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根据杰米·库茨(Jamie Coutts)的说法,Real Vision的首席加密分析师分析师可能已经在进行,或者至少处于早期阶段。
The crypto market has been plagued with questions: When will altcoins finally have their moment? According to Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Real Vision, the altcoin season may already be rolling in — or at least in its early stages.
加密市场困扰着问题:altcoins何时会有他们的时刻?根据杰米·库茨(Jamie Coutts)的说法,Real Vision的首席加密分析师分析师可能已经进入或至少在其早期阶段就已经浮出水面了。
Are We in an Alt Season Right Now?
我们现在处于ALT季节吗?
In a recent interview with Milk Road, Coutts was asked to share his thoughts on when the market might experience a full-blown altcoin season. While acknowledging how difficult it is to nail down exact timing, he pointed out that several indicators suggest we’re already seeing the initial signs.
在最近接受Milk Road的一次采访中,Coutts被要求分享他关于市场何时可能会遇到成熟山寨币的想法。他指出,在确认确定确切时机的困难时,他指出一些指标表明我们已经看到了最初的迹象。
Coutts referenced an alt season index he tracks, which compares the performance of the top 200 equal-weighted tokens against the market cap-weighted index. He said that the market recently hit a level similar to what we saw at the end of 2020 — right before altcoins delivered an impressive 6 to 12-month run.
Coutts提到了他跟踪的ALT季节指数,该指数比较了前200名相等加权令牌与市场上限加权指数的性能。他说,该市场最近达到了与我们在2020年底看到的水平相似的水平 - 就在Altcoins提供了令人印象深刻的6到12个月跑步之前。
“I think we’re in it right now,” said Coutts. “We’re starting to see the very early stages.”
“我认为我们现在正在加入,”库茨说。 “我们开始看到很早的阶段。”
What Makes This Cycle Different?
是什么使这个周期不同?
Coutts was quick to point out that this altcoin cycle won’t be like the wild, speculative runs of the past. Unlike previous cycles where almost any token could pump, the current market is showing dispersion — meaning not all altcoins are moving together.
Coutts很快指出,这个Altcoin循环不会像过去的狂野,投机性一样。与以前几乎所有令牌都可以泵送的周期不同,当前的市场正在显示分散体 - 这意味着并非所有山寨币都在一起移动。
He said that the most sustainable gains will likely come from projects that have strong fundamentals and are seeing real adoption. Tokens backed by meaningful usage and ecosystems are the ones investors should be targeting.
他说,最可持续的收益可能会来自具有强大基本面并看到真正采用的项目。以有意义的用法和生态系统支持的代币是投资者应针对的。
How Long Could It Last?
可以持续多久?
Based on recent market patterns, Coutts said that these altcoins outperformance phases typically last around three to six months. Expect targeted growth in select altcoins, with strong fundamentals setting the stage for a сепаратист movement among cryptoassets.
根据最近的市场模式,Coutts表示,这些替代币的表现阶段通常持续约三到六个月。预计精选山寨币的目标增长,强大的基本原理为加密助集中的移动奠定了基础。
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