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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)價格預測:集會後的BTC/USD攤位為$ 104,500,為潛在的回溯設置了舞台

2025/05/12 13:38

比特幣目前的交易價格為104,514美元,其市值為20.7萬億美元,交易量為264.8億美元。它的盤中價格在一個狹窄的樂隊中波動在103,133美元至104,841美元之間,這表明在最近的看漲集會後,短期合併的一段時間。

比特幣(BTC)價格預測:集會後的BTC/USD攤位為$ 104,500,為潛在的回溯設置了舞台

Bitcoin (BTC) entered a period of short-term consolidation on Wednesday, with the world's largest cryptocurrency remaining in a tight intraday trading band.

比特幣(BTC)在周三進入了一段短期合併時期,全球最大的加密貨幣仍在緊密的盤中交易頻段中。

What Happened: Bitcoin is currently trading at $104,114, supported by a market capitalization of $2.07 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $26.48 billion. Its intraday price has fluctuated between a minimum of $103,133 and a maximum of $104,841.

發生的事情:比特幣目前的交易價格為104,114美元,並支持市值為20.7萬億美元,交易量為264.8億美元。它的盤中價格最低限額為103,133美元,最高為104,841美元。

The hourly chart reveals that bitcoin has entered a choppy sideways range after peaking at $104,985. A sharp rejection from this level was followed by a bounce off the $103,000 support line, indicating active short-term demand. However, the decreasing volume on red candles after the breakout suggests a weakening bullish momentum.

每小時圖表顯示,比特幣以104,985美元達到頂峰後,比特幣進入了波濤洶湧的側面範圍。從該水平的急劇拒絕之後,從103,000美元的支持線中反彈,表明短期需求。但是,突破後的紅色蠟燭的體積減少表明看漲勢頭較弱。

Entry points appear viable on a confirmed breakout above $104,800, while a breach below $103,000 amid rising sell volume would be a strong exit signal. Traders should exercise caution as volume divergence is present, a noteworthy bearish indicator.

入口點在超過$ 104,800的確認突破中顯得可行,而銷售量增加的銷售額低於103,000美元,這將是強烈的退出信號。交易者應謹慎行事,因為存在數量差異,這是一個值得注意的看跌指標。

Bitcoin 1H Chart via Bitstamp

比特幣1H圖表通過BITSTAMP

The four-hour chart shows bitcoin forming a plateau pattern after an aggressive upward movement. A significant volume spike at the peak near $104,985 was observed, followed by a tapering in trade activity, which suggests distribution rather than accumulation.

四小時的圖表顯示,比特幣在激進的向上運動後形成了平穩的模式。觀察到峰值接近104,985美元的峰值上的大量飆升,然後是貿易活動的逐漸減少,這表明分佈而不是積累。

Lower highs are being formed since the peak, indicating emerging short-term bearish sentiment. The $102,500 area could be a point of interest for a potential bounce, especially if supported by increased volume.

自峰以來,正在形成較低的高點,表明出現的短期看跌情緒。 102,500美元的面積可能是潛在反彈的興趣點,尤其是在增加數量的支持下。

Reclaiming $104,500 with strong follow-through would be required to reestablish a bullish stance.

重新建立看漲的立場需要重新獲得$ 104,500的$ 104,500。

Bitcoin 4H Chart via Bitstamp

比特幣4H圖表通過BITSTAMP

On the daily chart, bitcoin shows strong uptrend characteristics with higher highs and higher lows. Support is established near the $95,000 range, which acted as a prior consolidation zone, while resistance is currently positioned around $104,985.

在每日圖表上,比特幣顯示出強大的上升特性,高和更高的低點。支持建立在$ 95,000的範圍附近,該範圍是先前的合併區,而電阻目前的位置約為104,985美元。

However, volume has been decreasing on recent green candles, which could indicate buying fatigue. A strategic entry may present itself in the $98,000 to $100,000 range if reversal confirmation emerges, such as a long wick or bullish engulfing candlestick.

但是,最近的綠色蠟燭的數量一直在減少,這可能表明購買疲勞。如果出現逆轉確認,例如長長的燈芯或看漲吞噬燭台,則可能會出現在98,000美元至100,000美元的範圍內。

If volume continues to trail, any test near the $105,000 mark could fail to hold.

如果數量繼續落後,則附近105,000美元的任何測試都可能無法持有。

Bitcoin 1D Chart via Bitstamp

比特幣1D圖表通過BITSTAMP

Oscillator readings offer a mixed technical sentiment. The RSI stands at 75 and the CCI at 184, both issuing sell signals due to overbought conditions. Momentum is similarly bearish with a value of 7,919.

振盪器讀數提供了混合的技術情感。 RSI為75,CCI為184,由於條件過高,兩者均發行銷售信號。動量同樣是看跌,值為7,919。

The MACD provides a positive signal with a positive divergence of 4,110. The Stochastic oscillator at 94, ADX at 36, and the awesome oscillator all show neutral stances, reflecting market indecision.

MACD提供的正信號為4,110。隨機振盪器為94,ADX為36,而令人敬畏的振盪器都顯示出中性立場,反映了市場的猶豫不決。

From a moving averages perspective, bitcoin remains firmly bullish across all timeframes. The 10-, 20-, 30-, 50-, 100-, and 200-period exponential moving averages (EMA) and simple moving averages (SMA) all indicate bullish signals, underscoring long-term upward strength.

從移動的平均角度來看,比特幣在所有時間表上仍然堅定地看好。 10-,20-,30-,50-,100-和200階段的指數移動平均值(EMA)和簡單的移動平均值(SMA)都表示樂觀的信號,強調了長期的上升強度。

These averages suggest strong underlying trend support, even amid short-term pullbacks. However, given the current divergence between price action and volume, traders are advised to prioritize confirmation signals before entering new positions. Chasing prices near all-time highs without volume support exposes traders to potential downside volatility.

這些平均值表明,即使是短期撤退,也有強大的潛在趨勢支持。但是,鑑於當前的價格行動和數量之間的差異,建議交易者在進入新職位之前優先考慮確認信號。在沒有數量支持的情況下,追逐價格在有史以來的高價附近,使交易者暴露於潛在的下行波動率。

Bull Verdict: Bitcoin remains structurally strong with consistent buy signals across all key moving averages, supported by a robust uptrend on the daily chart. If the price breaks above $104,800 with confirmed volume, the bullish continuation toward new highs remains intact.

公牛判決:比特幣在結構上保持強大,並在所有關鍵移動平均值上保持一致的購買信號,並得到日常圖表上強大的上升趨勢的支持。如果價格下跌超過$ 104,800並確認的數量,則對新高高的看漲延續仍然完好無損。

Bear Verdict: Overbought oscillator conditions and decreasing volume amid rising prices suggest potential exhaustion. A failure to hold the $103,000 support could trigger a deeper retracement toward the $98,000-$100,000 range.

貝爾判決:由於價格上漲,振盪器條件過多,而且數量下降表明潛在的疲憊。未能持有103,000美元的支持可能會引發更深層次的回溯,即$ 98,000- $ 100,000。

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