比特币（BTC）价格预测：集会后的BTC/USD摊位为$ 104,500，为潜在的回溯设置了舞台

比特币目前的交易价格为104,514美元，其市值为20.7万亿美元，交易量为264.8亿美元。它的盘中价格在一个狭窄的乐队中波动在103,133美元至104,841美元之间，这表明在最近的看涨集会后，短期合并的一段时间。

Bitcoin (BTC) entered a period of short-term consolidation on Wednesday, with the world's largest cryptocurrency remaining in a tight intraday trading band.

比特币（BTC）在周三进入了一段短期合并时期，全球最大的加密货币仍在紧密的盘中交易频段中。

What Happened: Bitcoin is currently trading at $104,114, supported by a market capitalization of $2.07 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $26.48 billion. Its intraday price has fluctuated between a minimum of $103,133 and a maximum of $104,841.

发生的事情：比特币目前的交易价格为104,114美元，并支持市值为20.7万亿美元，交易量为264.8亿美元。它的盘中价格最低限额为103,133美元，最高为104,841美元。

The hourly chart reveals that bitcoin has entered a choppy sideways range after peaking at $104,985. A sharp rejection from this level was followed by a bounce off the $103,000 support line, indicating active short-term demand. However, the decreasing volume on red candles after the breakout suggests a weakening bullish momentum.

每小时图表显示，比特币以104,985美元达到顶峰后，比特币进入了波涛汹涌的侧面范围。从该水平的急剧拒绝之后，从103,000美元的支持线中反弹，表明短期需求。但是，突破后的红色蜡烛的体积减少表明看涨势头较弱。

Entry points appear viable on a confirmed breakout above $104,800, while a breach below $103,000 amid rising sell volume would be a strong exit signal. Traders should exercise caution as volume divergence is present, a noteworthy bearish indicator.

入口点在超过$ 104,800的确认突破中显得可行，而销售量增加的销售额低于103,000美元，这将是强烈的退出信号。交易者应谨慎行事，因为存在数量差异，这是一个值得注意的看跌指标。

Bitcoin 1H Chart via Bitstamp

比特币1H图表通过BITSTAMP

The four-hour chart shows bitcoin forming a plateau pattern after an aggressive upward movement. A significant volume spike at the peak near $104,985 was observed, followed by a tapering in trade activity, which suggests distribution rather than accumulation.

四小时的图表显示，比特币在激进的向上运动后形成了平稳的模式。观察到峰值接近104,985美元的峰值上的大量飙升，然后是贸易活动的逐渐减少，这表明分布而不是积累。

Lower highs are being formed since the peak, indicating emerging short-term bearish sentiment. The $102,500 area could be a point of interest for a potential bounce, especially if supported by increased volume.

自峰以来，正在形成较低的高点，表明出现的短期看跌情绪。 102,500美元的面积可能是潜在反弹的兴趣点，尤其是在增加数量的支持下。

Reclaiming $104,500 with strong follow-through would be required to reestablish a bullish stance.

重新建立看涨的立场需要重新获得$ 104,500的$ 104,500。

Bitcoin 4H Chart via Bitstamp

比特币4H图表通过BITSTAMP

On the daily chart, bitcoin shows strong uptrend characteristics with higher highs and higher lows. Support is established near the $95,000 range, which acted as a prior consolidation zone, while resistance is currently positioned around $104,985.

在每日图表上，比特币显示出强大的上升特性，高和更高的低点。支持建立在$ 95,000的范围附近，该范围是先前的合并区，而电阻目前的位置约为104,985美元。

However, volume has been decreasing on recent green candles, which could indicate buying fatigue. A strategic entry may present itself in the $98,000 to $100,000 range if reversal confirmation emerges, such as a long wick or bullish engulfing candlestick.

但是，最近的绿色蜡烛的数量一直在减少，这可能表明购买疲劳。如果出现逆转确认，例如长长的灯芯或看涨吞噬烛台，则可能会出现在98,000美元至100,000美元的范围内。

If volume continues to trail, any test near the $105,000 mark could fail to hold.

如果数量继续落后，则附近105,000美元的任何测试都可能无法持有。

Bitcoin 1D Chart via Bitstamp

比特币1D图表通过BITSTAMP

Oscillator readings offer a mixed technical sentiment. The RSI stands at 75 and the CCI at 184, both issuing sell signals due to overbought conditions. Momentum is similarly bearish with a value of 7,919.

振荡器读数提供了混合的技术情感。 RSI为75，CCI为184，由于条件过高，两者均发行销售信号。动量同样是看跌，值为7,919。

The MACD provides a positive signal with a positive divergence of 4,110. The Stochastic oscillator at 94, ADX at 36, and the awesome oscillator all show neutral stances, reflecting market indecision.

MACD提供的正信号为4,110。随机振荡器为94，ADX为36，而令人敬畏的振荡器都显示出中性立场，反映了市场的犹豫不决。

From a moving averages perspective, bitcoin remains firmly bullish across all timeframes. The 10-, 20-, 30-, 50-, 100-, and 200-period exponential moving averages (EMA) and simple moving averages (SMA) all indicate bullish signals, underscoring long-term upward strength.

从移动的平均角度来看，比特币在所有时间表上仍然坚定地看好。 10-，20-，30-，50-，100-和200阶段的指数移动平均值（EMA）和简单的移动平均值（SMA）都表示乐观的信号，强调了长期的上升强度。

These averages suggest strong underlying trend support, even amid short-term pullbacks. However, given the current divergence between price action and volume, traders are advised to prioritize confirmation signals before entering new positions. Chasing prices near all-time highs without volume support exposes traders to potential downside volatility.

这些平均值表明，即使是短期撤退，也有强大的潜在趋势支持。但是，鉴于当前的价格行动和数量之间的差异，建议交易者在进入新职位之前优先考虑确认信号。在没有数量支持的情况下，追逐价格在有史以来的高价附近，使交易者暴露于潜在的下行波动率。

Bull Verdict: Bitcoin remains structurally strong with consistent buy signals across all key moving averages, supported by a robust uptrend on the daily chart. If the price breaks above $104,800 with confirmed volume, the bullish continuation toward new highs remains intact.

公牛判决：比特币在结构上保持强大，并在所有关键移动平均值上保持一致的购买信号，并得到日常图表上强大的上升趋势的支持。如果价格下跌超过$ 104,800并确认的数量，则对新高高的看涨延续仍然完好无损。

Bear Verdict: Overbought oscillator conditions and decreasing volume amid rising prices suggest potential exhaustion. A failure to hold the $103,000 support could trigger a deeper retracement toward the $98,000-$100,000 range.

贝尔判决：由于价格上涨，振荡器条件过多，而且数量下降表明潜在的疲惫。未能持有103,000美元的支持可能会引发更深层次的回溯，即$ 98,000- $ 100,000。