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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)的價格顯示了持續恢復的跡象,技術指標表明邁向$ 10萬美元

2025/05/01 17:56

比特幣顯示在整合數週後持續恢復的跡象,技術指標表明可能朝著100,000美元的成績轉移。

比特幣(BTC)的價格顯示了持續恢復的跡象,技術指標表明邁向$ 10萬美元

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of a sustained recovery after weeks of consolidation, with technical indicators suggesting a possible move towards the $100,000 mark. Recent on-chain data and trading patterns hint at renewed bullish sentiment as investors are holding their positions, potentially creating strong support at current levels.

比特幣(BTC)顯示合併數週後持續恢復的跡象,技術指標表明可能朝著100,000美元的成績轉移。最近的鏈上數據和交易模式暗示,隨著投資者的職位,新的看漲情緒可能會在當前水平上創造強大的支持。

As central banks maintain cautious policy stances and institutional interest in crypto remains elevated, Bitcoin is once again emerging as a focal point for traders seeking high-upside opportunities. This rebound also coincides with a broader uptick in risk assets, highlighting renewed optimism in global financial markets and reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a barometer of investor sentiment.

隨著中央銀行保持謹慎的政策立場和對加密貨幣的機構利益的提升,比特幣再次成為尋求高層機會的交易者的焦點。這種反彈還與風險資產的更大增長相吻合,強調了對全球金融市場的新樂觀情緒,並增強了比特幣作為投資者情緒晴雨表的作用。

MVRV bounce mirrors past bull cycle setup

MVRV彈跳鏡子過去的牛週期設置

MVRV彈跳鏡子過去的牛週期設置

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, a critical indicator for Bitcoin’s market cycle, has rebounded off the mean value of 1.74.

實現價值(MVRV)的市場價值是比特幣市場週期的關鍵指標,其平均值為1.74。

According to Glassnode, this level has typically marked the early stages of major price rallies. A similar trend was observed in mid-2024 when a bounce off this level was later followed by a sharp surge in BTC prices during the yen carry trade unwind. That move saw Bitcoin hit a temporary peak before entering a period of correction.

根據GlassNode的說法,此水平通常標誌著主要價格集會的早期階段。在2024年中期,當時在日元攜帶貿易期間,BTC價格急劇上漲,在2024年中期觀察到了類似的趨勢。在進入校正期之前,鋸鋸比特幣達到了臨時峰。

The current rebound off the same ratio level suggests a bullish setup may be unfolding again. The market’s structure appears to be repeating, with the MVRV ratio acting as an early signal.

當前的反彈相同的比率水平表明,看漲的設置可能會再次展開。市場的結構似乎正在重複,MVRV比率充當早期信號。

$61.6B in BTC creates price cushion between $95K and $97K

$ 61.6B的BTC創建價格墊子在$ 95K至$ 97K之間

$ 61.6B的BTC創建價格墊子在$ 95K至$ 97K之間

According to blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) model, around 649,600 BTC were purchased between $95,193 and $97,437. At current prices, this holding represents a value of over $61.6 billion.

根據區塊鏈分析公司Intotheblock的數據(IOMAP)型號(IOMAP)型號的數據,大約649,600 BTC的價格在95,193美元至97,437美元之間。以目前的價格,該股票的價值超過616億美元。

This accumulation zone is critical because it provides a solid support base for Bitcoin if current holders avoid selling prematurely to break even.

該累積區是至關重要的,因為如果當前持有人避免過早銷售以破裂,它為比特幣提供了堅實的支持基礎。

As seen in the chart above, when such large volumes are absorbed within a narrow range, it either forms a strong support floor or becomes a resistance if sentiment weakens. In this case, the bullish setup is strengthened by the assumption that holders are in no rush to sell, especially with Bitcoin nearing the psychological $100,000 level.

如上圖所示,當如此大的體積在狹窄範圍內吸收時,它要么形成強大的支撐地板,要么如果情緒削弱,則會成為阻力。在這種情況下,從持有人不急於銷售的假設來加強看漲的設置,尤其是比特幣接近心理上的100,000美元水平。

The high level of demand within this range may act as a springboard.

此範圍內的高需求可能充當跳板。

If BTC manages to climb above $97,437, this zone could flip into lasting support, further boosting bullish momentum.

如果BTC設法攀升到97,437美元以上,則該區域可能會轉向持久的支持,從而進一步提高看漲的勢頭。

However, if investor sentiment shifts and selling pressure increases, this support could be broken, altering the market’s short-term outlook.

但是,如果投資者的情緒變化和銷售壓力增加,這種支持可能會被打破,從而改變了市場的短期前景。

Bitcoin price eyes breakout above $95,761

比特幣價格眼睛突破超過$ 95,761

比特幣價格眼睛突破超過$ 95,761

Bitcoin is currently trading at $95,429, showing signs of a steady short-term uptrend over the past three weeks.

比特幣目前的交易價格為95,429美元,顯示出過去三週的短期上升趨勢的跡象。

The key level to watch in the near term is $95,761.

在短期內觀看的關鍵水平為95,761美元。

Source: CoinMarketCap

資料來源:CoinMarketCap

BTC has been consolidating just below this resistance zone for about a week, and a breakout could trigger a rally towards $98,000.

BTC在此阻力區以下固結了大約一周,而突破可能會觸發集會至98,000美元。

The current price action suggests that BTC is attempting to secure $93,625 as support. If successful, this would open the way for a move to $98,000 and eventually $100,000.

當前的價格行動表明,BTC試圖獲得93,625美元的支持。如果成功,這將為搬遷至98,000美元而最終100,000美元開闢道路。

These levels are both psychologically significant and technically relevant due to previous market activity.

由於以前的市場活動,這些水平在心理上具有重要意義,並且在技術上相關。

On the downside, failure to hold $91,521 could send BTC down to $89,421.

不利的一面是,如果不持有$ 91,521的價格可能會將BTC降至89,421美元。

A fall below this support would invalidate the current bullish trend and signal a possible return to market indecision.

低於此支持的下降將使當前的看漲趨勢無效,並表示可能返回市場猶豫不決。

Traders are closely monitoring price behavior near these levels for confirmation of the next move.

交易者正在密切監視這些水平附近的價格行為,以確認下一步。

Technical setup favours short-term gains

技術設置有利於短期收益

技術設置有利於短期收益

The ongoing price movement reflects rising investor confidence, backed by a mix of technical and on-chain indicators.

持續的價格變動反映了投資者的信心不斷上升,並在技術和鏈上指標的組合中支持。

The MVRV ratio’s bounce, large-scale buying at key price zones, and a visible uptrend in trading activity all contribute to a positive sentiment around Bitcoin.

MVRV比率的反彈,以關鍵價格區域的大規模購買以及可見的交易活動上升趨勢都在比特幣周圍產生了積極的情緒。

If momentum holds, the resistance zone between $97,437 and $98,000 could soon be tested.

如果勢頭保持穩定,則很快就會對阻力區域介於97,437美元至98,000美元之間。

Breaking through it would not only affirm the bullish thesis but also bring the $100,000 target within realistic reach.

突破它不僅會肯定看漲的論文,而且還將這項$ 100,000的目標帶入現實。

However, any signs of reversal will require caution as sentiment remains sensitive to macroeconomic cues and regulatory developments.

但是,任何逆轉跡像都需要謹慎,因為情緒仍然對宏觀經濟提示和監管發展敏感。

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