率降低概率達到99.9％ - 這是比特幣可能反應的

由於本月晚些時候，美國美聯儲幾乎削減了一定的利率，比特幣可能處於重大價格突破的邊緣。

The U.S. Federal Reserve is largely expected to cut interest rates at its June 18 meeting, according to CME FedWatch data, which shows a 99.9% probability of a rate decrease. This move could be a major macro catalyst for Bitcoin, potentially pushing the BTC price toward the $130,000 mark and triggering a wider altcoin rally.

根據CME FedWatch數據，預計美國聯邦儲備將在6月18日的會議上降低利率，該數據顯示，利率下降的可能性為99.9％。這一舉動可能是比特幣的主要宏催化劑，有可能將BTC的價格推向130,000美元，並觸發更廣泛的Altcoin Rally。

Analyst Cyclop highlights the historical behavior of the market following rate cuts, explaining that easing monetary policy has consistently injected liquidity into risk assets, including crypto. In previous cycles, such shifts in monetary policy have marked the beginning of high-cap crypto pumps and full-blown altseasons.

分析師的獨角獸強調了削減速度後市場的歷史行為，並解釋說，寬鬆的貨幣政策一直將流動性注入風險資產，包括加密貨幣。在以前的周期中，貨幣政策的這種轉變標誌著高盤加密泵和全面的高季節的開始。

A chart shared by the analyst showcases Bitcoin’s price action in relation to macro liquidity flows. If the anticipated rate cut materializes, it can be expected to unleash a new leg of upside momentum in the Bitcoin price.

分析師共享的圖表展示了比特幣與宏流動流有關的價格行動。如果預期的稅率降低，則可以預計將以比特幣價格釋放新的上升勢頭。

The projected target from the breakout point on the chart aims toward $130,000, which is also supported by the improving global liquidity backdrop.

圖表上的突破點的預計目標旨在達到130,000美元，這也得到了不斷提高的全球流動性背景的支持。

Bitcoin has shown a strong tendency to respond positively to increased liquidity and a more dovish stance from central banks. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin, often pushing investors to seek higher returns by rotating capital into alternative stores of value. Additionally, rate cuts tend to weaken the U.S. dollar, which can further fuel capital inflows into crypto markets.

比特幣表現出強烈的趨勢，即對增加的流動性和中央銀行的更艱難的立場做出積極反應。較低的利率降低了持有比特幣等非收益資產的機會成本，通常會促使投資者通過將資本旋轉到替代價值存儲中尋求更高的回報。此外，削減稅率往往會削弱美元，這可以進一步加入加密貨幣市場。

This setup now mirrors key turning points seen in past cycles, where monetary easing triggered sustained rallies in both Bitcoin and the broader digital asset space. Should the Fed proceed as expected, the move could spark a chain reaction: a Bitcoin breakout, followed by capital rotation into major altcoins, and ultimately, a broader altseason.

現在，該設置反映了過去週期中看到的關鍵轉折點，在該週期中，貨幣寬鬆觸發了比特幣和更廣泛的數字資產空間的持續集會。如果美聯儲按預期進行，此舉可能會引發連鎖反應：比特幣突破，然後將資本旋轉到主要的Altcoins，最終是更廣泛的替代賽季。

With the countdown to the Fed’s decision progressing, traders are closely monitoring this development. The next policy move from the central bank may not just impact traditional markets but could also play a crucial role in shaping the trajectory of crypto markets for the remainder of the year.

隨著美聯儲決策進展的倒計時，交易者正在密切監視這一發展。從中央銀行進行的下一個政策轉移可能不僅影響傳統市場，而且還可能在整個一年中塑造加密貨幣市場的軌跡中發揮關鍵作用。