比特幣（BTC）已有很強的音調進入五月，繼續向上勢頭

比特幣在五月進入五月，繼續於4月下旬開始的向上勢頭。

May 2, 2024

2024年5月2日

Crypto traders are now focused on the $100,000 mark for Bitcoin (BTC), but one influential analyst is keeping a closer eye on a key support level that could decide whether the trend remains upward or falters.

加密交易員現在專注於比特幣（BTC）的100,000美元大關，但一位有影響力的分析師正在密切關注關鍵支持水平，以確定趨勢是上升還是流行。

As traders digest the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market, one analyst's insights into a crucial support level for Bitcoin are providing valuable context for navigating the coin’s price movements.

隨著貿易商消化加密貨幣市場中的最新發展，一位分析師對比特幣至關重要的支持水平的見解正在為導航硬幣的價格變動提供了寶貴的背景。

111-Day Moving Average Is Key Support At $91,200

111天移動平均值是$ 91,200的關鍵支持

111天移動平均值是$ 91,200的關鍵支持

Analyst Burak Kesmeci took to X (formerly Twitter) to share an in-depth look at Bitcoin's chart, focusing on the 111-day moving average as an essential indicator.

分析師Burak Kesmeci登上X（以前是Twitter），分享了比特幣圖表的深入研究，重點是111天移動平均線作為基本指標。

According to Kesmeci, this level, currently around $91,200, is the most important price floor for Bitcoin in the coming weeks.

根據Kesmeci的說法，此水平目前約為91,200美元，是未來幾週比特幣最重要的價格。

This moving average is a component of the Pi Cycle Top & Bottom indicator, which uses the 111-day and 350-day moving averages to identify peaks in Bitcoin's market cycles.

該移動平均線是PI循環頂部和底部指標的組成部分，該指示器使用111天和350天的移動平均值來識別比特幣市場週期中的峰值。

Typically, when the short-term average crosses above the longer one, it signals the end of bull runs, but that crossover has not yet occurred.

通常，當短期平均值超過更長的平均值時，它標誌著牛的末端，但跨界尚未發生。

The two moving averages are now diverging, which Implies that Bitcoin still has room to grow.

現在的兩個移動平均值正在分歧，這意味著比特幣仍然有生長的空間。

According to Kesmeci, for Bitcoin to sustain this positive trend, it must remain above the $91,200 level for multiple weekly closes. This technical detail could shape the coin's near-term behavior more than the hype surrounding the $100,000 target.

根據凱斯梅奇（Kesmeci）的說法，要維持這種積極的趨勢，它必須保持在多個每週關閉的91,200美元以上。與圍繞100,000美元目標的炒作相比，這種技術細節可以影響硬幣的近期行為。

At the same time, another analyst, known as Checkmate, is highlighting a potential barrier.

同時，另一位稱為Checkmate的分析師正在突出潛在的障礙。

Using a supply distribution heatmap, he noted that the $93,000 to $100,000 range is a dense zone where a lot of prior investor cost bases are clustered.

他使用供應分銷熱圖指出，$ 93,000至100,000美元的範圍是一個密集的區域，許多先前的投資者成本基礎都聚集。

These price bands suggest strong resistance, as many holders might be waiting to sell once prices return to their original buying levels.

這些價格帶錶明了強烈的抵抗力，因為一旦價格恢復到其原始購買水平，許多持有人可能會等待出售。

This creates a psychological factor. With several investors sitting on previous losses, the incentive to exit at break-even points could trigger a wave of selling in this price range, slowing momentum just as excitement peaks.

這創造了心理因素。由於幾個投資者遭受了以前的損失，因此以突破性點退出的動機可能會觸發該價格範圍內的銷售浪潮，就像興奮的峰值一樣，勢頭放緩。

Despite the crowding in the $93,000-$100,000 range, Checkmate observed that supply drops off sharply beyond $100,000.

儘管擁擠在93,000美元至100,000美元之間，但Checkmate觀察到，供應量大幅下降了100,000美元。

This Implies that far fewer coins were bought at higher prices, suggesting lighter resistance. He described the path above $100,000 as "blue skies," which could allow for a swift rally.

這意味著以更高的價格購買的硬幣少得多，表明抵抗力較輕。他將100,000美元以上的路徑描述為“藍天”，這可以迅速集會。

However, failing to break through this high-density area could trap Bitcoin in a new phase of sideways movement. Consolidation, while not bearish, would delay the run toward new highs that many are anticipating.

但是，未能突破這一高密度區域可能會在側向運動的新階段捕獲比特幣。合併雖然沒有看跌，但會將奔跑延遲到許多人預期的新高點。

As of writing, BTC is trading at $95,888, showing a slight 0.67% decrease over the past 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，BTC的交易價格為95,888美元，在過去24小時內下降了0.67％。