交易员关注美国经济数据，比特币面临波动

由于交易员在本周经济数据发布之前推测比特币价格波动，比特币周五上涨了 3%。华尔街市场开盘后，Coinbase 的盘中价格达到 63,269 美元。所有人的目光都集中在美国通胀数据上，这将影响美联储的利率决策。 CME 的 FedWatch 工具预测 7 月 FOMC 会议维持利率不变的可能性为 72%，今年晚些时候降息的可能性为 48.6%。交易员预计 6 月会议上利率保持稳定的可能性为 91.1%。 Tedtalksmacro 等加密货币分析师强调了本周通胀数据的重要性，因为通胀放缓可能有利于比特币和其他风险资产。

Bitcoin Primed for Volatility as Traders Eye U.S. Economic Data

交易员关注美国经济数据，比特币面临波动

Bitcoin (BTC) surged 3% on May 13th, mirroring a broader sentiment of anticipation among crypto traders ahead of this week's critical U.S. macroeconomic data release.

5 月 13 日，比特币 (BTC) 飙升 3%，反映出加密货币交易者在本周重要的美国宏观经济数据发布之前的更广泛预期情绪。

Market participants are eagerly awaiting the United States inflation data this week, particularly the Producer Price Index (PPI) on May 14th and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on May 15th. These figures will provide insights into whether the Federal Reserve will consider lowering interest rates in 2024.

市场参与者热切等待本周美国通胀数据，特别是5月14日的生产者价格指数（PPI）和5月15日的消费者价格指数（CPI）。这些数据将为美联储是否会考虑在 2024 年降息提供见解。

According to the CME's FedWatch tool, market analysts assign a 72% probability to interest rates remaining unchanged at July's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. However, the possibility of rate cuts later in the year is not insignificant, with a 48.6% chance at September's meeting. Traders forecast a commanding 91.1% likelihood for rates to remain steady at June's meeting.

根据 CME 的 FedWatch 工具，市场分析师认为 7 月份联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 会议上利率保持不变的可能性为 72%。不过，今年晚些时候降息的可能性并不小，9月份的会议上降息的可能性为48.6%。交易员预测 6 月会议上利率保持稳定的可能性高达 91.1%。

Popular analyst Tedtalksmacro emphasized the pivotal role of inflation data in this week's market dynamics, stating, "Expect volatility. However, this is the first time in a little while that we are likely to see inflation data slow." He further highlighted that decreasing inflation could positively impact risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially sending the market "on the verge of a leg higher."

受欢迎的分析师 Tedtalksmacro 强调了通胀数据在本周市场动态中的关键作用，他表示：“预计会出现波动。然而，这是一段时间内我们可能第一次看到通胀数据放缓。”他进一步强调，通胀下降可能会对比特币等风险资产产生积极影响，有可能使市场“处于走高的边缘”。

Fellow analyst Seth analyzed the daily price chart, highlighting a bullish breakout in the relative strength index (RSI). He acknowledged that upcoming events such as "CPI, Core CPI, PPI, and the FED chair speech" could significantly influence Bitcoin's price direction. Notably, Seth expressed optimism about Fed Chair Jerome Powell's potential to provide positive market sentiment, arguing that "The U.S. economy isn't as strong as the data suggest."

分析师塞思分析了每日价格图表，强调相对强弱指数（RSI）的看涨突破。他承认，即将发生的事件，如“CPI、核心CPI、PPI和美联储主席讲话”可能会显着影响比特币的价格方向。值得注意的是，塞斯对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔提供积极市场情绪的潜力表示乐观，他认为“美国经济并不像数据显示的那么强劲”。

Bitcoin's price has undergone a sustained downtrend since its March 14th all-time high of $73,835. However, it may be poised for a rebound based on historical patterns. The Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the price difference between BTC/USDT on Binance and BTC/USD on Coinbase Pro, has mirrored Bitcoin's price action.

自 3 月 14 日创下 73,835 美元的历史高点以来，比特币的价格经历了持续的下跌趋势。然而，根据历史模式，它可能会出现反弹。 Coinbase 溢价指数衡量币安上 BTC/USDT 与 Coinbase Pro 上 BTC/USD 之间的价格差异，反映了比特币的价格走势。

Analysts at CryptoQuant have observed that when the Coinbase Premium Index turns negative and reverses from a downward to an upward trend, Bitcoin's price has consistently rebounded. At the time of writing, the index remained positive but was "close to zero."

CryptoQuant 的分析师观察到，当 Coinbase 溢价指数变为负值并从下降趋势反转为上升趋势时，比特币的价格就会持续反弹。截至撰写本文时，该指数仍为正值，但“接近于零”。

Crypto trader Moustache expressed optimism, drawing parallels to previous post-halving cycles, which witnessed sustained upside moves. He asserts that current market dynamics will likely lead to a more prolonged upswing, stating, "Weak hands need to get out of the market first before $BTC will rise toward $80,000."

加密货币交易员 Mustache 表达了乐观态度，与之前的减半周期相似，见证了持续的上涨走势。他断言，当前的市场动态可能会导致更长时间的上涨，并表示，“在 BTC 升至 80,000 美元之前，弱手需要先退出市场。”

While this article provides insights into the current market sentiment and potential price movements, it should not be construed as investment advice. Investors are advised to conduct their due diligence and carefully consider the risks involved before making any financial decisions.

虽然本文提供了对当前市场情绪和潜在价格走势的见解，但不应将其视为投资建议。建议投资者在做出任何财务决定之前进行尽职调查并仔细考虑所涉及的风险。