉·布魯內爾(Natalie Brunell)⚡️(@natbrunell)2025年4月17日
Bitcoin needs this to rise
比特幣需要升起
In conversation with Brunell, Alden also indicates what she thinks Bitcoin needs to start rising again.
在與布魯內爾的對話中,奧爾登還指出了她認為比特幣需要再次上升的內容。
A possible catalyst for Bitcoin would be a “gigantic liquidity explosion”. As an example for this, she mentions the breaking of the American bond market, so that the central bank should jump in with support.
比特幣可能的催化劑將是“巨大的流動性爆炸”。為此,她提到了美國債券市場的破壞,以便中央銀行應支持。
Although Alden sees a good chance for a Bitcoin course of $ 100,000 at the end of the year, the digital currency will, according to her, suffer from days on which the entire financial market is falling.
儘管奧爾登(Alden)在年底時看到了一個比特幣課程100,000美元的好機會,但根據她的說法,數字貨幣將遭受整個金融市場下降的日子。
“Because Bitcoin acts 24/7, people will worry about the opening on Monday. Some capital pools can sell their bitcoin on Sundays and prepare themselves,” said Alden.
奧爾登說:“由於比特幣行為24/7,人們會擔心週一的開業。一些資本池可以在周日出售其比特幣並準備自己。”
Bitcoin can release itself
比特幣可以釋放
Despite the fact that Alden sees dangers for Bitcoin, the digital currency can also detach itself. For example from the American Nasdaq 100 (the Tech Fair).
儘管奧爾登(Alden)看到比特幣的危險,但數字貨幣也可以自身分離。例如,來自美國納斯達克100(The Tech Fair)。
Especially if there is a situation in which Nasdaq companies are more difficult to realize, while global liquidity is still present in full abundance.
尤其是如果存在納斯達克公司更難實現的情況,而全球流動性仍然充分出現。
As an example, Alden points to a potential repetition of the five years in the run up to the global financial crisis of 2008. According to Alden, something like that could be in favor of Bitcoin.
例如,奧爾登(Alden)指出,直到2008年全球金融危機的五年中,潛在的重複。
In the period from 2003-2007 we saw a weaker US dollar, and although there was no massive exodus of capital in the United States, we did see capital flows towards emerging economies, raw materials, gold and other assets.
在2003年至2007年的那個時期,我們看到了一美元弱,儘管在美國沒有大規模的資本外流,但我們確實看到了朝著新興經濟體,原材料,黃金和其他資產流向資本。
American shares were less hot at that time.
當時的美國股票不那麼熱。
“If we have again entered such a period of five years, it would be a period in which bitcoin is doing well. Even if the US stock market performs less,” said a optimistic Alden.
一位樂觀的奧爾登說:“如果我們再次進入了五年的時間,那將是比特幣表現良好的時期。即使美國股市的表現較低。”
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