比特币（BTC）价格位于中东紧张局势时，位于湿滑的斜坡上

周一，比特币（BTC）每周达到110,653美元，但目前下跌3.5％，下降到周四的106,600美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped to a 24-hour low of $106,600 early Thursday as tensions in the Middle East escalated and triggered a risk-off sentiment among investors.

周四早些时候，比特币（BTC）的价格下跌至24小时低点106,600美元，因为中东的紧张局势升级并引发了投资者的风险情绪。

Bitcoin price is now testing the crucial support level of $100,000, a breach of which could open the door for further declines.

比特币价格现在正在测试至关重要的支持水平100,000美元，这可能打开大门以进一步下降。

BTC reached a weekly high of $110,653 on Monday, but it is currently down 3.5%.

周一，BTC的每周高点为110,653美元，但目前下跌3.5％。

The recent increase in tensions between Iran and Israel, with reports that Israel is preparing military action against Iran, has triggered a risk-off sentiment, with BTC also posting a reaction.

伊朗和以色列之间紧张局势的最近加剧，有报道称以色列正在对伊朗进行军事行动，这引发了风险情绪，而BTC也发表了反应。

From a technical standpoint, the current correction looks routine. BTC prices went up roughly 10% between June 6 and Tuesday, and a 3.5% can be considered normal.

从技术角度来看，当前的校正看起来是常规的。 BTC价格在6月6日至周二之间上涨了约10％，3.5％的价格被认为是正常的。

Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr outlined a similar sentiment, explaining that the current market faces a “soft reversal point.” Using the Bitcoin futures position dominance chart, the analyst explained that the price dip is potentially due to long positions taking profits at resistance, which is supported by aggressive short volume. Adler Jr said,

比特币研究人员Axel Adler JR概述了类似的观点，解释说当前的市场面临着“软逆点”。分析师使用比特币期货的位置优势图，解释说，价格下跌可能是由于较长的位置在阻力下获得利润，这得到了积极的短体积的支持。小阿德勒说，

"The market is setting up for a deeper drawdown from here, which would make sense given the swift and sizable gains since March 2025."

“从这里开始，从这里开始更深入的逐渐减少，鉴于自2025年3月以来的迅速而巨大的收益将是有意义的。”

While a consolidation near $108,000 should not break bullish momentum, fractal analysis outlines the possibility of a deeper drawdown.

虽然合并接近108,000美元的合并不应打破看涨的势头，但分形分析概述了更深层次的缩减的可能性。

Is Bitcoin falling into a bull trap?

比特币会陷入公牛陷阱吗？

Bitcoin’s recent rally to $110,000 from $100,500 represents a similar setup from January 2025, when BTC prices rebounded to $102,700 from $91,700. The current observation reveals a compelling fractal pattern with potentially bearish implications. A fractal pattern is a repeating trend that could lead to similar price action due to identical market conditions. As illustrated in the chart, the pattern can be summarised in three similar signals:

比特币最近从100,500美元开始的$ 110,000的集会代表了2025年1月的类似设置，当时BTC价格从91,700美元反弹至102,700美元。当前的观察结果揭示了具有潜在看跌意义的引人注目的分形模式。分形模式是一种重复的趋势，由于市场条件相同，可能导致相似的价格行动。如图所示，该模式可以用三个类似的信号进行总结：

BTC price broke a descending trendline pattern after absorbing 3-4 weeks of trailing liquidity, and formed a bullish break of structure on the daily chart.

BTC的价格在吸收3-4周的流动性后，打破了降落的趋势线模式，并在每日图表上形成了一个看涨的结构中断。

BTC failed to take the previous high, which, in both cases, was the all-time high level.

BTC未能获得以前的高位，在这两种情况下，这都是历史最高水平。

The relative strength index slipped below 50 before recovering and hit a rejection at 60.

相对强度指数在恢复之前降至50以下，并在60下击落。

Bitcoin could face a sharp rejection if this fractal holds, potentially plummeting to $100,000, where significant support lies, as indicated by the chart’s liquidity zone. Validation of this fractal analysis requires the price to continue declining below Monday’s lows of approximately $105,000.

如果该分形成立，比特币可能会面临急剧的拒绝，可能会跌至100,000美元，而大量支持则存在，如该图表的流动性区所表明的那样。对这种分形分析的验证要求价格继续下降到周一的低点约105,000美元。

This raises the concern of a potential bull trap for BTC, where the crypto asset could signal the beginning of a multi-week drawdown.

这引起了BTC潜在的牛陷阱的关注，加密货币资产可能会标志着多周的缩减的开始。

Invalidation would occur if Bitcoin reclaims and sustains above $108,000, negating the failed high and suggesting a bullish continuation.

如果比特币收回并维持超过108,000美元，否定了失败的高位并暗示看涨的延续，则会发生无效。