比特币（BTC）的价格在5月8日飙升了7.33％，将每日高点设置为$ 104,175

比特币（BTC）的价格在5月8日飙升了7.33％，每日高点为104,175美元。自4月21日以来，BTC总共飙升了近22％。

Bitcoin (BTC) price soared 7.33% on May 8, setting up a daily high of $104,175. In total, BTC has soared nearly 22% since April 21. Despite this sudden spike and millions in liquidations, BTC’s 30-day Implied Volatility (IV) remains around 48 for the ninth day.

比特币（BTC）的价格在5月8日飙升了7.33％，每日高点为104,175美元。自4月21日以来，BTC总共飙升了近22％。尽管突然的尖峰和数百万的清算，但BTC的30天隐含波动率（IV）在第九天仍保持在48左右。

BTC price today trades at $102,738.0 on 9 AM. In the past 24 hours, BTC is up 3.17% with a daily high of $103,890.0 on May 9.

当今BTC价格的交易价格为上午9点的102,738.0美元。在过去的24小时内，BTC上涨了3.17％，每日高点为103,890.0美元。

Volmex’s 30-day Implied Volatility for Bitcoin (BVIV) hovers around 48.  Since implied volatility is annualized, Bitcoin’s daily percentage price swing would be 2.52%, obtained by dividing BVIIV by the square root of 365, since BTC trades all year round. Multiplying 2.52% with the BTC’s current value shows that Bitcoin price could swing roughly $2,619 in either direction today.

Volmex的比特币（BVIV）的30天隐含波动率徘徊在48。由于隐含的波动率是年度化的，因此比特币的每日百分比价格波动将为2.52％，通过将BVIIV除以BVIIV的平方根，因为BTC一年四季。将2.52％乘以BTC的当前价值，表明比特币价格今天在任何一个方向上都可以摇摆约2,619美元。

Bitcoin price prediction based on 30-day IV suggests that the upper and lower limits for Bitcoin (BTC) today would be $106.5k and $101.3k, respectively.

基于30天IV的比特币价格预测表明，今天比特币（BTC）的上限和下限分别为106.5k美元和101.3k美元。

What’s next for the BTC price? While using 30D BVIIV to predict today’s average Bitcoin price range is good, we can take this a step further. Averaging the IV for multiple timeframes can help forecast short-term tops and bottoms for BTC. The logic behind this outlook is that spikes in IV are often caused by demand in short-dated options, which leads to traders getting caught on the wrong side of trades.

BTC价格的下一步是什么？虽然使用30d BVIIV预测当今的平均比特币价格范围很好，但我们可以进一步迈出一步。平均多个时间范围的IV可以帮助预测BTC的短期顶部和底部。这种前景背后的逻辑是，IV中的尖峰通常是由于短期选择的需求而引起的，这导致交易者被陷入错误的交易方面。

The blue line shows average IV standard deviation lines on either side. A spike in BVIIV above a standard deviation of +2 signals inflated IVs and hints at an upcoming reversal. On the contrary, a drop in IVs below the -2 standard deviation would indicate that a bullish reversal is next. Plotting these buy and sell signals on the chart shows a decent success rate of predicting cycle tops and bottoms for BTC price.

蓝线在两侧显示平均静脉标准偏差线。 BVIIV的尖峰高于+2信号的标准偏差，使IV膨胀，并提示即将发生的逆转。相反，IVS低于-2的标准偏差将表明下一个看涨的逆转。在图表上绘制这些买卖信号表明，以BTC价格预测周期顶部和底部的成功率。

The indicator shows low IVs despite BTC’s climb to $104k. This implies that investors are likely sidelined. It also hints that the chances of BTC’s price continuing on this uptrend are high, potentially reaching ATHs.

尽管BTC攀升至104K美元，但该指标显示出较低的IV。这意味着投资者可能被淘汰。它还暗示，BTC价格持续在这一上升趋势上的机会很高，有可能达到ATHS。

On the four-hour chart, this signal becomes noisy. Regardless, the BVIIV has tagged the +1.5 standard deviation band, signaling overheating and a potential short-term correction or consolidation.

在四小时的图表上，该信号变得嘈杂。无论如何，BVIIV已标记+1.5标准偏差频段，信号过热和潜在的短期校正或整合。

To conclude, the outlook for Bitcoin price remains bullish as ever, with the ATH just inches away. Investors must remain cautious and not euphoric since altcoins have yet to breakout and rally as BTC did. So, there are plenty of opportunities in the crypto market.

总而言之，比特币价格的前景仍然像以往任何时候一样看涨，而Ath只有英寸。投资者必须保持谨慎，不要欣喜，因为Altcoins尚未像BTC一样突破和集会。因此，加密货币市场有很多机会。

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