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根據傑米·庫茨(Jamie Coutts)的說法,Real Vision的首席加密分析師分析師可能已經在進行,或者至少處於早期階段。
The crypto market has been plagued with questions: When will altcoins finally have their moment? According to Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Real Vision, the altcoin season may already be rolling in — or at least in its early stages.
加密市場困擾著問題:altcoins何時會有他們的時刻?根據傑米·庫茨(Jamie Coutts)的說法,Real Vision的首席加密分析師分析師可能已經進入或至少在其早期階段就已經浮出水面了。
Are We in an Alt Season Right Now?
我們現在處於ALT季節嗎?
In a recent interview with Milk Road, Coutts was asked to share his thoughts on when the market might experience a full-blown altcoin season. While acknowledging how difficult it is to nail down exact timing, he pointed out that several indicators suggest we’re already seeing the initial signs.
在最近接受Milk Road的一次採訪中,Coutts被要求分享他關於市場何時可能會遇到成熟山寨幣的想法。他指出,在確認確定確切時機的困難時,他指出一些指標表明我們已經看到了最初的跡象。
Coutts referenced an alt season index he tracks, which compares the performance of the top 200 equal-weighted tokens against the market cap-weighted index. He said that the market recently hit a level similar to what we saw at the end of 2020 — right before altcoins delivered an impressive 6 to 12-month run.
Coutts提到了他跟踪的ALT季節指數,該指數比較了前200名相等加權令牌與市場上限加權指數的性能。他說,該市場最近達到了與我們在2020年底看到的水平相似的水平 - 就在Altcoins提供了令人印象深刻的6到12個月跑步之前。
“I think we’re in it right now,” said Coutts. “We’re starting to see the very early stages.”
“我認為我們現在正在加入,”庫茨說。 “我們開始看到很早的階段。”
What Makes This Cycle Different?
是什麼使這個週期不同?
Coutts was quick to point out that this altcoin cycle won’t be like the wild, speculative runs of the past. Unlike previous cycles where almost any token could pump, the current market is showing dispersion — meaning not all altcoins are moving together.
Coutts很快指出,這個Altcoin循環不會像過去的狂野,投機性一樣。與以前幾乎所有令牌都可以泵送的周期不同,當前的市場正在顯示分散體 - 這意味著並非所有山寨幣都在一起移動。
He said that the most sustainable gains will likely come from projects that have strong fundamentals and are seeing real adoption. Tokens backed by meaningful usage and ecosystems are the ones investors should be targeting.
他說,最可持續的收益可能會來自具有強大基本面並看到真正採用的項目。以有意義的用法和生態系統支持的代幣是投資者應針對的。
How Long Could It Last?
可以持續多久?
Based on recent market patterns, Coutts said that these altcoins outperformance phases typically last around three to six months. Expect targeted growth in select altcoins, with strong fundamentals setting the stage for a сепаратист movement among cryptoassets.
根據最近的市場模式,Coutts表示,這些替代幣的表現階段通常持續約三到六個月。預計精選山寨幣的目標增長,強大的基本原理為加密助集中的移動奠定了基礎。
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