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似乎美國勞動力市場陷入了坑洼。堪薩斯城美聯儲的勞動力市場條件指數(LMCI)連續第二個月下降
The U.S. labor market appears to be running into some trouble. The Kansas City Fed’s Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) dropped again for a second month, highlighting that hiring-related matters are beginning to get "sticky." As wage growth slows and job creation cools, whispers of "r-word" are emerging once again on Wall Street's bingo card.
美國勞動力市場似乎遇到了一些麻煩。堪薩斯城美聯儲的勞動力市場條件指數(LMCI)再次下降了第二個月,強調與招聘有關的問題開始變得“粘性”。隨著工資增長的放緩和創造就業的涼爽,“ R-Word”的耳語再次出現在華爾街的賓果卡上。
However, while traditional assets are showing signs of stress, Bitcoin is doing the complete opposite—sitting back, sipping digital tea, and soaking up more institutional cash.
但是,儘管傳統資產表現出壓力的跡象,但比特幣卻做出了完全相反的情況 - 倒退,喝了數字茶,並吸收了更多的機構現金。
But ETFs are seeing huge inflows as big money shifts out of riskier assets.
但是,隨著巨額資產從風險更高的資產轉移,ETF的流入大量流入。
The threat of a U.S. recession is causing institutional investors to reallocate their portfolios away from equities and towards safer assets, such as Bitcoin. As risk in traditional assets increases, crypto is becoming a preferred choice.
美國經濟衰退的威脅使機構投資者將其投資組合從股票中重新分配給比特幣等更安全的資產。隨著傳統資產的風險增加,加密貨幣正成為首選選擇。
This isn’t a FOMO rally; rather, it's a classic portfolio rotation move by hedge funds and pension managers as they seek to reduce volatility and invest in assets that are less likely to be affected by economic setbacks.
這不是FOMO集會;相反,這是對沖基金和退休金經理的經典投資組合輪換,因為他們試圖減少波動並投資於不太可能受到經濟挫折影響的資產。
The LMCI dropped to 10 in July from 17 in June, according to fresh Kansas City Fed data released on Friday. Economists had anticipated a smaller decline to 16.
據堪薩斯城新鮮的FED數據稱,LMCI從6月17日從6月17日下降到10。經濟學家預計將較小的下降至16。
This marks the second consecutive month of decline, which could be attributed to a slowdown in hiring and a decrease in wage growth, explained Robert Smith, an economist at PHB Impact Investment in Princeton, New Jersey.
PHB Impact Imploting Impppitions Impact Impppitions Impact New Jersey的PHB投資的經濟學家羅伯特·史密斯(Robert Smith)解釋說,這連續第二個月下降了,這可能歸因於招聘放緩和工資增長下降。
Two consecutive months in the red might indicate that the Fed's interest rate hammer is finally making cracks in the real economy, and if this continues, it’ll likely fuel expectations of rate cuts, which historically boosts risk assets like BTC.
紅色連續兩個月可能表明,美聯儲的利率錘子最終在實際經濟中造成破解,如果繼續進行,這可能會促進降低利率的期望,從歷史上看,這會增加BTC等風險資產。
This would continue to favor Bitcoin over traditional assets, especially if the labor market continues to deteriorate, leading to anticipations of a recession and pushing investors to seek safer havens.
這將繼續偏愛比特幣,而不是傳統資產,尤其是如果勞動力市場繼續惡化,導致經濟衰退的預期並促使投資者尋求更安全的避風港。
The narrative of Bitcoin as a safe haven is becoming increasingly apparent. In times of macro chaos, investors usually look for assets that are liquid, limited in supply, and not controlled by central banks.
比特幣作為避風港的敘述變得越來越明顯。在宏觀混亂時期,投資者通常會尋找流動性,供應量有限且不受中央銀行控制的資產。
This explains why BTC isn't merely surviving the current macroeconomic turmoil but is actually thriving in it.
這就解釋了為什麼BTC不僅可以在當前的宏觀經濟動盪中倖存下來,但實際上在其中蓬勃發展。
Of course, Bitcoin still has its speculative edges, but in times like these, even the suits are admitting that BTC deserves a seat at the “safe haven” lunch table—right next to gold, bonds, and a stiff drink.
當然,比特幣仍然具有投機性的邊緣,但是在這樣的時代,即使是西裝也承認BTC應該在“避風港”午餐桌上坐下,就在金,債券和僵硬的飲料旁邊。
If the labor market continues its downhill jog and rumors of a looming recession gain momentum, we might see even more love flowing towards Bitcoin from hedge funds, pension managers, and everyday investors seeking to hedge their bets.
如果勞動力市場繼續下坡慢跑和關於迫在眉睫的衰退增長勢頭的謠言,我們可能會看到更多的愛情從對沖基金,養老金經理和日常投資者那裡流向比特幣,以尋求對沖他們的賭注。
With BTC ETF inflows accelerating and investor sentiment shifting, this could be the start of a broader move—not just for Bitcoin, but for digital assets as a whole. So while the job market sends warning signals, Bitcoin just might be blinking green.
隨著BTC ETF流入的加速和投資者的情緒轉移,這可能是更廣泛的舉動的開始 - 不僅僅是比特幣,而是整個數字資產。因此,儘管工作市場發出警告信號,但比特幣可能只是眨眼綠色。
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