交易員關注美國經濟數據，比特幣面臨波動

由於交易員在本週經濟數據發布之前推測比特幣價格波動，比特幣週五上漲了 3%。華爾街市場開盤後，Coinbase 的盤中價格達到 63,269 美元。所有人的目光都集中在美國通膨數據上，這將影響聯準會的利率決策。 CME 的 FedWatch 工具預測 7 月 FOMC 會議維持利率不變的可能性為 72%，今年稍後降息的可能性為 48.6%。交易員預計 6 月會議上利率保持穩定的可能性為 91.1%。 Tedtalksmacro 等加密貨幣分析師強調了本週通膨數據的重要性，因為通膨放緩可能有利於比特幣和其他風險資產。

Bitcoin Primed for Volatility as Traders Eye U.S. Economic Data

交易員關注美國經濟數據，比特幣面臨波動

Bitcoin (BTC) surged 3% on May 13th, mirroring a broader sentiment of anticipation among crypto traders ahead of this week's critical U.S. macroeconomic data release.

5 月 13 日，比特幣 (BTC) 飆升 3%，反映出加密貨幣交易者在本週重要的美國宏觀經濟數據發布之前的更廣泛預期情緒。

Market participants are eagerly awaiting the United States inflation data this week, particularly the Producer Price Index (PPI) on May 14th and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on May 15th. These figures will provide insights into whether the Federal Reserve will consider lowering interest rates in 2024.

市場參與者熱切等待本周美國通膨數據，特別是5月14日的生產者物價指數（PPI）和5月15日的消費者物價指數（CPI）。這些數據將為聯準會是否會考慮在 2024 年降息提供見解。

According to the CME's FedWatch tool, market analysts assign a 72% probability to interest rates remaining unchanged at July's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. However, the possibility of rate cuts later in the year is not insignificant, with a 48.6% chance at September's meeting. Traders forecast a commanding 91.1% likelihood for rates to remain steady at June's meeting.

根據 CME 的 FedWatch 工具，市場分析師認為 7 月聯邦公開市場委員會 (FOMC) 會議上利率保持不變的可能性為 72%。不過，今年稍後降息的可能性並不小，9月的會議降息的可能性為48.6%。交易員預測 6 月會議上利率保持穩定的可能性高達 91.1%。

Popular analyst Tedtalksmacro emphasized the pivotal role of inflation data in this week's market dynamics, stating, "Expect volatility. However, this is the first time in a little while that we are likely to see inflation data slow." He further highlighted that decreasing inflation could positively impact risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially sending the market "on the verge of a leg higher."

受歡迎的分析師 Tedtalksmacro 強調了通膨數據在本週市場動態中的關鍵作用，他說：“預計會出現波動。然而，這是一段時間內我們可能第一次看到通膨數據放緩。”他進一步強調，通膨下降可能會對比特幣等風險資產產生正面影響，有可能使市場「處於走高的邊緣」。

Fellow analyst Seth analyzed the daily price chart, highlighting a bullish breakout in the relative strength index (RSI). He acknowledged that upcoming events such as "CPI, Core CPI, PPI, and the FED chair speech" could significantly influence Bitcoin's price direction. Notably, Seth expressed optimism about Fed Chair Jerome Powell's potential to provide positive market sentiment, arguing that "The U.S. economy isn't as strong as the data suggest."

分析師塞思分析了每日價格圖表，強調相對強弱指數（RSI）的看漲突破。他承認，即將發生的事件，如「CPI、核心CPI、PPI和聯準會主席講話」可能會顯著影響比特幣的價格方向。值得注意的是，塞斯對聯準會主席鮑威爾提供積極市場情緒的潛力表示樂觀，他認為「美國經濟並不像數據顯示的那麼強勁」。

Bitcoin's price has undergone a sustained downtrend since its March 14th all-time high of $73,835. However, it may be poised for a rebound based on historical patterns. The Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the price difference between BTC/USDT on Binance and BTC/USD on Coinbase Pro, has mirrored Bitcoin's price action.

自 3 月 14 日創下 73,835 美元的歷史高點以來，比特幣的價格經歷了持續的下跌趨勢。然而，根據歷史模式，它可能會反彈。 Coinbase 溢價指數衡量幣安上 BTC/USDT 與 Coinbase Pro 上 BTC/USD 的價格差異，反映了比特幣的價格趨勢。

Analysts at CryptoQuant have observed that when the Coinbase Premium Index turns negative and reverses from a downward to an upward trend, Bitcoin's price has consistently rebounded. At the time of writing, the index remained positive but was "close to zero."

CryptoQuant 的分析師觀察到，當 Coinbase 溢價指數變為負值並從下降趨勢反轉為上升趨勢時，比特幣的價格就會持續反彈。截至撰寫本文時，該指數仍為正值，但「接近於零」。

Crypto trader Moustache expressed optimism, drawing parallels to previous post-halving cycles, which witnessed sustained upside moves. He asserts that current market dynamics will likely lead to a more prolonged upswing, stating, "Weak hands need to get out of the market first before $BTC will rise toward $80,000."

加密貨幣交易員 Mustache 表達了樂觀態度，與先前的減半週期相似，見證了持續的上漲趨勢。他斷言，當前的市場動態可能會導致更長的上漲，並表示，“在 BTC 升至 80,000 美元之前，弱手需要先退出市場。”

While this article provides insights into the current market sentiment and potential price movements, it should not be construed as investment advice. Investors are advised to conduct their due diligence and carefully consider the risks involved before making any financial decisions.

雖然本文提供了對當前市場情緒和潛在價格趨勢的見解，但不應將其視為投資建議。建議投資者在做出任何財務決定之前進行盡職調查並仔細考慮所涉及的風險。