比特幣（BTC）的價格在5月8日飆升了7.33％，將每日高點設置為$ 104,175

比特幣（BTC）的價格在5月8日飆升了7.33％，每日高點為104,175美元。自4月21日以來，BTC總共飆升了近22％。

Bitcoin (BTC) price soared 7.33% on May 8, setting up a daily high of $104,175. In total, BTC has soared nearly 22% since April 21. Despite this sudden spike and millions in liquidations, BTC’s 30-day Implied Volatility (IV) remains around 48 for the ninth day.

比特幣（BTC）的價格在5月8日飆升了7.33％，每日高點為104,175美元。自4月21日以來，BTC總共飆升了近22％。儘管突然的尖峰和數百萬的清算，但BTC的30天隱含波動率（IV）在第九天仍保持在48左右。

BTC price today trades at $102,738.0 on 9 AM. In the past 24 hours, BTC is up 3.17% with a daily high of $103,890.0 on May 9.

當今BTC價格的交易價格為上午9點的102,738.0美元。在過去的24小時內，BTC上漲了3.17％，每日高點為103,890.0美元。

Volmex’s 30-day Implied Volatility for Bitcoin (BVIV) hovers around 48.  Since implied volatility is annualized, Bitcoin’s daily percentage price swing would be 2.52%, obtained by dividing BVIIV by the square root of 365, since BTC trades all year round. Multiplying 2.52% with the BTC’s current value shows that Bitcoin price could swing roughly $2,619 in either direction today.

Volmex的比特幣（BVIV）的30天隱含波動率徘徊在48。由於隱含的波動率是年度化的，因此比特幣的每日百分比價格波動將為2.52％，通過將BVIIV除以BVIIV的平方根，因為BTC一年四季。將2.52％乘以BTC的當前價值，表明比特幣價格今天在任何一個方向上都可以搖擺約2,619美元。

Bitcoin price prediction based on 30-day IV suggests that the upper and lower limits for Bitcoin (BTC) today would be $106.5k and $101.3k, respectively.

基於30天IV的比特幣價格預測表明，今天比特幣（BTC）的上限和下限分別為106.5k美元和101.3k美元。

What’s next for the BTC price? While using 30D BVIIV to predict today’s average Bitcoin price range is good, we can take this a step further. Averaging the IV for multiple timeframes can help forecast short-term tops and bottoms for BTC. The logic behind this outlook is that spikes in IV are often caused by demand in short-dated options, which leads to traders getting caught on the wrong side of trades.

BTC價格的下一步是什麼？雖然使用30d BVIIV預測當今的平均比特幣價格範圍很好，但我們可以進一步邁出一步。平均多個時間範圍的IV可以幫助預測BTC的短期頂部和底部。這種前景背後的邏輯是，IV中的尖峰通常是由於短期選擇的需求引起的，這導致交易者被陷入錯誤的交易方面。

The blue line shows average IV standard deviation lines on either side. A spike in BVIIV above a standard deviation of +2 signals inflated IVs and hints at an upcoming reversal. On the contrary, a drop in IVs below the -2 standard deviation would indicate that a bullish reversal is next. Plotting these buy and sell signals on the chart shows a decent success rate of predicting cycle tops and bottoms for BTC price.

藍線在兩側顯示平均靜脈標準偏差線。 BVIIV的尖峰高於+2信號的標準偏差，使IV膨脹，並提示即將發生的逆轉。相反，IVS低於-2的標準偏差將表明下一個看漲的逆轉。在圖表上繪製這些買賣信號表明，以BTC價格預測週期頂部和底部的成功率。

The indicator shows low IVs despite BTC’s climb to $104k. This implies that investors are likely sidelined. It also hints that the chances of BTC’s price continuing on this uptrend are high, potentially reaching ATHs.

儘管BTC攀升至104K美元，但該指標顯示出較低的IV。這意味著投資者可能被淘汰。它還暗示，BTC價格持續在這一上升趨勢上的機會很高，有可能達到ATHS。

On the four-hour chart, this signal becomes noisy. Regardless, the BVIIV has tagged the +1.5 standard deviation band, signaling overheating and a potential short-term correction or consolidation.

在四小時的圖表上，該信號變得嘈雜。無論如何，BVIIV已標記+1.5標準偏差頻段，信號過熱和潛在的短期校正或整合。

To conclude, the outlook for Bitcoin price remains bullish as ever, with the ATH just inches away. Investors must remain cautious and not euphoric since altcoins have yet to breakout and rally as BTC did. So, there are plenty of opportunities in the crypto market.

總而言之，比特幣價格的前景仍然像以往任何時候一樣看漲，而Ath只有英寸。投資者必須保持謹慎，不要欣喜，因為Altcoins尚未像BTC一樣突破和集會。因此，加密貨幣市場有很多機會。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

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