由美元指數下降的驅動到夏季，比特幣（BTC）到夏季可能達到$ 150萬美元至20萬美元

在美元指數下降之後，比特幣在5月飆升了近10％，可能表明了比特幣的強烈集會，而風險資產則有可能。

Economist predicts Bitcoin price could hit $150K to $200K by summer, driven by the recent US Dollar Index decline and its historical correlation with BTC.

經濟學家預測，由於最近的美元指數下降及其與BTC的歷史相關性，到夏季，比特幣價格可能會達到15萬至20萬美元。

Bitcoin has surged nearly 10% in May, following the US Dollar Index drop, potentially signaling a strong rally in Bitcoin and risk assets ahead.

在美元指數下降之後，比特幣在5月飆升了近10％，可能表明了比特幣的強烈集會，而風險資產則有可能。

Economic expert Tomas, in a recent post on the X platform, has highlighted a critical market signal that could drive Bitcoin and other risk assets much higher this summer.

經濟專家Tomas在最近在X平台上的一篇文章中強調了一個關鍵的市場信號，該信號可能會使今年夏天更高的比特幣和其他風險資產更高。

According to the expert, the sharp decline in the US Dollar Index seen in Q1 historically triggers strong rallies in assets like Bitcoin, typically with a three-month lag.

根據專家的說法，在Q1中，美元指數的急劇下降歷史上觸發了比特幣等資產的強烈集會，通常有三個月的滯後。

He predicts that if this pattern holds, Bitcoin could reach the range of $150,000 to $200,000 in the coming months.

他預測，如果這種模式成立，則比特幣在未來幾個月內可以達到150,000至200,000美元的範圍。

“All you have to do is watch the dollar – is it really this simple?

“您要做的就是看美元 - 真的很簡單嗎？

While all the tariff/growth slowdown concerns are ongoing, it’s easy to forget that the dollar has weakened massively.

儘管所有關稅/增長放緩的問題都持續不斷，但很容易忘記美元大大削弱了。

History strongly suggests this is bullish for risk assets, often on a lag.

歷史強烈表明，這通常是風險資產，通常是滯後。

We’re at that lag now, with stocks having risen massively since the bear market low in December 2024 and Bitcoin having more than doubled since the March lows.”

我們現在處於這一滯後，自2024年12月熊市低下以來，股票的上升幅度大大增加，自3月低點以來比特幣的增加了一倍以上。 ”

At the beginning of this year, the US Dollar index was $108.512. In the first quarter of this year, the index slipped by no fewer than 3.93%. In the previous month, it declined by over 4.36%. Currently, the index sits at $100.424.

今年年初，美元指數為108.512美元。在今年的第一季度，該指數下滑不少於3.93％。在上個月，它下降了4.36％。目前，該指數為$ 100.424。

This shows that the US dollar has weakened a lot in recent months, specifically in the first quarter of 2025.

這表明，近幾個月來，美元的美元削弱了很多，特別是在2025年第一季度。

The expert adds that a weaker dollar usually leads to higher prices for risk assets like Bitcoin and stocks, though with a delay ( often around three months).

專家補充說，較弱的美元通常會導致比特幣和股票等風險資產的價格更高，儘管延遲（通常大約三個月）。

On May 8, with a single day surge of 6.46%, the Bitcoin market once again broke the crucial mark of $100K.

5月8日，一日漲幅為6.46％，比特幣市場再次打破了至關重要的10萬美元。

Bitcoin price today, May 9, is hovering around $108,000.

今天5月9日的比特幣價格徘徊在108,000美元左右。

At the start of this month, the BTC price was $94,147.61. So far this month, the BTC market has jumped nearly 10.2%. Even though, in the early days of this month, the market witnessed severe volatility (a rise of around 2.84% between May 1 and 2 and a fall of 2.68% between May 3 and 4), since May 5, it has grown by at least 10.23%.

在本月初，BTC價格為94,147.61美元。本月到目前為止，BTC市場上漲了近10.2％。即使在本月的初期，市場的嚴重波動（5月1日至2日之間的增長約為2.84％，5月3日至4日之間下跌了2.68％），自5月5日以來，它的增長至少為10.23％。

In the last seven days alone, the Bitcoin price has witnessed an impressive rise of 7.8%.

僅在過去的七天中，比特幣的價格就看到了7.8％的令人印象深刻的上漲。

The expert forecasts that if the usual inverse relationship between Bitcoin and the US Dollar index holds, the BTC price could reach the range of $150K to $200K by this summer.

專家預測，如果比特幣與美元指數之間的通常反向關係，那麼到今年夏天，BTC的價格可能達到15萬美元至20萬美元的範圍。

The same pattern might also boost US stock indices, although the link is less precise than with Bitcoin.

儘管鏈接不如比特幣，但同樣的模式也可能會增加美國庫存指數。

In the first quarter of 2025, the S&P 500 index registered a notable drop of 4.96%. In the previous month, the market recorded a minor decline of 0.54%. Since the start of this month, it has experienced a small surge of 0.96%.

在2025年的第一季度，標準普爾500指數的顯著下降了4.96％。在上個月，市場的下降幅度為0.54％。自本月初以來，它的漲幅為0.96％。

Likewise, in April, the Nasdaq 100 index reported a rise of 1.92%. So far this month, the index has jumped 0.95% to $20,062.45.

同樣，在4月，納斯達克100指數報告增長了1.92％。本月到目前為止，該指數上漲了0.95％至20,062.45美元。

Meanwhile, the expert emphasises that gold often moves in sync with the dollar, not in the opposite direction.

同時，專家強調，黃金通常與美元同步，而不是朝相反的方向同步。

2025 has been a fantastic year for gold. In Q1 2025, the gold price saw an enviable growth of no fewer than 19.16%. In the previous month, the price reported a rise of at least 5.25%. So far this month, the market has shown a minimal growth of 1.25%.

2025年對於黃金來說是一個美好的一年。在2025年第1季度，黃金價格的增長不少於19.16％。在上個月，價格報告至少上升了5.25％。本月到目前為止，市場的增長率最低1.25％。

The expert warns that since the dollar already weakened, gold has likely already risen and might fall if the dollar strengthens again.

專家警告說，由於美元已經削弱，黃金可能已經上升，如果美元再次增強，黃金可能會下降。

“The dollar has already weakened massively, so we're more likely to see strength in gold and weaker returns for dollar assets (like stocks and Bitcoin) if/when the dollar strengthens again.”

“美元已經大大削弱了，因此，如果/何時美元再次增強，我們更有可能看到黃金的實力和美元資產回報較弱（例如股票和比特幣）。”

The post Economist Predicts Bitcoin Price Could Hit $150K to $200K This Summer appeared first on Chain Link.

郵政經濟學家預測，今年夏天，比特幣價格可能達到15萬美元至200k，首先出現在連鎖鏈接上。

The post Economist Predicts Bitcoin Price Could Hit $150K to $200K This Summer appeared first on Chain Link.

郵政經濟學家預測，今年夏天，比特幣價格可能達到15萬美元至200k，首先出現在連鎖鏈接上。

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The post Economist Predicts Bitcoin Price Could Hit $150K to $200K This Summer appeared first on Chain Link

郵政經濟學家預測，今年夏天，比特幣價格可能達到15萬美元至200k的$ 200K