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比特幣價格分析:BTC顯示了50%斐波那契水平的反彈,接近75,000美元。在過去的36天中,這種反彈的價格上漲了近36%。
As U.S. inflation fell to 2.3% in April, Bitcoin (BTC) gained momentum, currently trading at $103,827, reflecting a surge of nearly 1.5%. Now, Bitcoin is eying a new all-time high as recent whale activities suggest further upside ahead.
隨著美國通貨膨脹率在四月份下降到2.3%,比特幣(BTC)的勢頭勢頭為103,827美元,反映了近1.5%的增長。現在,比特幣正在關注新的歷史最高水平,因為最近的鯨魚活動表明進一步的上漲空間。
Bitcoin Price Analysis
比特幣價格分析
On the daily chart, Bitcoin shows a rebound from the 50% Fibonacci level, near $75,500. This bounce has driven a nearly 36% price increase over the past 36 days. The bullish trend triggered a breakout from a falling wedge pattern and surpassed the 78.6% Fibonacci level, around $92,000, as well as the key psychological barrier at $100,000.
在每日圖表上,比特幣顯示了50%斐波那契水平的反彈,接近$ 75,500。在過去的36天中,這種反彈的價格上漲了近36%。看漲的趨勢引發了楔形模式的突破,並超過了78.6%的斐波那契水平,約為92,000美元,關鍵的心理障礙(100,000美元)。
Currently, Bitcoin is facing resistance at the overhead supply zone, which ranges from $103,000 to $104,000. As Bitcoin reaches this critical juncture, technical indicators are signaling a loss of momentum. The RSI has reversed within the overbought zone and now threatens to fall below the 14-day average. Additionally, the MACD and signal lines are close to a bearish crossover. These signals suggest the possibility of a short-term top forming.
目前,比特幣在高架供應區面臨阻力,範圍從103,000美元到104,000美元不等。隨著比特幣達到這個關鍵關頭,技術指標表明勢頭損失。 RSI在過度購買區域內逆轉,現在可能會低於14天的平均水平。另外,MACD和信號線接近看跌的交叉。這些信號表明可能是短期頂部形成的可能性。
If BTC fails to break above the current resistance, a retest of the $97,000 level appears likely. Further support lies at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, near $92,000. Optimistically, a successful breakout above the $104K resistance could set the stage for a rally toward the 1.272 Fibonacci extension level at $127,800.
如果BTC未能超過當前電阻,則可能會重新測試97,000美元的水平。進一步的支持在於78.6%的斐波那契水平,接近92,000美元。樂觀的是,超過$ 104K的電阻的成功突破可能為1.272斐波那契擴展水平的集會奠定了基礎,為$ 127,800。
Declining Whale Inflows
鯨魚流入下降
According to a recent tweet by CryptoQuant analyst DarkFost, a divergence has emerged between whale and retail investor activity on Binance. Since early April, Bitcoin's bullish momentum has strengthened. However, whale inflows to exchanges have continued to decline, while retail inflows have surged.
根據CryptoQuant分析師Darkfost的最新推文,鯨魚和散戶投資者在二手賽上的活動已經出現了分歧。自4月初以來,比特幣的看漲勢頭增強了。但是,鯨魚流向交流的流入量繼續下降,而零售流入卻激增。
As pessimism toward cryptocurrencies escalates, a stark divergence is emerging on Binance. Since early April, we've seen:
隨著對加密貨幣的悲觀情緒升級,binance出現了鮮明的分歧。自4月初以來,我們已經看到:
- Persistent Bitcoin bullish momentum.
- 持續的比特幣看漲勢頭。
- Stellar decline in whale (greater than 1,000 BTC) net inflows.
- 鯨魚(大於1,000 BTC)淨流入的恆星下降。
- Surging retail inflows (less than 1 BTC). Indeed, inflows went from 12 to 15 billion $$ in March-April.
- 零售流入(小於1 BTC)。實際上,在三月至4月的流入從120億美元增加到150億美元。
According to additional data, whales have accumulated over 83K BTC since last month. Moreover, less capital from whales entering exchanges suggests confidence in the market for more upside.
根據其他數據,自上個月以來,鯨魚已經累積了超過83K BTC。此外,進入交流的鯨魚的資本減少表明對市場的信心更高。
While optimism in Bitcoin futures is also surging, open interest is approaching the $70 billion mark. Currently, it stands at $67.47 billion.
儘管對比特幣期貨的樂觀情緒也在激增,但開放興趣正接近700億美元的大關。目前,它的價格為674.7億美元。
More than $36 million in short positions have been liquidated over the past 24 hours, indicating strong bullish dominance. Currently, the OI-weighted funding rate is 0.0075%, reflecting overall bullish sentiment in the derivatives market.
在過去的24小時內,已經清算了超過3600萬美元的短職位,表明了強烈的看漲統治地位。目前,OI加權籌資率為0.0075%,反映了衍生品市場的總體看漲情緒。
Bitcoin futures traders remain highly optimistic about the continuation of the uptrend and the potential to reach a new all-time high.
比特幣期貨交易者對上升趨勢的延續以及達到新歷史最高水平的潛力仍然非常樂觀。
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