比特幣（BTC）價格位於中東緊張局勢時，位於濕滑的斜坡上

週一，比特幣（BTC）每周達到110,653美元，但目前下跌3.5％，下降到週四的106,600美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped to a 24-hour low of $106,600 early Thursday as tensions in the Middle East escalated and triggered a risk-off sentiment among investors.

週四早些時候，比特幣（BTC）的價格下跌至24小時低點106,600美元，因為中東的緊張局勢升級並引發了投資者的風險情緒。

Bitcoin price is now testing the crucial support level of $100,000, a breach of which could open the door for further declines.

比特幣價格現在正在測試至關重要的支持水平100,000美元，這可能打開大門以進一步下降。

BTC reached a weekly high of $110,653 on Monday, but it is currently down 3.5%.

週一，BTC的每周高點為110,653美元，但目前下跌3.5％。

The recent increase in tensions between Iran and Israel, with reports that Israel is preparing military action against Iran, has triggered a risk-off sentiment, with BTC also posting a reaction.

伊朗和以色列之間緊張局勢的最近加劇，有報導稱以色列正在對伊朗進行軍事行動，這引發了風險情緒，而BTC也發表了反應。

From a technical standpoint, the current correction looks routine. BTC prices went up roughly 10% between June 6 and Tuesday, and a 3.5% can be considered normal.

從技術角度來看，當前的校正看起來是常規的。 BTC價格在6月6日至週二之間上漲了約10％，3.5％的價格被認為是正常的。

Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr outlined a similar sentiment, explaining that the current market faces a “soft reversal point.” Using the Bitcoin futures position dominance chart, the analyst explained that the price dip is potentially due to long positions taking profits at resistance, which is supported by aggressive short volume. Adler Jr said,

比特幣研究人員Axel Adler JR概述了類似的觀點，解釋說當前的市場面臨著“軟逆點”。分析師使用比特幣期貨的位置優勢圖，解釋說，價格下跌可能是由於較長的位置在阻力下獲得利潤，這得到了積極的短體積的支持。小阿德勒說，

"The market is setting up for a deeper drawdown from here, which would make sense given the swift and sizable gains since March 2025."

“從這裡開始，從這裡開始更深入的逐漸減少，鑑於自2025年3月以來的迅速而巨大的收益將是有意義的。”

While a consolidation near $108,000 should not break bullish momentum, fractal analysis outlines the possibility of a deeper drawdown.

雖然合併接近108,000美元的合併不應打破看漲的勢頭，但分形分析概述了更深層次的縮減的可能性。

Is Bitcoin falling into a bull trap?

比特幣會陷入公牛陷阱嗎？

Bitcoin’s recent rally to $110,000 from $100,500 represents a similar setup from January 2025, when BTC prices rebounded to $102,700 from $91,700. The current observation reveals a compelling fractal pattern with potentially bearish implications. A fractal pattern is a repeating trend that could lead to similar price action due to identical market conditions. As illustrated in the chart, the pattern can be summarised in three similar signals:

比特幣最近從100,500美元開始的$ 110,000的集會代表了2025年1月的類似設置，當時BTC價格從91,700美元反彈至102,700美元。當前的觀察結果揭示了具有潛在看跌意義的引人注目的分形模式。分形模式是一種重複的趨勢，由於市場條件相同，可能導致相似的價格行動。如圖所示，該模式可以用三個類似的信號進行總結：

BTC price broke a descending trendline pattern after absorbing 3-4 weeks of trailing liquidity, and formed a bullish break of structure on the daily chart.

BTC的價格在吸收3-4週的流動性後，打破了降落的趨勢線模式，並在每日圖表上形成了一個看漲的結構中斷。

BTC failed to take the previous high, which, in both cases, was the all-time high level.

BTC未能獲得以前的高位，在這兩種情況下，這都是歷史最高水平。

The relative strength index slipped below 50 before recovering and hit a rejection at 60.

相對強度指數在恢復之前降至50以下，並在60下擊落。

Bitcoin could face a sharp rejection if this fractal holds, potentially plummeting to $100,000, where significant support lies, as indicated by the chart’s liquidity zone. Validation of this fractal analysis requires the price to continue declining below Monday’s lows of approximately $105,000.

如果該分形成立，比特幣可能會面臨急劇的拒絕，可能會跌至100,000美元，而大量支持則存在，如該圖表的流動性區所表明的那樣。對這種分形分析的驗證要求價格繼續下降到週一的低點約105,000美元。

This raises the concern of a potential bull trap for BTC, where the crypto asset could signal the beginning of a multi-week drawdown.

這引起了BTC潛在的牛陷阱的關注，加密貨幣資產可能會標誌著多周的縮減的開始。

Invalidation would occur if Bitcoin reclaims and sustains above $108,000, negating the failed high and suggesting a bullish continuation.

如果比特幣收回並維持超過108,000美元，否定了失敗的高位並暗示看漲的延續，則會發生無效。