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比特幣最近取得了令人印象深刻的收益,突破了關鍵阻力水平並達到了歷史最高水平。
Bitcoin broke through several key resistance levels and approached its all-time high of $109,350 recently. The cryptocurrency is currently trading around $105,500, just 3.6% away from reaching a new record.
比特幣打破了幾個關鍵的阻力水平,最近達到了109,350美元的歷史最高水平。該加密貨幣目前的交易價格約為105,500美元,距離獲得新記錄僅3.6%。
Recent Developments
最近的發展
Bitcoin’s impressive rally began as it formed a base at the $96,500 support zone and managed to clear several resistance levels, including $98,800 and $102,000.
比特幣令人印象深刻的集會始於96,500美元的支持區,並設法清除了幾個阻力水平,包括98,800美元和102,000美元。
After reaching a local high of $104,943, Bitcoin encountered resistance and entered a period of consolidation. At present, it is trading above $103,500 and the 100-hour Simple Moving Average.
在達到104,943美元的當地高點後,比特幣遇到了阻力並進入了一段時間的合併。目前,它的交易價格超過$ 103,500,而100小時的簡單移動平均線也是如此。
Technical Analysis
技術分析
On the hourly chart, a bullish trend line is forming with support at $103,500. If Bitcoin breaks through the $104,500 and $105,000 resistance levels, it could potentially rise to $106,200 and eventually $108,000.
在每小時圖表上,看漲的趨勢線正在形成,支持為103,500美元。如果比特幣突破了104,500美元和105,000美元的阻力水平,則可能會上升到106,200美元,最終上升108,000美元。
U.S.-China Trade Deal
美國 - 中國貿易協議
The cryptocurrency market received a significant boost following a trade agreement between the United States and China. After two days of high-level negotiations in Geneva, both countries announced a temporary reduction in tariffs.
在美國和中國達成貿易協定之後,加密貨幣市場得到了巨大的推動。在日內瓦進行了兩天的高級談判之後,兩國宣布暫時降低關稅。
The United States cut tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% for a 90-day period. China reciprocated by lowering tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10% over the same duration.
在90天的時間裡,美國將中國商品的關稅從145%降低到30%。中國通過在同一期限內將美國商品的關稅從125%降低到10%。
This surprise announcement triggered Bitcoin’s surge past $105,000. The trade deal comes after weeks of escalating tensions that had threatened to increase global inflation.
這個驚喜公告引發了比特幣的激增,超過了105,000美元。貿易協議是在數週加劇的緊張局勢加劇的情況下,這有可能增加全球通貨膨脹。
Upcoming CPI Data
即將發布的CPI數據
With trade tensions easing, investors are now focusing on the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The April CPI, due this Tuesday, is expected to show inflation easing to 2.3% year-on-year from March’s 2.4%.
隨著貿易緊張局勢的緩解,投資者現在專注於即將到來的消費者價格指數(CPI)數據。預計將於本週二將於4月的CPI降低通貨膨脹率,比3月份的2.4%降至2.3%。
Market analysts believe a continued softening of CPI could raise Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, providing another bullish catalyst for Bitcoin.
市場分析師認為,CPI的繼續軟化可以提高美聯儲降低期望,從而為比特幣提供了另一種看漲的催化劑。
Even if the CPI comes in higher than expected, it might be dismissed as backward-looking, reflecting April’s tariffs rather than the recent de-escalation in trade tensions.
即使CPI比預期的要高,它也可能被視為落後,這反映了四月的關稅,而不是最近在貿易緊張局勢的降級。
Federal Reserve
聯準會
The Federal Reserve recently kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%. However, Chairman Jerome Powell offered dovish hints, stating that “the underlying inflation picture is good” and calling the inflationary impact of tariffs short-lived.
美聯儲最近將其基準利率保持不變,為4.25%至4.5%。但是,董事長杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)提供了虔誠的提示,並指出“基本通貨膨脹情況是好的”,並稱關稅的通貨膨脹影響短暫。
Bitcoin’s recent performance is also supported by continuous inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has registered net inflows for 20 straight trading days, accumulating over $5 billion in investor money.
比特幣最近的表現也得到了連續流入為現貨交易所資金(ETF)的支持。貝萊德(Blackrock)的現貨比特幣ETF(IBIT)連續20個交易日註冊了淨流入,積累了超過50億美元的投資者資金。
Crypto Market Performance
加密市場表現
In other cryptocurrency news, Ethereum (ETH) gained 39% to reach $2,500 last week, while other major altcoins, including XRP, Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL), saw gains of 9.7%, 56%, 19%, and 20%, respectively.
在其他加密貨幣新聞中,以太坊(ETH)上週獲得了39%的收入,上週獲得了2500美元,而其他主要山寨幣,包括XRP,Dogecoin(Doge),Cardano(Ada)和Solana(Solana(Sol)(Sol),分別增加了9.7%,56%,19%和20%的增長。
According to HTX Research, there are no signs of speculative frenzy yet, suggesting the rally could continue. Bitcoin options’ implied volatility remains stable in the 50%-55% range, well below the extreme levels typically seen at market peaks.
根據HTX研究,還沒有投機性瘋狂的跡象,表明該集會可以繼續。比特幣選項的隱含波動率在50%-55%的範圍內保持穩定,遠低於通常在市場峰值處看到的極端水平。
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $104,500 resistance zone, it could face a downside correction. Immediate support is located near $103,500, with major support levels at $102,800 and $100,500.
如果比特幣未能超過104,500美元的電阻區,則可能面臨下行校正。即時支持的位置接近103,500美元,主要支持水平為102,800美元和100,500美元。
As long as yields do not climb back above 4.8% and ETF inflows remain consistent, Bitcoin is likely to consolidate in the $105,000-$115,000 range as it awaits the next breakout trigger.
只要收益率不回到4.8%以上,ETF流入保持一致,比特幣可能會在$ 105,000- $ 115,000的範圍內合併,因為它等待下一個突破觸發器。
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