比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC會重新測試100,000美元的區域嗎？

在過去的24小時內，比特幣的價格動作使它從本週開始的104,000美元區域慢慢回溯。

Bitcoin’s price action in the past 24 hours has seen it slowly retracing from the $104,000 zone it started the week at. This range has become particularly significant as Bitcoin continues to flirt with levels last seen during its recent push toward new all-time highs.

在過去的24小時內，比特幣的價格動作使它從本週開始的104,000美元區域慢慢回溯。隨著比特幣在最近推向新歷史高點的最新水平上，比特幣繼續調情。

Bitcoin’s price movements over the past two days have tightened, and the candlestick behavior on the weekly chart has led to a doji formation on the weekly candlestick timeframe, an indicator of indecision.

在過去兩天中，比特幣的價格變動已經收緊了，每週圖表上的燭台行為導致每週燭台時間範圍內的Doji組成，這是猶豫不決的指標。

Interestingly, a technical analysis from crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has highlighted critical levels to watch that will determine whether the Bitcoin price is turning bearish or still bullish.

有趣的是，加密分析師Tony“ The Bull” Severino的技術分析強調了要注意的關鍵水平，這將確定比特幣價格是否變成看跌或仍然看漲。

Mixed Signals: Why The Current Resistance Zone Is Critical

混合信號：為什麼當前電阻區域至關重要

Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino shared a chart and in-depth breakdown on the social media platform X, highlighting horizontal support and resistance levels as the most important technical indicators in his view.

加密分析師Tony“ The Bull” Severino在社交媒體平台X上分享了圖表和深入的細分，強調了水平支持和阻力水平，這是他認為最重要的技術指標。

As shown on his Bitcoin weekly chart, the leading cryptocurrency is now pressing against a well-defined resistance zone just below its all-time high, which is highlighted in red. The close proximity of this level to the all-time high could make it act like a ceiling, rendering it a crucial area to watch for either a breakout or a reversal.

如他的比特幣每週圖表所示，領先的加密貨幣現在正朝著其歷史最高水平以下的明確的電阻區域施壓，該區域以紅色突出顯示。這個水平與歷史最高的高度接近可能會使它像天花板一樣，使其成為關注突破或逆轉的關鍵領域。

Tony elaborates on three possible interpretations for the current market structure around the $108,000 resistance level. The bullish case relies on Bitcoin consolidating below resistance, a pattern that is usually followed by continuation upwards. The neutral case is that Bitcoin could be forming a broad trading range, in which case it makes sense to short the market at resistance while buying near support. Finally, on the bearish side, the formation of a doji candlestick at this key level might be signaling a loss of momentum and an early indication of a price reversal.

托尼對當前市場結構的三種可能解釋詳細說明了108,000美元的電阻水平。看漲案例依賴於比特幣在電阻下鞏固，這種模式通常是繼續向上延續的。中立的案例是比特幣可能形成一個廣泛的交易範圍，在這種情況下，在購買附近的支持時，在電阻下短暫的市場是有意義的。最後，在看跌方面，在此關鍵水平上的Doji燭台的形成可能表明勢頭損失和價格逆轉的早期跡象。

His trading strategy reflects this uncertainty. He has entered short positions within the red resistance zone, placing his stop loss just above the all-time high. At the same time, he has set a stop buy order in the green breakout zone above the all-time high, prepared to switch long should the Bitcoin price break through the resistance convincingly.

他的交易策略反映了這種不確定性。他在紅色阻力區域內進入了短職位，將停止損失置於歷史最高水平之上。同時，他已經在歷史最高高的綠色分離區域設定了停止購買訂單，準備長時間切換比特幣的價格突破性，因為它令人信服地穿越阻力。

Conditions For A Bullish Breakout Are Not Yet Fulfilled

尚未滿足看漲突破的條件

Although Tony noted that the broader investment market, including altcoins and the stock market, looks strong, he cautioned that this does not guarantee a bullish breakout for Bitcoin.

儘管托尼指出，包括Altcoins和股票市場在內的更廣泛的投資市場看上去很強勁，但他警告說，這不能保證比特幣的看漲突破。

For confirmation, a bullish breakout must be preceded by aligning various technical indicators. These include a breakout with substantial trading volume, an RSI reading above 70 on the weekly chart, and a weekly close above the upper Bollinger Band.

為了確認，必須先於對齊各種技術指標。其中包括一場大量交易量的突破，每週圖表上的RSI讀數超過70，以及在上布林樂隊上方的每週接近。

At the moment, however, the Bitcoin CME Futures chart has failed to move past 70 on the daily RSI twice, and trading volume is in decline. According to CoinMarketCap, the trading volume of Bitcoin is $44.33 billion in the past 24 hours, a 11.40% reduction from the previous 24 hours. These are early warning signs that a breakout attempt may lack the strength needed for sustainability.

然而，目前，比特幣CME期貨圖表未能在每日RSI上兩次移動70，而且交易量正在下降。根據CoinMarketCap的數據，在過去的24小時內，比特幣的交易量為443.3億美元，比前24小時減少了11.40％。這些是預警信號，即突破嘗試可能缺乏可持續性所需的力量。

Nonetheless, the conditions are still very mixed and starting to lean more bullish than bearish.

儘管如此，這些條件仍然非常混雜，開始比看跌更傾向於看漲。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $102,352, down by 1.31% in the past 24 hours.

在寫作時，比特幣的交易價格為102,352美元，在過去24小時內下降了1.31％。